- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
MSA
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
MSA Safety · Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Latest close
174.6 USD
2.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 43.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a 2.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 33/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.
Setup score
45
out of 100
Latest Close
174.6 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
2.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
2.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
5.7%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
40.4%
21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move 2.5%.
Indicator stack
22/64
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Mixed
33/100 conviction; expected move 18.0%.
News sentiment
56/100
55 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
2d
Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 43.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a 2.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1312-week average 0.18
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.13Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 2.5% over four weeks, 5.7% over 12 weeks, and -1.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change134.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.17Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change31.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength20/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Value18/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Quality83/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Momentum26/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Growth35/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework65/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 23.2x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 3.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 14.7x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 6.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 46.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 21.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 23.3% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 17.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 5.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 1.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 23.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 1.9% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.0x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningMixed
MSA shows mixed options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.71, expected move of 18.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction33/100
Expected move18.0%
Put/call volume0.71
Insider activity13 / 2
13 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.
18 positive · 37 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move18.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.0%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-6.1%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.1%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses14
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.7%
Trend breadth52.0%
Trend52.0%active weekly trend signals
MD53.0%positive activity pressure
RS56.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Security & Protection Services
4-week rank8 / 21
Group average-3.5%
Trend breadth23.8%
Trend23.8%active weekly trend signals
MD42.9%positive activity pressure
RS23.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape41/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 41/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis16/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.13; No reversal markers Factors36/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 24; Small Cap Core rank 81 SVQF65/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 356.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options47/100MSA shows mixed options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.71, expected move of 18.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 18.0% Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.
Earnings call transcript: MSA Safety tops Q2 2026 forecasts, shares jump 10% Insiders13 / 213 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 174.6 USD | 2.1% | 173.9 USD | 168.0 USD | 0.16 | -5.17 | 1.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 171.0 USD | 0.2% | 173.5 USD | 167.9 USD | 0.09 | -8.00 | 967.6K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 170.6 USD | -0.5% | 173.1 USD | 167.8 USD | 0.01 | -9.98 | 1.3M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 171.5 USD | 0.6% | 172.8 USD | 167.8 USD | -0.23 | -8.64 | 1.4M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 170.5 USD | 3.7% | 172.5 USD | 167.7 USD | -0.47 | -7.57 | 1.6M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 164.4 USD | 2.8% | 172.2 USD | 167.7 USD | -0.61 | -13.23 | 1.8M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 159.9 USD | -0.9% | 171.8 USD | 167.6 USD | -0.71 | -15.19 | 2.0M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 161.3 USD | -2.7% | 171.7 USD | 167.6 USD | -0.57 | -14.31 | 1.6M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 165.8 USD | -3.0% | 171.6 USD | 167.5 USD | -0.40 | -14.49 | 1.8M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 170.9 USD | -0.2% | 171.2 USD | 167.3 USD | -0.42 | -10.94 | 1.0M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 171.2 USD | 1.1% | 171.1 USD | 167.1 USD | -0.44 | -10.29 | 1.8M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 169.4 USD | 2.5% | 170.8 USD | 166.9 USD | -0.42 | -11.31 | 1.8M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 165.3 USD | -2.4% | 170.8 USD | 166.7 USD | -0.53 | -11.75 | 1.2M | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 169.3 USD | -1.9% | 171.0 USD | 166.5 USD | -0.50 | -9.05 | 913.9K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.