Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
12 Jun 20265.92
5.58
-5.74%
4
95.36
0.15%
3.76
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.26
5.00%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
69.21
-6.38%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
24.81
18.46%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
7.41
45.58%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.68
-8.44%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
7.74
0.00%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
37.31
3.54%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
18.84
59.26%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.28
10.59%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.42
-14.56%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.99
92.05%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.70
22.06%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.70
-3.01%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.19
17.55%
8
13.49
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.49
44.84%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.71
-19.19%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
76.88
1.94%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
53.50
14.59%
5
80.26
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
19.01
4.62%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.30
47.26%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
4.39
-17.48%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.20
-0.15%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.47
-3.52%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
47.68
-17.38%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
17.63
70.01%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.31
12.16%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
98.60
4.47%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
16.49
110.33%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1231-1260 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Sep 2025
Entry
ZURA NASDAQ · Zura Bio Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
2.41
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 88.63 · ROC 6.40% · RS 2.46
19 Sep 2025
Exit
AEI NASDAQ · Alset Ehome International Inc
3.47
Reversal Risk Warning
166.92%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 1.30
19 Sep 2025
Exit
AMSC NASDAQ · American Superconductor Corporation
61.55
Reversal Risk Warning
948.55%
Entry 23 Jun 2023 5.87
19 Sep 2025
Entry
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
20.46
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.15 · ROC 0.89% · RS 12.29
19 Sep 2025
Entry
ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc
16.42
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 71.46 · ROC 2.09% · RS 2.55
19 Sep 2025
Entry
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
12.24
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 58.56 · ROC 1.92% · RS 0.74
19 Sep 2025
Entry
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
11.83
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.66 · ROC 5.83% · RS 29.24
19 Sep 2025
Exit
BEEP NASDAQ · Mobile Infrastructure Corporation
3.29
20% entry drawdown
-20.53%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 4.14
19 Sep 2025
Entry
BLNK NASDAQ · Blink Charging Co
1.52
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 57.26 · ROC 2.34% · RS 7.57
19 Sep 2025
Entry
BNR NASDAQ · Burning Rock Biotech Ltd
8.62
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.43 · ROC 4.63% · RS 44.42
19 Sep 2025
Exit
BNT NYSE · Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd.
47.68
Reversal Risk Warning
88.51%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 25.29
19 Sep 2025
Entry
CATO NYSE · Cato Corporation
4.38
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.74 · ROC 4.58% · RS 7.92
19 Sep 2025
Entry
CGTX NASDAQ · Cognition Therapeutics Inc
1.40
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 92.83 · ROC 35.25% · RS 81.49
19 Sep 2025
Entry
CLNN NASDAQ · Clene Inc.
6.39
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.06 · ROC 4.85% · RS 27.08
19 Sep 2025
Exit
DOMO NASDAQ · Domo Inc
18.06
Reversal Risk Warning
120.78%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 8.18
19 Sep 2025
Entry
GPMT NYSE · Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc
2.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 79.82 · ROC 1.00% · RS 0.70
19 Sep 2025
Entry
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
5.16
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 40.21 · ROC 16.74% · RS 167.86
19 Sep 2025
Exit
HGBL NASDAQ · Heritage Global Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown
-22.22%
Entry 21 Mar 2025 2.16
19 Sep 2025
Entry
INTZ NASDAQ · Intrusion Inc
1.95
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 8.97 · ROC 1.33% · RS 14.43
19 Sep 2025
Exit
IONQ NYSE · IONQ Inc
70.41
Reversal Risk Warning
1177.86%
Entry 28 Apr 2023 5.51
19 Sep 2025
Entry
MCRB NASDAQ · Seres Therapeutics Inc
17.45
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.24 · ROC 1.74% · RS 6.34
19 Sep 2025
Entry
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
15.59
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 43.42 · ROC 2.59% · RS 15.94
19 Sep 2025
Exit
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
42.30
Reversal Risk Warning
157.30%
Entry 30 May 2025 16.44
19 Sep 2025
Entry
PRPL NASDAQ · Purple Innovation Inc
1.04
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.54 · ROC 1.02% · RS 2.84
19 Sep 2025
Entry
PYXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Oncology Inc
2.25
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.87 · ROC 4.78% · RS 11.67
19 Sep 2025
Entry
SES NYSE · SES AI Corp
1.58
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 62.64 · ROC 2.38% · RS 60.25
19 Sep 2025
Entry
SQM NYSE · Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA ADR B
42.91
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 43.35 · ROC 1.80% · RS 0.17
19 Sep 2025
Entry
TLRY NASDAQ · Tilray Inc
12.10
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.15 · ROC 5.10% · RS 9.40
19 Sep 2025
Exit
TTWO NASDAQ · Take-Two Interactive Software Inc
250.85
Reversal Risk Warning
82.53%
Entry 19 May 2023 137.43
19 Sep 2025
Exit
TWI NYSE · Titan International Inc
8.16
20% entry drawdown
-20.16%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 10.22