Universe
Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.
Signal Validation
Trend Performance Index
United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21
Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001
Avg 1418.2/yr ·
118.2/mo ·
27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365
Stop 57.3% ·
Warning 42.3%
· Other 0.4%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ACCO
NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08
8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN
NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44
4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC
NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14
4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN
NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54
8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG
NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58
8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX
NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82
4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH
NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48
4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC
NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43
4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI
NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30
5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD
NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16
4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
AIRJ
NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74
20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70
20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN
NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53
20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX
NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82
20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX
NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42
20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA
NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38
20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG
NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08
20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN
NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38
20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS
NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14
20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN
NYSE · Valens
1.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.62%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signals
Activity
ROC
RS
CMP
NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
13 Jun 202519.24
29.46
53.12%
4
95.91
6.53%
46.95
CODI
NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
1 May 202611.80
10.33
-12.46%
4
92.52
8.24%
54.02
COLD
NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
29 May 202615.46
15.93
3.02%
4
95.14
1.94%
3.67
COOK
NYSE · Traeger Inc
3 Jul 202673.83
69.19
-6.28%
4
83.64
9.24%
22.03
CRSP
NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
29 Aug 202551.83
47.78
-7.81%
8
37.64
4.23%
1.60
CRSR
NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
19 Jun 20268.95
9.75
8.94%
5
99.40
6.63%
0.92
CRT
NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
6 Mar 20269.41
9.86
4.77%
4
44.90
0.23%
0.83
CUE
NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
5 Jun 202629.46
31.16
5.77%
4
55.52
0.99%
39.31
CVGI
NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
3 Apr 20263.56
4.53
27.25%
4
90.80
12.91%
104.42
CYRX
NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
29 Aug 20258.86
16.51
86.34%
5
71.93
1.22%
11.07
DCH
NYSE · Dauch Corporation
12 Sep 20255.87
5.44
-7.33%
4
97.24
1.62%
1.86
DDD
NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
12 Jun 20263.01
2.69
-10.63%
4
95.88
3.41%
20.65
DLHC
NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
27 Feb 20266.00
5.50
-8.33%
6
2.65
0.35%
4.03
DLTH
NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
29 May 20263.35
4.27
27.46%
5
44.25
1.24%
0.75
DLTR
NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
9 May 202585.47
125.94
47.35%
4
70.51
2.12%
3.34
DOW
NYSE · Dow Inc
20 Feb 202629.87
29.92
0.18%
4
96.94
1.89%
4.06
DPRO
NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
15 Aug 20254.26
4.19
-1.64%
4
96.48
4.75%
20.76
DTIL
NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
22 May 20267.23
7.87
8.85%
4
74.98
2.99%
14.34
ECOR
NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
13 Mar 20266.14
5.88
-4.23%
5
45.46
1.51%
1.16
EDIT
NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3 Jul 20263.65
2.98
-18.36%
8
23.20
2.51%
18.52
ELV
NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
12 Jun 2026404.07
373.11
-7.66%
5
98.31
3.19%
9.86
EMN
NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
27 Mar 202670.41
68.60
-2.58%
8
13.96
0.94%
3.98
EPC
NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
3 Jul 202627.21
29.66
9.00%
4
81.14
5.52%
19.35
FATE
NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20261.33
2.78
109.02%
4
57.34
3.39%
8.35
FATN
NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
17 Jul 20264.54
4.54
New
Entry week
8
39.45
12.74%
2.11
FBIO
NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
22 Aug 20252.27
3.36
48.02%
5
36.10
0.13%
11.92
FC
NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
8 May 202622.15
20.28
-8.44%
4
95.03
2.36%
3.66
FCEL
NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
5 Jun 202617.33
18.50
6.72%
6
97.87
21.39%
81.93
FDMT
NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
5 Sep 20257.27
10.99
51.17%
4
93.61
5.54%
9.40
FF
NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
27 Mar 20263.93
4.80
22.11%
4
39.56
1.38%
6.34
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
17 Mar 2023
Exit
CPIX
NASDAQ · Cumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.92
20% entry drawdown
-25.87%
Entry 3 Feb 2023
2.59
17 Mar 2023
Exit
CRL
NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
192.92
20% entry drawdown
-21.40%
Entry 10 Feb 2023
245.44
17 Mar 2023
Entry
CSTM
NYSE · Constellium Nv
13.79
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 47.85 · ROC 0.82% · RS 0.47
17 Mar 2023
Exit
CTRN
NASDAQ · Citi Trends Inc
22.95
20% entry drawdown
-24.43%
Entry 20 Jan 2023
30.37
17 Mar 2023
Exit
DAN
NYSE · Dana Inc
12.35
20% entry drawdown
-22.43%
Entry 13 Jan 2023
15.92
17 Mar 2023
Entry
DCTH
NASDAQ · Delcath Systems Inc
4.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 62.66 · ROC 1.10% · RS 2.23
17 Mar 2023
Exit
EML
NASDAQ · Eastern Co
15.80
20% entry drawdown
-22.64%
Entry 3 Feb 2023
20.42
17 Mar 2023
Exit
EVER
NASDAQ · EverQuote Inc Class A
12.28
20% entry drawdown
-20.67%
Entry 6 Jan 2023
15.48
17 Mar 2023
Exit
FGNX
NASDAQ · Fundamental Global Inc.
