View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1891-1920 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
14 Mar 2025
Exit
ASMB NASDAQ · Assembly Biosciences Inc
10.86
20% entry drawdown
-21.13%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 13.77
14 Mar 2025
Exit
BKSY NYSE · Blacksky Technology Inc
9.08
20% entry drawdown
-23.50%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 11.87
14 Mar 2025
Exit
BTBD NASDAQ · Bt Brands Inc
1.48
20% entry drawdown
-20.22%
Entry 31 Jan 2025 1.86
14 Mar 2025
Exit
CPSH NASDAQ · Cps Technologies
1.52
20% entry drawdown
-20.83%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 1.92
14 Mar 2025
Exit
DHX NYSE · DHI Group Inc
1.55
20% entry drawdown
-40.84%
Entry 21 Feb 2025 2.62
14 Mar 2025
Exit
DOYU NASDAQ · DouYu International Holdings
8.79
Reversal Risk Warning
481.88%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 1.51
14 Mar 2025
Entry
EFOI NASDAQ · Energy Focu
2.11
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.00 · ROC 8.60% · RS 43.34
14 Mar 2025
Exit
EGHT NASDAQ · 8x8 Inc Common Stock
2.14
20% entry drawdown
-24.65%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 2.84
14 Mar 2025
Entry
FET NYSE · Forum Energy Technologies Inc
19.06
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 31.69 · ROC 1.40% · RS 10.37
14 Mar 2025
Entry
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
11.81
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.26 · ROC 1.89% · RS 11.94
14 Mar 2025
Entry
GEG NASDAQ · Great Elm Group Inc
1.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 44.94 · ROC 0.75% · RS 4.13
14 Mar 2025
Exit
IHRT NASDAQ · iHeartMedia Inc Class A
1.61
20% entry drawdown
-27.15%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 2.21
14 Mar 2025
Exit
INSE NASDAQ · Inspired Entertainment Inc
8.37
20% entry drawdown
-22.36%
Entry 28 Feb 2025 10.78
14 Mar 2025
Exit
MATW NASDAQ · Matthews International Corporation
21.42
20% entry drawdown
-23.28%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 27.91
14 Mar 2025
Entry
NTR NYSE · Nutrien Ltd
48.52
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 24.66 · ROC 1.36% · RS 1.66
14 Mar 2025
Entry
OKYO NASDAQ · OKYO Pharma Ltd ADR
1.51
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 69.40 · ROC 3.18% · RS 23.78
14 Mar 2025
Exit
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
33.00
20% entry drawdown
-25.81%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 44.48
14 Mar 2025
Entry
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
4.49
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 8.32 · ROC 0.91% · RS 0.26
14 Mar 2025
Exit
PENN NASDAQ · Penn National Gaming Inc
17.09
20% entry drawdown
-24.81%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 22.73
14 Mar 2025
Exit
RICK NASDAQ · RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc
44.72
20% entry drawdown
-20.07%
Entry 20 Dec 2024 55.95
14 Mar 2025
Entry
SDGR NASDAQ · Schrodinger Inc
22.90
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 21.91 · ROC 1.23% · RS 6.78
14 Mar 2025
Entry
SOGP NASDAQ · Sound Group Inc.
2.02
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 31.34 · ROC 1.84% · RS 2.56
14 Mar 2025
Entry
SQM NYSE · Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA ADR B
42.51
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 17.19 · ROC 1.39% · RS 3.95
14 Mar 2025
Exit
TOI NASDAQ · Oncology Institute Inc
0.65
20% entry drawdown
-26.62%
Entry 21 Feb 2025 0.89
14 Mar 2025
Entry
VHC NASDAQ · VirnetX Holding Corp Common Stock
8.10
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 36.81 · ROC 4.13% · RS 26.70
14 Mar 2025
Exit
VUZI NASDAQ · Vuzix Corp Cmn Stk
2.36
20% entry drawdown
-30.79%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 3.41
14 Mar 2025
Exit
XPEV NYSE · Xpeng Inc
23.73
Reversal Risk Warning
105.99%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 11.52
14 Mar 2025
Exit
XPOF NYSE · Xponential Fitness Inc
7.46
20% entry drawdown
-51.05%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 15.24
7 Mar 2025
Entry
ADAM NASDAQ · New York Mortgage Trust, Inc.
4.65
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.54 · ROC 1.39% · RS 14.60
7 Mar 2025
Exit
AEVA NASDAQ · Aeva Technologies, Inc. Common Stock
3.13
20% entry drawdown
-26.35%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 4.25