Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
439.22
Total Return
339.22%
CAGR
52.49% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+30.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.80
Current Holdings
277
Transactions
4975 Avg 1418.5/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2349 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.4% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.55 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.60 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 86.04 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 1.25 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.44 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.08 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.14 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
16
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.25%
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 93.76%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 79.63%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.07%
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 286.94%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 277 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
13 Jun 202519.24
29.84
55.09%
4
95.91
6.53%
46.95
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
1 May 202611.80
10.06
-14.75%
4
92.52
8.24%
54.02
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
29 May 202615.46
15.51
0.30%
4
95.14
1.94%
3.67
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
3 Jul 202673.83
72.47
-1.84%
4
83.64
9.24%
22.03
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
29 Aug 202551.83
53.35
2.93%
8
37.64
4.23%
1.60
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
19 Jun 20268.95
9.66
7.93%
5
99.40
6.63%
0.92
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
6 Mar 20269.41
9.21
-2.19%
4
44.90
0.23%
0.83
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
5 Jun 202629.46
36.78
24.85%
4
55.52
0.99%
39.31
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
3 Apr 20263.56
4.86
36.52%
4
90.80
12.91%
104.42
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
29 Aug 20258.86
16.17
82.51%
5
71.93
1.22%
11.07
DAVE NASDAQ · Dave Inc
29 Dec 20238.39
400.75
4679.37%
4
54.73
6.75%
4.89
DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation
12 Sep 20255.87
5.13
-12.61%
4
97.24
1.62%
1.86
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
12 Jun 20263.01
3.07
1.99%
4
95.88
3.41%
20.65
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
27 Feb 20266.00
5.03
-16.17%
6
2.65
0.35%
4.03
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
29 May 20263.35
4.03
20.30%
5
44.25
1.24%
0.75
DLTR NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
9 May 202585.47
124.91
46.14%
4
70.51
2.12%
3.34
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
20 Feb 202629.87
29.03
-2.80%
4
96.94
1.89%
4.06
DPRO NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
15 Aug 20254.26
4.78
12.21%
4
96.48
4.75%
20.76
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
22 May 20267.23
8.76
21.16%
4
74.98
2.99%
14.34
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
13 Mar 20266.14
6.60
7.41%
5
45.46
1.51%
1.16
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3 Jul 20263.65
3.26
-10.68%
8
23.20
2.51%
18.52
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
12 Jun 2026404.07
416.23
3.01%
5
98.31
3.19%
9.86
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
27 Mar 202670.41
67.57
-4.04%
8
13.96
0.94%
3.98
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
3 Jul 202627.21
26.48
-2.68%
4
81.14
5.52%
19.35
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20261.33
3.10
133.08%
4
57.34
3.39%
8.35
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
22 Aug 20252.27
3.30
45.37%
5
36.10
0.13%
11.92
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
8 May 202622.15
20.97
-5.33%
4
95.03
2.36%
3.66
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
5 Jun 202617.33
21.03
21.35%
6
97.87
21.39%
81.93
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
5 Sep 20257.27
12.31
69.33%
4
93.61
5.54%
9.40
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
27 Mar 20263.93
4.64
18.04%
4
39.56
1.38%
6.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3811-3840 of 4975
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
22 Sep 2023
Entry
DLO NASDAQ · Dlocal Ltd
17.72
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.30 · ROC 4.25% · RS 3.75
22 Sep 2023
Entry
ESTC NYSE · Elastic NV
79.56
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 70.18 · ROC 3.84% · RS 22.04
22 Sep 2023
Exit
FEDU NYSE · Four Seasons Education Cayman
7.14
20% entry drawdown
-26.36%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 9.69
22 Sep 2023
Exit
FUBO NYSE · Fubotv Inc
27.72
20% entry drawdown
-23.51%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 36.24
22 Sep 2023
Entry
GECC NASDAQ · Great Elm Capital Corp
5.83
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 66.44 · ROC 1.81% · RS 1.34
22 Sep 2023
Exit
HOOD NASDAQ · Robinhood Markets Inc
9.70
20% entry drawdown
-23.98%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 12.76
22 Sep 2023
Exit
LPTH NASDAQ · LightPath Technologies Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 1.75
22 Sep 2023
Exit
REAL NASDAQ · TheRealReal Inc
2.14
20% entry drawdown
-20.74%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 2.70
22 Sep 2023
Exit
RKLB NASDAQ · Rocket Lab USA Inc.
4.48
20% entry drawdown
-21.82%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 5.73
22 Sep 2023
Exit
ROKU NASDAQ · Roku Inc
69.27
20% entry drawdown
-22.70%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 89.61
22 Sep 2023
Entry
SAM NYSE · Boston Beer Company Inc
378.31
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 64.03 · ROC 0.69% · RS 3.39
22 Sep 2023
Exit
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
11.48
20% entry drawdown
-24.87%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 15.28
22 Sep 2023
Exit
SIFY NASDAQ · Sify Technologies Limited
10.26
20% entry drawdown
-23.66%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 13.44
22 Sep 2023
Entry
TAL NYSE · TAL Education Group
7.23
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 25.64 · ROC 0.87% · RS 6.54
22 Sep 2023
Exit
TBCH NASDAQ · Turtle Beach Corporation
9.25
20% entry drawdown
-21.68%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 11.81
22 Sep 2023
Entry
TIGR NASDAQ · Up Fintech Holding Ltd
4.99
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.75 · ROC 5.03% · RS 16.61
22 Sep 2023
Exit
XBIT NASDAQ · XBiotech Inc
4.36
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 9 Jun 2023 5.45
22 Sep 2023
Exit
XERS NASDAQ · Xeris Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.80
20% entry drawdown
-25.00%
Entry 5 May 2023 2.40
15 Sep 2023
Entry
AKR NYSE · Acadia Realty Trust
14.35
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 10.05 · ROC 0.14% · RS 4.59
15 Sep 2023
Exit
AP NYSE · Ampco-Pittsburgh Corporation
2.87
20% entry drawdown
-25.26%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 3.84
15 Sep 2023
Entry
CHTR NASDAQ · Charter Communications Inc
447.95
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 75.03 · ROC 1.06% · RS 3.27
15 Sep 2023
Entry
DBI NYSE · Designer Brands Inc
10.96
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 58.69 · ROC 1.42% · RS 3.33
15 Sep 2023
Exit
EVCM NASDAQ · EverCommerce Inc
9.50
20% entry drawdown
-21.29%
Entry 28 Apr 2023 12.07
15 Sep 2023
Exit
HFFG NASDAQ · Hf Foods Group Inc
4.11
20% entry drawdown
-22.45%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 5.30
15 Sep 2023
Entry
HNI NYSE · HNI Corp
29.85
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 79.05 · ROC 0.81% · RS 5.91
15 Sep 2023
Exit
INDP NASDAQ · Indaptus Therapeutics Inc
94.64
Reversal Risk Warning
14.97%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 82.32
15 Sep 2023
Entry
JOYY NASDAQ · JOYY Inc
34.72
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 58.84 · ROC 0.76% · RS 6.54
15 Sep 2023
Exit
MARA NASDAQ · Marathon Digital Holdings Inc
9.80
20% entry drawdown
-22.90%
Entry 23 Jun 2023 12.71
15 Sep 2023
Exit
MNSO NYSE · Miniso Group Holding Ltd
25.73
Reversal Risk Warning
128.43%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 11.26
15 Sep 2023
Exit
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
3.94
Reversal Risk Warning
39.22%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 2.83