JPX Equity Snapshot

4578 Weekly Equity Report

Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd.

Interactive chart JSON snapshot
Latest Close 10,200 JPY 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -3.6% latest completed week
4W Return -9.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 78.8% 41 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Otsuka Holdings Co., Ltd. engages in the pharmaceuticals, nutraceuticals, consumer products, and other businesses worldwide. It develops pharmaceutical products in the fields of psychiatry, neurology, oncology, cardiovascular and renal system, autoimmune space digestive system, ophthalmology, and diagnostics, as well as intravenous solutions and medical devices. It also provides clinical testing, medical equipment and tools, food products, cosmetics, functional food products, chemical products, soft drinks, beverages, analytical and measurement equipment, nutritional products, vehicle headlight testers, synthetic resin molded products, paper products, quasi-drugs, household products, and packaging materials and electronic parts. In addition, it offers IT solutions; …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

4578 closed the latest completed week at 10,200 JPY. The 4-week return is -9.2% and the 12-week return is -4.9%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.45. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 36/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 0.4%
Volume 1.2x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 88 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 24 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 0 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 52 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 52 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
10,158 JPY
Vs Trend Line
0.4%
Fair Value
7,435 JPY
Vs Fair Value
37.2%
52W High
11,910 JPY
52W Low
6,461 JPY
Drawdown
-14.4%
Range Position
68.6%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -3.6%
4W -9.2%
12W -4.9%
26W 10.4%
52W 43.2%

Trend read

Active Streak
41 weeks
52W Active Weeks
41
52W Active Breadth
78.8%
Sector Scope
JP Healthcare
Sector Rank
153 of 223
Sector Percentile
31.5%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.45
4W MD Change
-13649.0%
Relative Strength
-13.48
4W RS Change
-834.0%
Expectation
Undecided
Probability
52.83%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
6.8M
13W Average
5.6M
52W Average
5.7M
Vs 13W
1.2x
Vs 52W
1.2x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
4.1%
52W Volatility
4.0%
Upside Weeks
29
Downside Weeks
23
Downside Breadth
44.2%
Avg Gain / Loss
3.5% / -2.6%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
JPX
Country
JP
Sector
Healthcare
Industry
Drug Manufacturers - General
Currency
JPY
Market Cap
6169.1B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 41-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 10,200 JPY -3.6% 10,158 JPY 7,435 JPY -0.45 -13.48 6.8M On
5 Jun 2026 10,580 JPY -9.7% 10,095 JPY 7,403 JPY -0.27 -11.34 5.4M On
29 May 2026 11,715 JPY 0.6% 10,019 JPY 7,368 JPY -0.11 -1.63 5.9M On
22 May 2026 11,650 JPY 3.7% 9,905 JPY 7,325 JPY 0.02 2.29 5.7M On
15 May 2026 11,235 JPY 1.9% 9,791 JPY 7,282 JPY -0.00 1.84 4.2M On
8 May 2026 11,025 JPY -1.7% 9,686 JPY 7,240 JPY 0.06 -2.03 3.9M On
1 May 2026 11,220 JPY 3.8% 9,587 JPY 7,198 JPY 0.26 4.95 7.7M On
24 Apr 2026 10,810 JPY 2.7% 9,481 JPY 7,155 JPY 0.37 0.59 4.7M On
17 Apr 2026 10,530 JPY -1.1% 9,378 JPY 7,113 JPY 0.71 0.02 5.2M On
10 Apr 2026 10,650 JPY -5.1% 9,296 JPY 7,073 JPY 0.92 3.77 5.8M On
3 Apr 2026 11,220 JPY -1.6% 9,223 JPY 7,031 JPY 1.15 17.02 5.6M On
27 Mar 2026 11,400 JPY 6.3% 9,122 JPY 6,985 JPY 1.03 18.22 6.4M On
20 Mar 2026 10,720 JPY -2.6% 8,998 JPY 6,937 JPY 1.17 11.17 5.1M On
13 Mar 2026 11,005 JPY 9.4% 8,908 JPY 6,893 JPY 1.38 13.02 8.6M On