USFD NYSE Week ended 09 Oct 2026

Weekly Investor Report

US Foods Holding Corp · Consumer Defensive · Food Distribution

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Latest close 97.43 USD
0.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 66.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.5%, after a 2.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 23d.

Setup score 42 out of 100
Latest Close 97.43 USD 9 Oct 2026
1W Return 0.5% latest completed week
4W Return 2.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 18-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 8 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 2.2%. Indicator stack 81/13 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 43/100 conviction; expected move 2.6%. News sentiment 53/100 31 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 23d Next report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 66.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.5%, after a 2.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep 25 Sep 2 Oct 9 Oct
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7312-week average 0.82

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.73Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers88 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 8 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 2.2% over four weeks, 0.2% over 12 weeks, and 29.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 18 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.5%
4W2.2%
12W0.2%
26W6.6%
52W29.6%
Active trend streak18 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.70Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-302.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-0.34Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1556.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Oct 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 92%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength55/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 46; rank 1 is best.
Value28/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
Quality73/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Momentum78/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Growth36/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework46/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
29.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
14.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
17.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
2.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
31.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
1.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
5.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

USFD shows bullish options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.29, expected move of 2.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction43/100
Expected move2.6%
Put/call volume0.29
Pressure57
Speculation8
Volatility33
Trend agreement56
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 12

8 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

8 positive · 17 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings23dNext report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move2.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.3%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-9.3%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+0.5%Week of 9 Oct.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses12
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.3% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape42/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 42/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis68/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 9/12.

Activity pressure 0.73; 8 reversal markers Factors57/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 10; Small Cap Core rank 69 SVQF46/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 577.0 of 1061 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options59/100

Call activity leads. Options balance does not yet confirm the saved weekly stock trend.

2026-10-12 · Checks passed · Priced move ±2.6% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

US Foods Holding Corp. (NYSE:USFD) Stock Has Consensus Price Target of $114.54 According to Brokerages Insiders8 / 12

8 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings23d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Nov 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow2 items

2 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
9 Oct 202697.43 USD0.5%95.14 USD70.66 USD-0.70-0.347.7MOn
2 Oct 202696.92 USD3.8%95.05 USD70.27 USD-0.530.4311.7MOn
25 Sep 202693.33 USD-0.1%94.82 USD69.89 USD-0.25-3.3412.8MOn
18 Sep 202693.42 USD-2.0%94.93 USD69.54 USD0.08-1.9517.9MOn
11 Sep 202695.34 USD-8.4%95.04 USD69.20 USD0.350.0210.4MOn
4 Sep 2026104.04 USD-3.0%95.20 USD68.85 USD0.648.369.1MOn
28 Aug 2026107.27 USD-2.1%94.74 USD68.43 USD0.8412.087.2MOn
21 Aug 2026109.62 USD0.6%93.95 USD68.01 USD0.7815.418.3MOn
14 Aug 2026108.92 USD0.0%93.01 USD67.56 USD0.6513.4710.9MOn
7 Aug 2026108.88 USD8.2%92.23 USD67.12 USD0.5513.9715.9MOn
31 Jul 2026100.59 USD3.5%91.12 USD66.68 USD0.469.2211.0MOn
24 Jul 202697.17 USD-0.1%90.26 USD66.31 USD0.576.6510.6MOn
17 Jul 202697.27 USD-3.7%89.56 USD65.96 USD0.696.1512.1MOn
10 Jul 2026100.98 USD-3.2%88.90 USD65.62 USD0.568.4414.6MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context