JMIA NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Jumia Technologies AG · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail

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Latest close 5.95 USD
1.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -27.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a -15.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 34/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 17 out of 100
Latest Close 5.95 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.5% latest completed week
4W Return -15.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -23.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 53.8% 28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.5% Latest completed week; four-week move -15.6%. Indicator stack 30/17 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 34/100 conviction; expected move 8.8%. News sentiment 52/100 51 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -27.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a -15.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0412-week average 0.04

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -15.6% over four weeks, -23.4% over 12 weeks, and 33.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.5%
4W-15.6%
12W-23.4%
26W-55.5%
52W33.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.36Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-327.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-40.90Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-39.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength15/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Value14/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality28/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Momentum73/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Growth83/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-5.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
53.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-25.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-17.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
31.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

JMIA shows mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.93, expected move of 8.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction35/100
Expected move8.8%
Put/call volume0.93
Pressure11
Speculation40
Volatility84
Trend agreement48
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

9 positive · 38 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-59.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher8 of 2618 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.9%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-21.7%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+1.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses12
Recent vol7.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.8% / -6.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape21/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 21/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis18/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Factors30/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 65; Small Cap Core rank 85 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options45/100

JMIA shows mixed options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.93, expected move of 8.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 8.8% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

Jumia Technologies AG (JMIA) Financial Health: Profitability & Balance Sheet Analysis Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20265.95 USD1.5%8.15 USD6.01 USD-0.36-40.905.3MOff
24 Jul 20265.86 USD-9.8%8.38 USD6.00 USD-0.14-41.0911.8MOff
17 Jul 20266.50 USD-7.3%8.58 USD5.99 USD0.01-35.026.1MOff
10 Jul 20267.01 USD-0.6%8.80 USD5.97 USD0.11-30.885.3MOff
3 Jul 20267.05 USD10.8%8.97 USD5.95 USD0.16-29.318.3MOff
26 Jun 20266.36 USD-9.7%9.14 USD5.93 USD0.12-34.6311.2MOff
19 Jun 20267.04 USD-0.6%9.35 USD5.91 USD0.07-29.095.8MOff
12 Jun 20267.08 USD8.3%9.45 USD5.89 USD-0.00-27.619.9MOff
5 Jun 20266.54 USD-9.9%9.56 USD5.87 USD-0.21-32.3111.6MOff
29 May 20267.26 USD4.2%9.71 USD5.85 USD-0.36-26.407.4MOff
22 May 20266.97 USD-0.4%9.83 USD5.82 USD-0.64-27.9011.2MOff
15 May 20267.00 USD-9.9%9.96 USD5.80 USD-0.80-26.5615.5MOff
8 May 20267.77 USD10.5%10.09 USD5.77 USD-0.83-17.8123.3MOff
1 May 20267.03 USD-1.5%10.21 USD5.74 USD-1.03-23.366.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.