252.50
20% entry drawdown
-30.34%
Entry 6 Jan 2023
362.50
17 Mar 2023
Exit
FROG
NASDAQ · Jfrog Ltd
18.34
20% entry drawdown
-20.43%
Entry 17 Feb 2023
23.05
17 Mar 2023
Exit
GAME
NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
5.20
20% entry drawdown
-23.08%
Entry 3 Feb 2023
6.76
17 Mar 2023
Entry
GANX
NASDAQ · Gain Therapeutics Inc
4.62
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 36.72 · ROC 0.60% · RS 24.45
17 Mar 2023
Entry
GEOS
NASDAQ · Geospace Technologies Corporation
5.80
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 83.30 · ROC 4.02% · RS 11.32
17 Mar 2023
Entry
GNTA
NASDAQ · Genenta Science SpA ADR
6.65
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 70.38 · ROC 0.90% · RS 5.98
17 Mar 2023
Entry
GPGI
NYSE · GPGI, Inc.
5.58
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 61.32 · ROC 1.57% · RS 19.42
17 Mar 2023
Entry
GRMN
NYSE · Garmin Ltd
90.32
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 20.32 · ROC 0.11% · RS 2.30
17 Mar 2023
Entry
HY
NYSE · Hyster-Yale Materials Handling Inc
38.30
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 90.31 · ROC 4.44% · RS 37.47
17 Mar 2023
Exit
KALU
NASDAQ · Kaiser Aluminum Corporation
54.49
20% entry drawdown
-26.30%
Entry 10 Feb 2023
73.93
17 Mar 2023
Entry
MIR
NYSE · Mirion Technologies Inc
7.28
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 61.01 · ROC 1.78% · RS 1.38
17 Mar 2023
Exit
MSGM
NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
8.19
20% entry drawdown
-20.02%
Entry 10 Mar 2023
10.24
17 Mar 2023
Exit
MTRX
NASDAQ · Matrix Service Co
5.35
20% entry drawdown
-31.85%
Entry 20 Jan 2023
7.85
17 Mar 2023
Exit
NCLH
NYSE · Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd
12.58
20% entry drawdown
-22.54%
Entry 10 Feb 2023
16.24
17 Mar 2023
Exit
NDLS
NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
38.24
20% entry drawdown
-22.15%
Entry 20 Jan 2023
49.12
17 Mar 2023
Exit
NESR
NASDAQ · National Energy Services Reunited Corp Ordinary Shares
5.04
20% entry drawdown
-31.15%
Entry 10 Feb 2023
7.32
17 Mar 2023
Exit
PSIX
NASDAQ · Power Solutions International, Inc. Common Stock
2.25
20% entry drawdown
-25.00%
Entry 6 Jan 2023
3.00
17 Mar 2023
Exit
PTON
NASDAQ · Peloton Interactive Inc
10.08
20% entry drawdown
-27.11%
Entry 10 Feb 2023
13.83
17 Mar 2023
Exit
RH
NYSE · RH
246.42
20% entry drawdown
-20.68%
Entry 27 Jan 2023
310.65
17 Mar 2023
Exit
RJET
NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
35.40
20% entry drawdown
-27.16%
Entry 10 Mar 2023
48.60
17 Mar 2023
Entry
SBH
NYSE · Sally Beauty Holdings Inc
14.35
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 28.67 · ROC 1.16% · RS 3.50
17 Mar 2023
Exit
SID
NYSE · Companhia Siderurgica Nacional ADR
2.20
20% entry drawdown
-22.13%
Entry 27 Jan 2023
2.83