CVGI NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Commercial Vehicle Group Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

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Latest close 4.53 USD
-1.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 26.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.9%, after a 3.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 58/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 51 out of 100
Latest Close 4.53 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.9% latest completed week
4W Return 3.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -11.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 59.6% 31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 21-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.0%. Indicator stack 78/19 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 58/100 conviction; expected move 32.0%. News sentiment 53/100 47 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 26.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.9%, after a 3.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7312-week average 0.90

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.73Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.0% over four weeks, -11.2% over 12 weeks, and 169.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 21 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.9%
4W3.0%
12W-11.2%
26W202.0%
52W169.6%
Active trend streak21 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.57Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-256.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership54.06Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change0.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength83/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Value78/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality14/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Momentum97/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Growth19/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework4/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
16.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
11.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
0.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
5.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
1.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-6.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
2685.4%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

CVGI shows volatility options pressure with a 58/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 32.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction58/100
Expected move32.0%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation10
Volatility96
Trend agreement15
Open options detail
Insider activity11 / 1

11 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 47 relevant articles.

10 positive · 32 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move32.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-23.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility9.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+90.2%Week of 13 Mar.
Worst week-10.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-1.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol9.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol14.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew10.6% / -5.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape55/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 55/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis80/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.73; No reversal markers Factors66/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 4; Buyback Yield rank 56; Small Cap Core rank 22 SVQF4/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 695.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options41/100

CVGI shows volatility options pressure with a 58/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 32.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 32.0% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 47 relevant articles.

Commercial Vehicle Group Inc (CVGI) Institutional Confidence Insiders11 / 1

11 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20264.53 USD-1.9%3.58 USD3.82 USD-0.5754.061.8MOn
24 Jul 20264.62 USD2.0%3.48 USD3.86 USD-0.5160.541.7MOn
17 Jul 20264.53 USD-6.8%3.38 USD3.89 USD-0.3057.241.4MOn
10 Jul 20264.86 USD10.5%3.28 USD3.93 USD-0.0464.231.8MOn
3 Jul 20264.40 USD-2.4%3.17 USD3.97 USD0.3653.772.3MOn
26 Jun 20264.51 USD-6.8%3.08 USD4.01 USD0.6960.987.1MOn
19 Jun 20264.84 USD-10.4%2.99 USD4.05 USD0.9667.961.7MOn
12 Jun 20265.40 USD13.4%2.88 USD4.08 USD1.1996.401.9MOn
5 Jun 20264.76 USD-7.6%2.75 USD4.11 USD1.2581.672.5MOn
29 May 20265.15 USD3.6%2.64 USD4.14 USD1.4291.761.7MOn
22 May 20264.97 USD-2.9%2.51 USD4.17 USD1.4295.011.4MOn
15 May 20265.12 USD0.4%2.41 USD4.21 USD1.46108.193.9MOn
8 May 20265.10 USD22.9%2.29 USD4.24 USD1.46111.894.5MOn
1 May 20264.15 USD-2.4%2.17 USD4.27 USD1.4786.581.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.