DNUT NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Krispy Kreme Inc · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

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Latest close 3.18 USD
1.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.0%, after a -9.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 21 out of 100
Latest Close 3.18 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.0% latest completed week
4W Return -9.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -11.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 23.1% 12 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -9.4%. Indicator stack 13/29 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 49/100 conviction; expected move 12.6%. News sentiment 54/100 58 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 5d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 13.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.0%, after a -9.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1012-week average 0.13

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -9.4% over four weeks, -11.7% over 12 weeks, and -7.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.0%
4W-9.4%
12W-11.7%
26W1.0%
52W-7.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year12
Trend breadth23.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.44Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-169.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-19.22Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-21.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength51/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Value84/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Quality16/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Momentum13/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Growth20/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
17.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
48.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-30.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
10.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-34.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-5.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-2.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-1.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

DNUT shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.15, expected move of 12.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction49/100
Expected move12.6%
Put/call volume0.15
Pressure81
Speculation23
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity18 / 2

18 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.

16 positive · 34 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move12.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-37.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+23.8%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-15.8%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+1.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses9
Recent vol8.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.4% / -6.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape21/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 21/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis29/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.10; No reversal markers Factors40/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 38; Small Cap Core rank 20 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options34/100

DNUT shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.15, expected move of 12.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 12.6% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.

Jersey Mike’s Joins Sweetgreen, Cava and Krispy Kreme in Recent Restaurant IPOs Insiders18 / 2

18 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings5d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20263.18 USD1.0%3.47 USD7.85 USD-0.44-19.229.3MOff
24 Jul 20263.15 USD-4.5%3.50 USD7.92 USD-0.08-19.9713.1MOff
17 Jul 20263.30 USD-4.1%3.54 USD8.00 USD0.24-18.3812.9MOff
10 Jul 20263.44 USD-2.0%3.58 USD8.07 USD0.41-18.6914.9MOff
3 Jul 20263.51 USD-0.8%3.61 USD8.15 USD0.63-15.8911.6MOff
26 Jun 20263.54 USD-2.5%3.64 USD8.22 USD0.63-14.7414.2MOff
19 Jun 20263.63 USD-15.8%3.66 USD8.29 USD0.57-16.468.9MOff
12 Jun 20264.31 USD22.8%3.66 USD8.35 USD0.511.7820.3MOff
5 Jun 20263.51 USD-0.3%3.65 USD8.41 USD0.30-14.9312.4MOff
29 May 20263.52 USD7.6%3.68 USD8.48 USD0.43-18.689.0MOff
22 May 20263.27 USD1.2%3.68 USD8.56 USD0.58-22.4810.4MOff
15 May 20263.23 USD-10.3%3.70 USD8.63 USD0.79-22.7913.7MOff
8 May 20263.60 USD-5.8%3.70 USD8.70 USD0.75-14.6614.7MOff
1 May 20263.82 USD-2.8%3.69 USD8.77 USD0.45-4.6310.9MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.