- The trend backdrop is active with a 21-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
SFD
NASDAQ
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Smithfield Foods, Inc. Common Stock · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Latest close
26.26 USD
1.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 4.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 42/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 13d.
Setup score
51
out of 100
Latest Close
26.26 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
1.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
1.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
55.8%
29 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.90% based on similar historical setup states.
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.5%.
Indicator stack
76/25
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.90%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bearish
42/100 conviction; expected move 10.7%.
News sentiment
53/100
62 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
13d
Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 4.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.5812-week average 0.76
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.58Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.5% over four weeks, 1.1% over 12 weeks, and 14.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 21 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak21 weeks
Active weeks in one year29
Trend breadth55.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.91Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-109.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.53Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change106.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength86/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Value92/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Quality66/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Momentum35/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Growth30/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework80/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 10.3x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 7.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 12.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 13.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 8.5% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 9.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 13.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 7.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -1.3% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 1.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 4.3% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 4.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBearish
SFD shows bearish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.61, expected move of 10.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction42/100
Expected move10.7%
Put/call volume1.61
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.
15 positive · 42 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings13dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.4%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-10.4%Week of 1 May.
Latest week+1.9%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses2
Recent vol4.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Defensive
4-week rank19 / 100
Group average-0.3%
Trend breadth49.0%
Trend49.0%active weekly trend signals
MD58.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Packaged Foods
4-week rank10 / 58
Group average-4.1%
Trend breadth34.5%
Trend34.5%active weekly trend signals
MD53.4%positive activity pressure
RS22.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape51/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 51/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis49/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.58; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.90%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.90% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors70/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 60; Small Cap Core rank 10 SVQF80/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 143.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options52/100SFD shows bearish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.61, expected move of 10.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 10.7% Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.
Smithfield discusses why Sioux Falls is the ideal location for new facility Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings13dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 26.26 USD | 1.9% | 25.08 USD | 22.84 USD | -0.91 | 0.53 | 4.9M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 25.77 USD | 4.5% | 24.94 USD | 22.80 USD | -0.86 | -3.02 | 7.5M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 24.67 USD | 0.4% | 24.82 USD | 22.76 USD | -0.86 | -11.17 | 7.1M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 24.58 USD | -2.1% | 24.73 USD | 22.73 USD | -0.68 | -10.23 | 4.6M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 25.12 USD | 0.7% | 24.63 USD | 22.71 USD | -0.44 | -7.82 | 6.5M | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 24.94 USD | -6.8% | 24.49 USD | 22.68 USD | -0.37 | -12.81 | 6.3M | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 26.77 USD | -0.4% | 24.36 USD | 22.64 USD | -0.24 | -4.34 | 5.3M | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 26.87 USD | 4.0% | 24.17 USD | 22.59 USD | -0.22 | -2.05 | 6.1M | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 25.83 USD | -1.9% | 23.98 USD | 22.53 USD | -0.11 | -10.23 | 4.8M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 26.34 USD | 5.3% | 23.83 USD | 22.48 USD | 0.17 | -6.19 | 5.5M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 25.01 USD | -2.4% | 23.64 USD | 22.42 USD | 0.53 | -10.13 | 6.7M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 25.63 USD | -1.3% | 23.53 USD | 22.38 USD | 0.92 | -8.55 | 6.2M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 25.96 USD | -10.4% | 23.35 USD | 22.33 USD | 1.25 | -2.62 | 9.8M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 28.99 USD | 1.2% | 23.24 USD | 22.28 USD | 1.48 | 10.07 | 7.3M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.