CCL NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Carnival Corporation · Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

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Latest close 26.33 USD
-0.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 29.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a -9.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 57/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 59d.

Setup score 33 out of 100
Latest Close 26.33 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.3% latest completed week
4W Return -9.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 38.5% 20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 60.57% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -9.4%. Indicator stack 21/37 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 60.57% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 57/100 conviction; expected move 5.8%. News sentiment 58/100 47 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 59d Next report is scheduled for 28 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 29.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a -9.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3612-week average 0.19

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.36Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -9.4% over four weeks, -0.6% over 12 weeks, and -10.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.3%
4W-9.4%
12W-0.6%
26W-6.8%
52W-10.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.15Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-124.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-14.00Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-147.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Nov 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength86/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Value86/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Quality88/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Momentum23/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Growth67/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework57/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
11.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
17.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
34.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
15.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
38.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
5.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
21.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
28.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.1%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

CCL shows volatility options pressure with a 57/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.02, expected move of 5.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction57/100
Expected move5.8%
Put/call volume2.02
Pressure-37
Speculation42
Volatility79
Trend agreement95
Open options detail
Insider activity10 / 10

10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 47 relevant articles.

18 positive · 26 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings59dNext report is scheduled for 28 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-21.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.2%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-18.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-0.3%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -4.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape33/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis24/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.36; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 60.57%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 60.57% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors72/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 63 SVQF57/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 441.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options64/100

CCL shows volatility options pressure with a 57/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.02, expected move of 5.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 5.8% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 47 relevant articles.

Arrowstreet Capital Limited Partnership Has $51.89 Million Stock Holdings in Carnival Corporation $CCL Insiders10 / 10

10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings59d

Next report is scheduled for 28 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow2 items

0 recent research articles and 2 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202626.33 USD-0.3%27.98 USD21.93 USD-0.15-14.0097.6MOff
17 Jul 202626.41 USD-1.6%28.12 USD21.88 USD0.19-14.6880.6MOff
10 Jul 202626.83 USD-3.9%28.26 USD21.82 USD0.51-15.1190.0MOff
3 Jul 202627.91 USD-4.0%28.28 USD21.76 USD0.71-10.9274.9MOff
26 Jun 202629.07 USD-5.8%28.20 USD21.70 USD0.61-5.66165.1MOff
19 Jun 202630.87 USD5.8%28.08 USD21.64 USD0.30-2.40118.7MOff
12 Jun 202629.18 USD6.5%27.93 USD21.54 USD-0.03-6.83130.2MOff
5 Jun 202627.41 USD-2.3%27.81 USD21.45 USD-0.43-11.9193.6MOff
29 May 202628.06 USD8.0%27.78 USD21.36 USD-0.41-12.21115.0MOff
22 May 202625.98 USD6.1%27.80 USD21.26 USD-0.50-17.62156.9MOff
15 May 202624.49 USD-6.6%27.90 USD21.16 USD-0.53-21.79136.7MOff
8 May 202626.22 USD-1.1%28.02 USD21.07 USD-0.38-16.33218.9MOff
1 May 202626.50 USD-1.9%28.06 USD20.97 USD-0.45-13.46110.8MOff
24 Apr 202627.01 USD-7.0%28.12 USD20.86 USD-0.53-10.88104.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.