APA MEX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

APA Corporation · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Latest close 641.0 MXN
7.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.1%, after a 11.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 641.0 MXN 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 7.1% latest completed week
4W Return 11.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -7.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 84.6% 44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 31.25% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.1%, after a 11.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5012-week average 0.75

12-week confirmation

Trend active11/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.50Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.6% over four weeks, -7.1% over 12 weeks, and 87.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W7.1%
4W11.6%
12W-7.1%
26W41.9%
52W87.7%
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year44
Trend breadth84.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.78Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-51.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership20.34Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change117.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 7 relevant articles.

1 positive · 6 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+25.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Worst week-17.5%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week+7.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains2
Flat weeks4
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol7.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/15Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.6% / -6.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026641.0 MXN7.1%600.4 MXN518.0 MXN-0.7820.34459On
17 Jul 2026598.4 MXN0.0%593.5 MXN518.1 MXN-0.7712.910Off
10 Jul 2026598.4 MXN6.2%587.8 MXN518.4 MXN-0.7313.8615On
3 Jul 2026563.4 MXN-1.9%584.1 MXN518.6 MXN-0.636.8922.4KOn
26 Jun 2026574.3 MXN-12.3%581.6 MXN518.8 MXN-0.529.342.3KOn
19 Jun 2026655.2 MXN-0.7%577.0 MXN518.9 MXN-0.3824.640On
12 Jun 2026660.0 MXN-8.8%569.7 MXN518.3 MXN-0.1026.190On
5 Jun 2026724.0 MXN0.0%562.2 MXN517.8 MXN0.0943.540On
29 May 2026724.0 MXN8.1%552.8 MXN516.9 MXN0.1640.187On
22 May 2026670.0 MXN-0.9%542.5 MXN516.0 MXN0.3031.862.2KOn
15 May 2026676.0 MXN9.6%535.3 MXN515.6 MXN0.3135.21542On
8 May 2026616.6 MXN-10.6%527.7 MXN515.2 MXN0.4521.292.6KOn
1 May 2026690.0 MXN6.2%522.1 MXN514.9 MXN0.6340.9825On
24 Apr 2026650.0 MXN-2.6%513.2 MXN514.2 MXN0.8531.7366On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.