AVO NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Mission Produce Inc · Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution

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Latest close 12.61 USD
1.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 46.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a 1.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 54/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 39d.

Setup score 39 out of 100
Latest Close 12.61 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.5% latest completed week
4W Return 1.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -3.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 1.0%. Indicator stack 36/55 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 54/100 conviction; expected move 8.1%. News sentiment 58/100 51 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 39d Next report is scheduled for 09 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 46.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a 1.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1512-week average 0.37

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.0% over four weeks, -3.6% over 12 weeks, and 3.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.5%
4W1.0%
12W-3.6%
26W-6.3%
52W3.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change81.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.15Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change35.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength10/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Value29/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality24/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Momentum28/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Growth3/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework20/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
48.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
15.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
12.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
10.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-10.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-37.9%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
15.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

AVO shows volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.04, expected move of 8.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction54/100
Expected move8.1%
Put/call volume0.04
Pressure100
Speculation18
Volatility82
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity19 / 1

19 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

23 positive · 26 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings39dNext report is scheduled for 09 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-18.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.1%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-11.9%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+1.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape38/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis13/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers Factors21/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 38; Small Cap Core rank 74 SVQF20/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 578.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options36/100

AVO shows volatility options pressure with a 54/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.04, expected move of 8.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 8.1% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

Mission Produce (AVO) Could Be 15% Below Fair Value Following Weak Q2 Revenue Insiders19 / 1

19 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings39d

Next report is scheduled for 09 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202612.61 USD1.5%12.99 USD11.62 USD-0.10-9.152.8MOff
24 Jul 202612.42 USD-8.6%12.95 USD11.62 USD-0.24-10.353.8MOff
17 Jul 202613.59 USD2.0%12.93 USD11.61 USD-0.20-3.774.9MOff
10 Jul 202613.33 USD6.7%12.92 USD11.60 USD-0.33-9.718.8MOff
3 Jul 202612.49 USD1.9%12.89 USD11.59 USD-0.53-14.165.1MOff
26 Jun 202612.26 USD6.7%12.88 USD11.59 USD-0.64-15.358.8MOff
19 Jun 202611.49 USD2.6%12.87 USD11.59 USD-0.86-24.558.1MOff
12 Jun 202611.20 USD9.6%12.87 USD11.59 USD-1.00-25.0814.4MOff
5 Jun 202610.22 USD-8.3%12.91 USD11.60 USD-1.15-30.577.6MOff
29 May 202611.14 USD-6.5%12.98 USD11.62 USD-1.01-28.156.2MOff
22 May 202611.92 USD-0.3%13.00 USD11.63 USD-0.70-21.364.7MOff
15 May 202611.95 USD-8.6%12.99 USD11.63 USD-0.33-20.453.9MOn
8 May 202613.08 USD-5.3%12.98 USD11.63 USD0.13-13.534.8MOn
1 May 202613.81 USD-0.1%12.94 USD11.62 USD0.51-3.946.5MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.