MHO NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

M/I Homes Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction

Latest close 146.1 USD
-2.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 62.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.5%, after a -6.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 31/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 46 out of 100
Latest Close 146.1 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.5% latest completed week
4W Return -6.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 10.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 62.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.5%, after a -6.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6212-week average 0.29

12-week confirmation

Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.62Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.8% over four weeks, 10.8% over 12 weeks, and 19.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.5%
4W-6.8%
12W10.8%
26W9.3%
52W19.2%
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.69Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-49.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.22Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-140.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength85/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Value89/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Quality25/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Momentum75/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Growth7/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework96/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
10.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
22.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
12.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
5.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
12.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-1.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-33.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
56.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
4.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

MHO shows mixed options pressure with a 31/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 7.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction31/100
Expected move7.0%
Put/call volume
Pressure11
Speculation0
Volatility53
Trend agreement80
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 11

9 acquisitions and 11 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

14 positive · 34 neutral · 7 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move7.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.3%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-8.0%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-2.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.7% / -4.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026146.1 USD-2.5%137.2 USD128.7 USD0.69-2.221.3MOn
24 Jul 2026149.8 USD0.2%136.6 USD128.4 USD0.851.31989.1KOn
17 Jul 2026149.5 USD1.5%135.9 USD128.1 USD1.150.601.1MOn
10 Jul 2026147.3 USD-6.1%135.1 USD127.7 USD1.36-2.251.1MOn
3 Jul 2026156.8 USD-3.8%134.7 USD127.4 USD1.365.481.0MOn
26 Jun 2026163.0 USD9.3%134.0 USD126.9 USD1.1712.252.2MOn
19 Jun 2026149.1 USD5.5%133.1 USD126.4 USD0.610.601.3MOff
12 Jun 2026141.3 USD2.9%132.5 USD126.0 USD0.05-3.57916.2KOff
5 Jun 2026137.3 USD4.3%132.1 USD125.6 USD-0.42-5.681.1MOff
29 May 2026131.6 USD1.4%131.8 USD125.2 USD-0.68-11.82866.8KOff
22 May 2026129.8 USD7.0%131.6 USD124.8 USD-0.64-11.84977.2KOff
15 May 2026121.3 USD-8.0%131.6 USD124.4 USD-0.52-16.98948.4KOff
8 May 2026131.9 USD1.4%132.1 USD124.1 USD-0.48-9.81931.4KOff
1 May 2026130.1 USD-2.7%132.0 USD123.7 USD-0.56-9.081.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.