- The trend backdrop is active with a 50-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
IMKTA
NASDAQ
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Ingles Markets Incorporated · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores
Latest close
85.83 USD
-4.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.8%, after a -3.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 47/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 7d.
Setup score
50
out of 100
Latest Close
85.83 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
-4.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
-3.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-6.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
98.1%
51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-4.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move -3.8%.
Indicator stack
99/0
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Bullish
47/100 conviction; expected move 7.7%.
News sentiment
52/100
59 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
7d
Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 0.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.8%, after a -3.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8512-week average 0.91
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.85Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -3.8% over four weeks, -6.0% over 12 weeks, and 32.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 50 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak50 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.89Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-492.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-0.22Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-122.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 30 Sep 2025
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 96%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength90/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Value96/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Quality31/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Momentum79/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Growth20/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework60/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 15.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 20.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 24.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 2.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 6.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 6.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -0.3% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 68.4% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -2.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.8% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.8% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
IMKTA shows bullish options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 7.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Conviction47/100
Expected move7.7%
Put/call volume0.00
Insider activity1 / 0
1 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment52/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.
19 positive · 29 neutral · 11 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings7dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move7.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.4%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-5.6%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-4.8%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Defensive
4-week rank76 / 100
Group average-0.3%
Trend breadth49.0%
Trend49.0%active weekly trend signals
MD58.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Grocery Stores
4-week rank4 / 12
Group average-7.2%
Trend breadth41.7%
Trend41.7%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS8.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape54/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 54/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis57/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 5/12.
Activity pressure 0.85; 2 reversal markers Factors73/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 57; Small Cap Core rank 12 SVQF60/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 290.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options45/100IMKTA shows bullish options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 7.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 7.7% Sentiment52/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.
Price to book forward of Ingles Markets, Incorporated – NASDAQ:IMKTA Insiders1 / 01 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings7dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 85.83 USD | -4.8% | 85.76 USD | 73.48 USD | -0.89 | -0.22 | 642.8K | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 90.15 USD | -0.7% | 85.23 USD | 73.46 USD | -0.59 | 3.30 | 529.0K | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 90.75 USD | 0.8% | 84.60 USD | 73.40 USD | -0.51 | -0.17 | 550.5K | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 90.01 USD | 0.9% | 83.92 USD | 73.33 USD | -0.35 | 0.89 | 504.6K | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 89.23 USD | 2.2% | 83.38 USD | 73.28 USD | -0.15 | 0.99 | 934.8K | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 87.27 USD | -5.0% | 82.96 USD | 73.22 USD | -0.36 | -5.48 | 728.6K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 91.84 USD | 0.9% | 82.57 USD | 73.19 USD | -0.27 | 2.14 | 695.4K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 90.99 USD | 2.9% | 81.99 USD | 73.12 USD | -0.33 | 3.73 | 766.6K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 88.46 USD | 0.0% | 81.41 USD | 73.07 USD | -0.39 | -3.48 | 525.3K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 88.42 USD | 2.6% | 80.76 USD | 73.02 USD | -0.03 | -0.72 | 816.8K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 86.16 USD | -0.5% | 80.20 USD | 72.97 USD | 0.18 | -1.99 | 752.3K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 86.60 USD | -5.2% | 79.77 USD | 72.93 USD | 0.49 | -1.78 | 713.3K | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 91.31 USD | 0.7% | 79.21 USD | 72.88 USD | 0.90 | 9.20 | 656.6K | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 90.69 USD | -0.8% | 78.56 USD | 72.81 USD | 0.97 | 10.25 | 610.8K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.