CAAS NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

China Automotive Systems Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Latest close 4.51 USD
3.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 50.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.7%, after a 0.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 60/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 9d.

Setup score 43 out of 100
Latest Close 4.51 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.7% latest completed week
4W Return 0.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 50.0% 26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 50.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.7%, after a 0.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.2x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5612-week average 0.50

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.56Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.9% over four weeks, 0.2% over 12 weeks, and 9.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.7%
4W0.9%
12W0.2%
26W1.8%
52W9.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.42Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-212.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.04Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change46.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength97/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Value99/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality79/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Momentum68/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Growth92/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework87/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
3.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
3.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
60.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
18.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
19.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
11.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
20.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
49.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

CAAS shows volatility options pressure with a 60/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 19.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction60/100
Expected move19.9%
Put/call volume
Pressure-88
Speculation1
Volatility96
Trend agreement49
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 47 relevant articles.

8 positive · 34 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings9dNext report is scheduled for 12 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move19.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.1%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-5.9%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+3.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains10
Flat weeks1
Modest losses10
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20264.51 USD3.7%4.43 USD3.86 USD-0.42-6.04156.2KOff
24 Jul 20264.35 USD-0.9%4.43 USD3.86 USD-0.35-9.1044.1KOff
17 Jul 20264.39 USD0.9%4.42 USD3.86 USD-0.10-10.0262.1KOff
10 Jul 20264.35 USD-2.7%4.42 USD3.86 USD0.04-14.8363.3KOn
3 Jul 20264.47 USD0.7%4.42 USD3.86 USD0.38-11.2831.2KOn
26 Jun 20264.44 USD-0.4%4.41 USD3.86 USD0.44-11.4398.5KOn
19 Jun 20264.46 USD-3.5%4.39 USD3.85 USD0.58-15.3158.6KOn
12 Jun 20264.62 USD4.3%4.38 USD3.85 USD0.83-10.43191.0KOn
5 Jun 20264.43 USD-4.7%4.37 USD3.85 USD0.89-12.56129.6KOn
29 May 20264.65 USD0.4%4.36 USD3.85 USD0.99-12.75117.8KOn
22 May 20264.63 USD-2.1%4.35 USD3.84 USD0.70-10.99256.3KOn
15 May 20264.73 USD5.1%4.34 USD3.84 USD0.41-8.33250.2KOn
8 May 20264.50 USD1.8%4.33 USD3.84 USD-0.13-13.36242.0KOn
1 May 20264.42 USD-1.1%4.32 USD3.83 USD-0.52-10.71118.1KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.