LI NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Li Auto Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

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Latest close 13.63 USD
12.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 12.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.5%, after a 13.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 34/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 20d.

Setup score 23 out of 100
Latest Close 13.63 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 12.5% latest completed week
4W Return 13.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -24.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 1.9% 1 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 12.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 13.4%. Indicator stack 1/34 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 42.95% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 34/100 conviction; expected move 5.5%. News sentiment 54/100 22 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 20d Next report is scheduled for 27 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -15.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 12.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.5%, after a 13.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0212-week average 0.06

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 13.4% over four weeks, -24.3% over 12 weeks, and -46.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W12.5%
4W13.4%
12W-24.3%
26W-18.0%
52W-46.0%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year1
Trend breadth1.9%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.95Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change11.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-32.91Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change30.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 80%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength35/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Value79/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Quality2/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Momentum11/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Growth13/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-99.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
16.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-0.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-12.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-0.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-24.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-152.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
35.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

LI shows bullish options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.65, expected move of 5.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction34/100
Expected move5.5%
Put/call volume0.65
Pressure23
Speculation35
Volatility68
Trend agreement40
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

8 positive · 11 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings20dNext report is scheduled for 27 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-49.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.1%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-14.2%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+12.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/34Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.9% / -3.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape17/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 17/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis16/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.02; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.95%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.95% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors30/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 58; Small Cap Core rank 25 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options50/100

LI shows bullish options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.65, expected move of 5.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 5.5% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 22 relevant articles.

Li Auto Inc. (Nasdaq: LI) reaches 1,764,155 cumulative vehicle deliveries Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings20d

Next report is scheduled for 27 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202613.63 USD12.5%16.11 USD24.82 USD-0.95-32.9121.9MOff
24 Jul 202612.12 USD-2.2%16.23 USD25.02 USD-1.13-41.0115.4MOff
17 Jul 202612.39 USD2.4%16.41 USD25.22 USD-1.10-41.9523.3MOff
10 Jul 202612.10 USD0.7%16.56 USD25.38 USD-1.15-46.9719.1MOff
3 Jul 202612.02 USD-0.2%16.73 USD25.54 USD-1.07-47.4417.5MOff
26 Jun 202612.04 USD-8.9%16.92 USD25.69 USD-0.92-47.8318.1MOff
19 Jun 202613.21 USD-7.6%17.13 USD25.84 USD-0.71-46.3912.7MOff
12 Jun 202614.30 USD0.7%17.29 USD25.97 USD-0.38-41.4820.8MOff
5 Jun 202614.20 USD-5.4%17.48 USD26.09 USD0.06-41.6528.8MOff
29 May 202615.01 USD-5.5%17.67 USD26.21 USD0.37-42.2531.1MOff
22 May 202615.89 USD-14.2%17.86 USD26.30 USD0.58-38.2533.9MOff
15 May 202618.51 USD2.8%18.06 USD26.38 USD0.76-28.5325.3MOff
8 May 202618.00 USD2.4%18.20 USD26.45 USD0.73-31.7810.8MOff
1 May 202617.57 USD-3.1%18.36 USD26.52 USD0.81-30.8113.3MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.