AAP BUE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Latest close 6,250 ARS
-1.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 69.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a -8.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.

Setup score 52 out of 100
Latest Close 6,250 ARS 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.5% latest completed week
4W Return -8.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 65.4% 34 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 15-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 7.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 69.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.5%, after a -8.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8012-week average 0.68

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.80Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -8.8% over four weeks, 5.1% over 12 weeks, and 21.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 15 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.5%
4W-8.8%
12W5.1%
26W22.0%
52W21.1%
Active trend streak15 weeks
Active weeks in one year34
Trend breadth65.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-83.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.26Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-285.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 27 relevant articles.

11 positive · 16 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.3%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-15.8%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-1.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses7
Recent vol8.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.0% / -6.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryAR Auto Parts
4-week rank1 / 1
Group average-8.8%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20266,250 ARS-1.5%5,827 ARS4,809 ARS0.16-12.2625.7KOn
24 Jul 20266,345 ARS7.0%5,761 ARS4,796 ARS0.47-11.0126.5KOn
17 Jul 20265,930 ARS-7.1%5,699 ARS4,781 ARS0.66-15.049.7KOn
10 Jul 20266,385 ARS-6.9%5,651 ARS4,770 ARS0.89-11.437.9KOn
3 Jul 20266,855 ARS1.1%5,606 ARS4,755 ARS0.99-3.1814.9KOn
26 Jun 20266,781 ARS6.5%5,571 ARS4,735 ARS0.83-2.035.7KOn
19 Jun 20266,367 ARS-2.0%5,530 ARS4,715 ARS0.79-12.52135On
12 Jun 20266,497 ARS6.2%5,503 ARS4,699 ARS0.70-12.423.2KOn
5 Jun 20266,120 ARS-4.1%5,464 ARS4,681 ARS0.31-10.325.2KOn
29 May 20266,380 ARS5.1%5,431 ARS4,666 ARS0.29-9.0017.0KOn
22 May 20266,070 ARS21.3%5,386 ARS4,649 ARS0.33-3.5126.1KOn
15 May 20265,005 ARS-15.8%5,387 ARS4,635 ARS0.47-16.0615.3KOn
8 May 20265,945 ARS-6.9%5,418 ARS4,631 ARS0.81-2.0011.7KOn
1 May 20266,385 ARS2.7%5,396 ARS4,617 ARS0.813.7310.0KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.