HMSP JKT Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Name: HMSP weekly investor report
Creator: Sharemaestro
License: https://sharemaestro.com/data-license/

PT Hanjaya Mandala Sampoerna Tbk · Consumer Defensive · Tobacco

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Latest close 735.0 IDR

2.1% latest week

Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 4.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 58.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a 11.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 53 out of 100

Latest Close 735.0 IDR 31 Jul 2026

1W Return 2.1% latest completed week

4W Return 11.4% short-term follow-through

12W Return 4.7% quarterly tape

Trend Breadth 53.8% 28 of 52 weeks active

Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average

What is working

Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.

What could go wrong

The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.39% based on similar historical setup states.
Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

What to watch next

Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.

Price follow-through 2.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 11.4%. Indicator stack 30/69 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 43.39% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 0 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.

01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 4.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 58.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a 11.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Position in the 52-week range

Close Trend Fair

470.9 IDR 58.4% 923.4 IDR

Range location58.4%Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.

Trend distance4.2%Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.

Fair-value gap16.2%Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.

High-water gap-20.4%Distance from the latest 52-week high.

02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction

6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul

Up week Down week

Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2012-week average 0.20

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.

Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.

Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.

Activity pressure0.20Current proprietary activity-pressure read.

Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.

Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.4% over four weeks, 4.7% over 12 weeks, and 46.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.1%

4W11.4%

12W4.7%

26W-2.9%

52W46.0%

Active trend streak0 weeks

Active weeks in one year28

Trend breadth53.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership

Pressure0.43Latest activity-pressure read.

Pressure change139.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.

Leadership28.53Latest relative-leadership reading.

RS change6.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.

04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

0 positive · 0 neutral · 0 negative

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal

06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.

Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.

52-week drawdown-20.4%Distance below the 52-week high.

13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

6 Feb 6 Mar 3 Apr 1 May 29 May 26 Jun 31 Jul

Weeks higher15 of 269 weeks finished lower.

Best week+6.7%Week of 6 Feb.

Worst week-9.8%Week of 13 Mar.

Latest week+2.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4

Modest gains11

Flat weeks2

Modest losses5

Sharp losses4

Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.

Base vol7.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.

Up/down split26/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.

Average skew5.7% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.

07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorID Consumer Defensive

4-week rank27 / 100

Group average9.8%

Trend breadth12.0%

Trend12.0%active weekly trend signals

MD41.0%positive activity pressure

RS72.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

AGAR · JKT205.8%BEEF · JKT92.2%NSSS · JKT78.2%RLCO · JKT65.6%SGRO · JKT45.3%

IndustryID Tobacco

4-week rank2 / 4

Group average11.9%

Trend breadth25.0%

Trend25.0%active weekly trend signals

MD75.0%positive activity pressure

RS75.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

GGRM · JKT20.4%HMSP · JKT11.4%WIIM · JKT8.6%ITIC · JKT7.1%

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape49/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.

Indicator analysis34/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.20; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.39%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.39% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 0 relevant articles.

Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Week	Close	Return	Trend Line	Fair Value	Pressure	Leadership	Volume	Trend
31 Jul 2026	735.0 IDR	2.1%	705.4 IDR	632.6 IDR	0.43	28.53	65.8M	Off
24 Jul 2026	720.0 IDR	4.3%	703.7 IDR	632.8 IDR	0.06	28.09	75.2M	Off
17 Jul 2026	690.0 IDR	0.7%	701.7 IDR	632.9 IDR	-0.35	24.31	41.2M	Off
10 Jul 2026	685.0 IDR	3.8%	700.8 IDR	633.2 IDR	-0.66	29.65	57.3M	Off
3 Jul 2026	660.0 IDR	0.8%	700.5 IDR	633.5 IDR	-1.08	26.91	67.5M	Off
26 Jun 2026	655.0 IDR	1.6%	703.3 IDR	633.9 IDR	-1.36	26.33	17.6M	Off
19 Jun 2026	645.0 IDR	6.6%	706.7 IDR	634.4 IDR	-1.36	19.55	31.1M	Off
12 Jun 2026	605.0 IDR	-4.0%	710.6 IDR	635.0 IDR	-1.35	15.85	32.6M	Off
5 Jun 2026	630.0 IDR	-9.4%	715.8 IDR	635.8 IDR	-1.24	30.15	8.0M	Off
29 May 2026	695.0 IDR	1.7%	721.1 IDR	636.4 IDR	-1.11	32.10	93.8M	Off
22 May 2026	683.3 IDR	0.0%	724.9 IDR	636.6 IDR	-1.16	30.21	119.5M	Off
15 May 2026	683.3 IDR	-2.6%	726.3 IDR	636.7 IDR	-1.28	20.27	36.0M	Off
8 May 2026	701.8 IDR	1.3%	724.3 IDR	637.0 IDR	-1.31	19.92	89.2M	Off
1 May 2026	692.6 IDR	4.9%	722.7 IDR	637.3 IDR	-1.30	19.26	154.7M	Off

How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.