TOST MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Toast, Inc. · Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Latest close 562.7 MXN
9.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 13.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 33.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.3%, after a 11.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 562.7 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 9.3% latest completed week
4W Return 11.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 9.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 13.5% 7 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 5.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 31.08% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 13.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 33.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 9.3%, after a 11.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 5.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3012-week average 0.24

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.30Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 11.4% over four weeks, 9.9% over 12 weeks, and -38.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W9.3%
4W11.4%
12W9.9%
26W4.8%
52W-38.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year7
Trend breadth13.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.53Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1350.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.45Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change66.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.

1 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-38.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.1%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-21.7%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+9.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains7
Flat weeks6
Modest losses4
Sharp losses4
Recent vol8.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.2% / -6.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026562.7 MXN9.3%497.6 MXN551.7 MXN1.53-7.451.8KOff
24 Jul 2026515.0 MXN-2.5%501.3 MXN550.4 MXN1.37-15.94176Off
17 Jul 2026528.0 MXN1.5%506.5 MXN549.4 MXN1.04-15.55262Off
10 Jul 2026520.0 MXN3.0%510.9 MXN548.4 MXN0.59-17.90306Off
3 Jul 2026505.0 MXN16.1%514.6 MXN547.6 MXN0.11-21.9922Off
26 Jun 2026435.0 MXN0.0%519.5 MXN546.8 MXN-0.21-33.920Off
19 Jun 2026435.0 MXN2.0%525.4 MXN546.1 MXN-0.18-35.460Off
12 Jun 2026426.5 MXN-1.7%531.3 MXN545.5 MXN-0.16-37.900Off
5 Jun 2026434.0 MXN-0.9%539.6 MXN544.9 MXN-0.06-35.820Off
29 May 2026438.0 MXN8.1%548.7 MXN544.3 MXN0.13-38.19580Off
22 May 2026405.0 MXN1.0%557.8 MXN543.7 MXN0.23-43.26273Off
15 May 2026401.0 MXN-21.7%568.2 MXN543.2 MXN0.29-44.16708Off
8 May 2026512.2 MXN2.4%576.8 MXN542.8 MXN0.20-31.3824Off
1 May 2026500.0 MXN0.6%582.2 MXN541.7 MXN-0.21-31.681.6KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.