- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.77% based on similar historical setup states.
PFGC
NYSE
Week ended 09 Oct 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Performance Food Group Co · Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution
Latest close
94.88 USD
1.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 38.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.1%, after a 1.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 22d.
Setup score
41
out of 100
Latest Close
94.88 USD
9 Oct 2026
1W Return
1.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
1.0%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-15.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
40.4%
21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move 1.0%.
Indicator stack
22/26
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.77%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bearish
49/100 conviction; expected move 6.3%.
News sentiment
49/100
25 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
22d
Next report is scheduled for 04 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 38.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.1%, after a 1.0% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
7 Aug
14 Aug
21 Aug
28 Aug
4 Sep
11 Sep
18 Sep
25 Sep
2 Oct
9 Oct
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4612-week average 0.79
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.46Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 1.0% over four weeks, -15.1% over 12 weeks, and -5.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.04Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-59.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.76Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change7.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 09 Oct 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 92%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength12/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Value31/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Quality25/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Momentum24/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Growth68/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework20/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 41.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 13.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 11.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 1.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 1.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 5.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 7.2% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 5.6% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 46.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.1% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -0.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 4.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBearish
PFGC shows bearish options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.37, expected move of 6.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction49/100
Expected move6.3%
Put/call volume2.37
Insider activity0 / 20
0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 25 relevant articles.
7 positive · 13 neutral · 5 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings22dNext report is scheduled for 04 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
17 Apr
15 May
12 Jun
10 Jul
7 Aug
4 Sep
9 Oct
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.2%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-6.7%Week of 14 Aug.
Latest week+1.1%Week of 9 Oct.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Defensive
4-week rank39 / 100
Group average0.0%
Trend breadth35.0%
Trend35.0%active weekly trend signals
MD26.0%positive activity pressure
RS17.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Food Distribution
4-week rank3 / 9
Group average-3.0%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD44.4%positive activity pressure
RS11.1%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape40/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 40/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis47/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.46; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.77%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.77% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors21/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 78; Small Cap Core rank 74 SVQF20/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 852.5 of 1061 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options47/100Put activity leads. Options balance and the saved weekly stock trend agree.
2026-10-12 · Use with limits · Priced move ±6.3% Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 25 relevant articles.
Performance Food Group (NYSE:PFGC) Share Price Breaks Below Fifty Day Moving Average - Here's What Happened Insiders0 / 200 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings22dNext report is scheduled for 04 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Research flow2 items2 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Oct 2026 | 94.88 USD | 1.1% | 98.75 USD | 85.13 USD | -1.04 | -10.76 | 5.7M | Off |
| 2 Oct 2026 | 93.85 USD | 2.5% | 98.53 USD | 84.87 USD | -1.05 | -11.11 | 6.8M | Off |
| 25 Sep 2026 | 91.55 USD | -0.4% | 98.31 USD | 84.62 USD | -1.00 | -13.87 | 6.5M | Off |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 91.93 USD | -2.1% | 98.50 USD | 84.41 USD | -0.86 | -12.91 | 10.1M | Off |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 93.94 USD | -4.8% | 98.70 USD | 84.21 USD | -0.65 | -11.57 | 5.6M | On |
| 4 Sep 2026 | 98.63 USD | -2.2% | 98.83 USD | 83.99 USD | -0.13 | -8.37 | 6.8M | On |
| 28 Aug 2026 | 100.85 USD | -3.9% | 98.69 USD | 83.74 USD | 0.42 | -6.67 | 6.6M | On |
| 21 Aug 2026 | 104.98 USD | -2.1% | 98.51 USD | 83.49 USD | 0.91 | -2.75 | 7.9M | On |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 107.25 USD | -6.7% | 98.14 USD | 83.21 USD | 1.19 | -2.30 | 13.6M | On |
| 7 Aug 2026 | 114.90 USD | 0.4% | 97.82 USD | 82.93 USD | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.8M | On |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 114.39 USD | 2.6% | 97.02 USD | 82.56 USD | 1.37 | 7.72 | 7.5M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 111.49 USD | -0.2% | 96.14 USD | 82.21 USD | 1.38 | 5.99 | 7.9M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 111.76 USD | -1.4% | 95.48 USD | 81.89 USD | 1.48 | 5.54 | 10.1M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 113.36 USD | 0.2% | 94.81 USD | 81.57 USD | 1.35 | 5.27 | 6.8M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.