HYFM NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Inc · Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

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Latest close 0.66 USD
-3.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -41.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.8%, after a -17.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 43/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 13d.

Setup score 16 out of 100
Latest Close 0.66 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.8% latest completed week
4W Return -17.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -45.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 5.8% 3 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 40.11% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -17.2%. Indicator stack 3/50 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 40.11% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 43/100 40 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 13d Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -41.6% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.8%, after a -17.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0012-week average 0.02

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.00Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -17.2% over four weeks, -45.3% over 12 weeks, and -85.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.8%
4W-17.2%
12W-45.3%
26W-61.0%
52W-85.7%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year3
Trend breadth5.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.32Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-67.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-68.98Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-0.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 76% Model confidence 73%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength58/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Value53/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
Quality51/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Momentum53/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
Growth53/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 48; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-1.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
1.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-225.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-1.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-266.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-30.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity4 / 0

4 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment43/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 40 relevant articles.

1 positive · 28 neutral · 11 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings13dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-86.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher5 of 2621 weeks finished lower.
Best week+24.7%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-20.7%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-3.8%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains1
Flat weeks0
Modest losses13
Sharp losses8
Recent vol7.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split15/37Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.0% / -8.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape18/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 18/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis39/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.00; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 40.11%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 40.11% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors53/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 49 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment43/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 40 relevant articles.

Hydrofarm Holdings Group Inc (HYFM) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Indicators & Moving Averages Insiders4 / 0

4 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings13d

Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20260.66 USD-3.8%1.12 USD5.43 USD0.32-68.98107.4KOff
17 Jul 20260.68 USD-15.2%1.16 USD5.50 USD0.66-69.63127.0KOff
10 Jul 20260.80 USD2.0%1.20 USD5.57 USD0.77-67.00156.7KOff
3 Jul 20260.79 USD-0.5%1.24 USD5.63 USD0.91-68.1366.4KOff
26 Jun 20260.79 USD-11.1%1.27 USD5.68 USD0.98-68.64473.6KOff
19 Jun 20260.89 USD-3.4%1.31 USD5.72 USD0.95-67.29116.8KOff
12 Jun 20260.92 USD-3.9%1.33 USD5.78 USD0.99-66.28950.6KOff
5 Jun 20260.96 USD-1.1%1.36 USD5.84 USD0.89-64.9658.4KOff
29 May 20260.97 USD-0.0%1.40 USD5.89 USD0.93-67.1058.3KOff
22 May 20260.97 USD-2.8%1.44 USD5.95 USD1.02-67.07136.6KOff
15 May 20261.00 USD-2.9%1.50 USD6.00 USD0.91-66.47109.8KOff
8 May 20261.03 USD-14.2%1.55 USD6.07 USD0.55-66.39131.2KOff
1 May 20261.20 USD15.4%1.63 USD6.13 USD0.05-59.87104.9KOff
24 Apr 20261.04 USD5.7%1.69 USD6.21 USD-0.48-65.50263.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.