- The trend backdrop is active with a 78-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
COST
BUE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Costco Wholesale Corporation · Consumer Defensive · Discount Stores
Latest close
31,320 ARS
0.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a -0.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.
Setup score
59
out of 100
Latest Close
31,320 ARS
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
0.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
0.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
100.0%
52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.7x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.2%.
Indicator stack
100/43
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 57.01%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
58/100
15 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.4%, after a -0.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4112-week average 0.70
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.41Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.2% over four weeks, 0.4% over 12 weeks, and 15.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 78 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak78 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.55Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change41.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-14.65Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-8.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment58/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.
4 positive · 10 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-7.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.0%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-6.8%Week of 29 May.
Latest week+0.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains14
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAR Consumer Defensive
4-week rank6 / 27
Group average-2.7%
Trend breadth51.9%
Trend51.9%active weekly trend signals
MD51.9%positive activity pressure
RS11.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAR Discount Stores
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average2.8%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS33.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape62/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 62/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis46/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.41; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.01%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.01% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment58/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 15 relevant articles.
Costco (COST) Stock Still Looks Stretched Despite Its Off Grid Energy Move Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 31,320 ARS | 0.4% | 30,667 ARS | 23,119 ARS | -0.55 | -14.65 | 15.4K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 31,180 ARS | 1.3% | 30,538 ARS | 22,961 ARS | -0.58 | -15.19 | 24.2K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 30,774 ARS | 3.1% | 30,435 ARS | 22,803 ARS | -0.83 | -14.38 | 6.1K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 29,835 ARS | -5.0% | 30,326 ARS | 22,645 ARS | -0.97 | -19.41 | 3.3K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 31,393 ARS | 3.0% | 30,259 ARS | 22,494 ARS | -0.93 | -13.54 | 7.6K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 30,475 ARS | 2.6% | 30,156 ARS | 22,329 ARS | -1.03 | -14.44 | 2.3K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 29,715 ARS | -3.1% | 30,104 ARS | 22,171 ARS | -0.96 | -21.14 | 380 | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 30,660 ARS | -0.1% | 30,060 ARS | 22,016 ARS | -0.45 | -20.44 | 1.0K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 30,680 ARS | 3.4% | 29,993 ARS | 21,855 ARS | 0.10 | -13.82 | 11.4K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 29,660 ARS | -6.8% | 29,918 ARS | 21,693 ARS | 0.28 | -19.07 | 14.7K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 31,840 ARS | -1.7% | 29,884 ARS | 21,537 ARS | 0.42 | -3.69 | 14.2K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 32,400 ARS | 3.8% | 29,835 ARS | 21,364 ARS | 0.24 | 3.15 | 11.7K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 31,200 ARS | -1.1% | 29,762 ARS | 21,189 ARS | -0.15 | -2.68 | 5.8K | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 31,540 ARS | 0.2% | 29,675 ARS | 21,021 ARS | -0.09 | -3.86 | 5.1K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.