Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
13 Jun 202519.24
29.95
55.67%
4
95.91
6.53%
46.95
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
1 May 202611.80
10.61
-10.08%
4
92.52
8.24%
54.02
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
29 May 202615.46
16.24
5.02%
4
95.14
1.94%
3.67
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
3 Jul 202673.83
73.83
New Entry week
4
83.35
9.24%
22.03
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
29 Aug 202551.83
60.08
15.92%
8
37.64
4.23%
1.60
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
19 Jun 20268.95
8.90
-0.56%
5
99.41
6.63%
0.92
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
6 Mar 20269.41
9.02
-4.16%
4
44.90
0.23%
0.83
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
5 Jun 202629.46
28.26
-4.07%
4
52.88
0.99%
39.31
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
30 May 20254.47
4.66
4.25%
4
79.16
4.76%
27.85
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
3 Apr 20263.56
4.40
23.60%
4
90.80
12.91%
104.42
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
29 Aug 20258.86
15.49
74.83%
5
71.93
1.22%
11.07
DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation
12 Sep 20255.87
5.13
-12.61%
4
97.24
1.62%
1.86
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
12 Jun 20263.01
2.80
-6.98%
4
95.88
3.41%
20.65
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
27 Feb 20266.00
5.26
-12.33%
6
2.65
0.35%
4.03
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
29 May 20263.35
4.45
32.84%
5
44.25
1.24%
0.75
DLTR NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
9 May 202585.47
124.05
45.14%
4
70.51
2.12%
3.34
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
20 Feb 202629.87
27.71
-7.22%
4
96.94
1.89%
4.06
DPRO NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
15 Aug 20254.26
5.12
20.19%
4
96.48
4.75%
20.76
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
22 May 20267.23
8.18
13.14%
4
74.98
2.99%
14.34
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
13 Mar 20266.14
8.77
42.83%
5
45.46
1.51%
1.16
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3 Jul 20263.65
3.65
New Entry week
8
23.20
2.51%
18.52
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
12 Jun 2026404.07
417.89
3.42%
5
98.35
3.19%
9.86
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
27 Mar 202670.41
68.86
-2.21%
8
13.96
0.94%
3.98
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
3 Jul 202627.21
27.21
New Entry week
4
81.29
5.52%
19.35
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20261.33
2.92
119.55%
4
57.34
3.39%
8.35
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
22 Aug 20252.27
3.04
33.92%
5
36.10
0.13%
11.92
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
8 May 202622.15
21.78
-1.67%
4
95.03
2.36%
3.66
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
5 Jun 202617.33
28.11
62.20%
6
97.97
21.39%
81.93
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
5 Sep 20257.27
13.00
78.82%
4
93.61
5.54%
9.40
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
27 Mar 20263.93
4.69
19.31%
4
39.56
1.38%
6.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 631-660 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
13 Feb 2026
Exit
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.49
20% entry drawdown
-21.58%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 26.13
13 Feb 2026
Exit
PAL NASDAQ · Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc. Common Stock
7.06
20% entry drawdown
-28.08%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 9.81
13 Feb 2026
Exit
PATH NYSE · Uipath Inc
11.32
20% entry drawdown
-20.84%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 14.30
13 Feb 2026
Exit
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
1.89
20% entry drawdown
-20.25%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 2.37
13 Feb 2026
Exit
PRE NASDAQ · Prenetics Global Ltd
21.97
Reversal Risk Warning
213.41%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 7.01
13 Feb 2026
Entry
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
3.42
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 57.16 · ROC 1.67% · RS 5.44
13 Feb 2026
Exit
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.17
20% entry drawdown
-22.52%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 1.51
13 Feb 2026
Exit
RENT NASDAQ · Rent the Runway Inc
5.97
20% entry drawdown
-25.75%
Entry 16 Jan 2026 8.04
13 Feb 2026
Exit
SIDU NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc
2.17
20% entry drawdown
-22.50%
Entry 30 Jan 2026 2.80
13 Feb 2026
Exit
TBLD NASDAQ · Thornburg Income Builder Opportunities Trust Common Stock
21.66
Reversal Risk Warning
79.72%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 12.05
13 Feb 2026
Entry
TGT NYSE · Target Corporation
114.68
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.37 · ROC 1.55% · RS 9.48
13 Feb 2026
Entry
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
7.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.94 · ROC 4.58% · RS 42.25
13 Feb 2026
Entry
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
85.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 39.92 · ROC 1.49% · RS 1.87
13 Feb 2026
Exit
VRCA NASDAQ · Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc
5.69
20% entry drawdown
-23.32%
Entry 23 Jan 2026 7.42
13 Feb 2026
Entry
VRME NASDAQ · VerifyMe Inc
1.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 58.90 · ROC 5.71% · RS 9.67
13 Feb 2026
Exit
VZ NYSE · Verizon Communications Inc
48.27
Reversal Risk Warning
41.43%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 34.13
13 Feb 2026
Exit
WPC NYSE · W P Carey Inc
73.20
Reversal Risk Warning
30.81%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 55.96
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ABCL NASDAQ · Abcellera Biologics Inc
3.16
20% entry drawdown
-25.65%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 4.25
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ACNT NASDAQ · Synalloy Corporation
17.20
Reversal Risk Warning
52.35%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 11.29
6 Feb 2026
Exit
APPS NASDAQ · Digital Turbine Inc
4.15
20% entry drawdown
-23.15%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 5.40
6 Feb 2026
Exit
AUDC NASDAQ · AudioCodes Ltd
7.43
20% entry drawdown
-25.86%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 10.03
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BIP NYSE · Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP
36.44
Reversal Risk Warning
30.39%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 27.94
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BKD NYSE · Brookdale Senior Living Inc
16.12
Reversal Risk Warning
281.09%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 4.23
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BKU NYSE · BankUnited Inc
50.57
Reversal Risk Warning
85.28%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 27.29
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BMY NYSE · Bristol-Myers Squibb Company
61.34
Reversal Risk Warning
21.23%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 50.60
6 Feb 2026
Exit
BWB NASDAQ · Bridgewater Bancshares Inc
19.97
Reversal Risk Warning
46.84%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 13.60
6 Feb 2026
Exit
CBAN NYSE · Colony Bankcorp Inc.
20.82
Reversal Risk Warning
93.78%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 10.74
6 Feb 2026
Entry
CBUS NASDAQ · Cibus Global LLC
2.08
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 65.50 · ROC 3.44% · RS 6.94
6 Feb 2026
Entry
CCS NYSE · Century Communities Inc
69.05
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 31.93 · ROC 2.01% · RS 2.18
6 Feb 2026
Exit
CFG NYSE · Citizens Financial Group, Inc.
67.64
Reversal Risk Warning
123.10%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 30.32