BIRK NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Birkenstock Holding plc · Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

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Latest close 38.72 USD
-4.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -3.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.7%, after a -15.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 11d.

Setup score 25 out of 100
Latest Close 38.72 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.7% latest completed week
4W Return -15.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -1.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 15.4% 8 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.7% Latest completed week; four-week move -15.8%. Indicator stack 29/46 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 52/100 conviction; expected move 13.5%. News sentiment 53/100 39 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 11d Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -3.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 33.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.7%, after a -15.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5812-week average 0.31

12-week confirmation

Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.58Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -15.8% over four weeks, -1.6% over 12 weeks, and -21.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.7%
4W-15.8%
12W-1.6%
26W2.5%
52W-21.2%
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year8
Trend breadth15.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.14Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-85.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-15.76Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-529.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength30/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Value30/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Quality88/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 13; rank 1 is best.
Momentum16/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Growth84/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework68/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
20.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
13.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
56.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
24.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
24.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
12.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
41.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
14.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
9/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

BIRK shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 6.69, expected move of 13.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction52/100
Expected move13.5%
Put/call volume6.69
Pressure-86
Speculation12
Volatility90
Trend agreement18
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 39 relevant articles.

9 positive · 28 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move13.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-27.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+32.7%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-20.7%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-4.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses7
Recent vol12.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.1% / -5.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape28/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 28/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis54/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.58; No reversal markers Factors41/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 21; Small Cap Core rank 75 SVQF68/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 327.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options41/100

BIRK shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 6.69, expected move of 13.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 13.5% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 39 relevant articles.

BIRK|Birkenstock Holding PLC|Price:41.510|Chg%:-0.340 Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings11d

Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202638.72 USD-4.7%40.24 USD47.25 USD0.14-15.767.0MOn
24 Jul 202640.63 USD-8.4%40.34 USD47.31 USD0.42-11.416.3MOn
17 Jul 202644.36 USD-2.5%40.40 USD47.36 USD0.68-4.707.3MOn
10 Jul 202645.48 USD-1.1%40.34 USD47.38 USD0.83-4.406.3MOn
3 Jul 202645.99 USD3.5%40.34 USD47.39 USD0.91-2.507.4MOn
26 Jun 202644.42 USD-3.7%40.28 USD47.40 USD0.94-4.2910.5MOn
19 Jun 202646.11 USD-5.4%40.24 USD47.42 USD0.97-3.6112.6MOff
12 Jun 202648.75 USD15.1%40.07 USD47.43 USD1.012.0412.8MOff
5 Jun 202642.34 USD-6.1%39.78 USD47.42 USD0.73-11.4412.5MOff
29 May 202645.07 USD8.9%39.67 USD47.46 USD0.63-9.0411.7MOff
22 May 202641.38 USD32.7%39.49 USD47.47 USD0.46-16.0819.5MOff
15 May 202631.19 USD-20.7%39.51 USD47.52 USD0.31-36.8822.4MOff
8 May 202639.34 USD1.6%39.87 USD47.64 USD0.42-21.448.5MOff
1 May 202638.71 USD-1.8%39.97 USD47.70 USD0.18-21.798.8MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.