Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
12 Jun 20265.92
5.58
-5.74%
4
95.36
0.15%
3.76
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.26
5.00%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
69.21
-6.38%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
24.81
18.46%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
7.41
45.58%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.68
-8.44%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
7.74
0.00%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
37.31
3.54%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
18.84
59.26%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.28
10.59%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.42
-14.56%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.99
92.05%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.70
22.06%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.70
-3.01%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.19
17.55%
8
13.49
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.49
44.84%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.71
-19.19%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
76.88
1.94%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
53.50
14.59%
5
80.26
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
19.01
4.62%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.30
47.26%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
4.39
-17.48%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.20
-0.15%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.47
-3.52%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
47.68
-17.38%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
17.63
70.01%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.31
12.16%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
98.60
4.47%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
16.49
110.33%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 721-750 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
30 Jan 2026
Entry
SIDU NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc
2.80
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 66.90 · ROC 19.75% · RS 48.82
30 Jan 2026
Exit
TLRY NASDAQ · Tilray Inc
7.46
20% entry drawdown
-23.25%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 9.72
30 Jan 2026
Exit
XNCR NASDAQ · Xencor Inc
12.09
20% entry drawdown
-23.82%
Entry 21 Nov 2025 15.87
30 Jan 2026
Entry
ZNTL NASDAQ · Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Llc
2.43
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.40 · ROC 15.91% · RS 32.39
23 Jan 2026
Exit
ALHC NASDAQ · Alignment Healthcare LLC
23.81
Reversal Risk Warning
166.33%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 8.94
23 Jan 2026
Exit
AREC NASDAQ · American Resources Corp Class A
4.37
Reversal Risk Warning
270.34%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 1.18
23 Jan 2026
Exit
ARIS NYSE · Aris Mining Corporation
20.26
Reversal Risk Warning
551.45%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 3.11
23 Jan 2026
Exit
BNR NASDAQ · Burning Rock Biotech Ltd
35.07
Reversal Risk Warning
306.84%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 8.62
23 Jan 2026
Exit
BSAC NYSE · Banco Santander Chile
34.54
Reversal Risk Warning
151.68%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 13.72
23 Jan 2026
Exit
BWMX NYSE · Betterware de México, S.A.P.I. de C.V.
18.34
Reversal Risk Warning
136.20%
Entry 24 Mar 2023 7.77
23 Jan 2026
Exit
DBVT NASDAQ · DBV Technologies
24.54
Reversal Risk Warning
295.81%
Entry 28 Mar 2025 6.20
23 Jan 2026
Exit
DRD NYSE · DRDGOLD Limited ADR
37.05
Reversal Risk Warning
410.51%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 7.26
23 Jan 2026
Exit
EGO NYSE · Eldorado Gold Corp
46.02
Reversal Risk Warning
419.10%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 8.87
23 Jan 2026
Exit
EVAX NASDAQ · Evaxion Biotech AS
4.04
20% entry drawdown
-25.60%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 5.43
23 Jan 2026
Entry
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 38.30 · ROC 13.56% · RS 22.65
23 Jan 2026
Entry
HTLD NASDAQ · Heartland Express Inc
10.55
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.28 · ROC 2.44% · RS 4.92
23 Jan 2026
Exit
HYMC NASDAQ · Hycroft Mining Holding Corporation
50.65
Reversal Risk Warning
1870.82%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 2.57
23 Jan 2026
Exit
IVA NASDAQ · Inventiva Sa
7.15
Reversal Risk Warning
129.90%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 3.11
23 Jan 2026
Exit
KGC NYSE · Kinross Gold Corporation
37.06
Reversal Risk Warning
624.91%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 5.11
23 Jan 2026
Exit
LANV NYSE · Lanvin Group Holdings Limited
1.58
20% entry drawdown
-21.00%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 2.00
23 Jan 2026
Exit
SBSW NYSE · Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR
18.90
Reversal Risk Warning
219.38%
Entry 30 May 2025 5.92
23 Jan 2026
Exit
SSP NASDAQ · E. W. Scripps Co Class A
3.45
20% entry drawdown
-21.41%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 4.39
23 Jan 2026
Exit
STVN NYSE · Stevanato Group SpA
17.21
20% entry drawdown
-22.38%
Entry 23 May 2025 22.17
23 Jan 2026
Exit
TLK NYSE · Telkom Indonesia (Persero) Tbk PT ADR Rep 100 B
20.75
Reversal Risk Warning
25.84%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 16.49
23 Jan 2026
Entry
UPS NYSE · United Parcel Service Inc
104.67
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 87.14 · ROC 1.44% · RS 0.87
23 Jan 2026
Entry
VRCA NASDAQ · Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc
7.42
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 44.49 · ROC 4.30% · RS 10.90
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ACHV NASDAQ · Achieve Life Sciences Inc
5.83
Reversal Risk Warning
38.81%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 4.20
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ANVS NYSE · Annovis Bio Inc
2.89
20% entry drawdown
-30.02%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 4.13
16 Jan 2026
Exit
ATRA NASDAQ · Atara Biotherapeutics Inc
4.54
20% entry drawdown
-63.21%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 12.34
16 Jan 2026
Entry
BEAT NASDAQ · Heartbeam Inc
2.08
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 95.41 · ROC 6.73% · RS 7.04