NVR NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

NVR Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

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Latest close 6,147 USD
-4.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.2%, after a -8.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 48/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 80d.

Setup score 30 out of 100
Latest Close 6,147 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.2% latest completed week
4W Return -8.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 2.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 21.2% 11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.2% Latest completed week; four-week move -8.9%. Indicator stack 12/59 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 48/100 17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 80d Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.2%, after a -8.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2012-week average 0.08

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.20Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -8.9% over four weeks, 2.9% over 12 weeks, and -20.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.2%
4W-8.9%
12W2.9%
26W-19.5%
52W-20.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.53Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-10.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-21.48Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-35.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength11/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Value32/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Quality35/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Momentum18/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Growth4/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework78/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
15.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
14.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
18.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
13.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
12.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
28.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-15.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-24.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
10.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
10.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity18 / 1

18 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.

2 positive · 10 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings80dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.5%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-7.4%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-4.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape29/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis22/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.20; No reversal markers Factors23/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 5; Small Cap Core rank 43 SVQF78/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 225.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment48/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.

Form 4 NVR Inc For: 31 July By Investing.com Insiders18 / 1

18 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings80d

Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20266,147 USD-4.2%6,740 USD7,447 USD0.53-21.48161.5KOff
24 Jul 20266,415 USD-1.2%6,778 USD7,448 USD0.56-17.82179.1KOff
17 Jul 20266,490 USD0.2%6,810 USD7,447 USD0.68-17.90186.4KOff
10 Jul 20266,479 USD-4.0%6,840 USD7,446 USD0.62-19.7797.3KOff
3 Jul 20266,751 USD-1.1%6,875 USD7,445 USD0.59-15.8493.8KOff
26 Jun 20266,829 USD5.2%6,901 USD7,441 USD0.38-13.53161.5KOff
19 Jun 20266,491 USD1.8%6,924 USD7,438 USD-0.06-20.15133.8KOff
12 Jun 20266,375 USD3.1%6,954 USD7,436 USD-0.41-21.33145.8KOff
5 Jun 20266,183 USD1.3%6,983 USD7,433 USD-0.77-23.76173.3KOff
29 May 20266,105 USD1.1%7,019 USD7,431 USD-1.02-27.07176.7KOff
22 May 20266,037 USD8.5%7,056 USD7,428 USD-1.19-27.35132.5KOff
15 May 20265,564 USD-6.9%7,102 USD7,426 USD-1.16-32.95119.0KOff
8 May 20265,974 USD-2.9%7,172 USD7,428 USD-0.99-28.4787.5KOff
1 May 20266,154 USD-5.4%7,221 USD7,427 USD-0.90-25.18102.7KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.