Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.05
Total Return
337.05%
CAGR
52.28% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.83%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
284
Transactions
4970 Avg 1417.1/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.4% · Warning 42.5% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
9
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 284 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
13 Jun 202519.24
29.84
55.09%
4
95.91
6.53%
46.95
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
1 May 202611.80
10.06
-14.75%
4
92.52
8.24%
54.02
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
29 May 202615.46
15.51
0.30%
4
95.14
1.94%
3.67
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
3 Jul 202673.83
72.47
-1.84%
4
83.62
9.24%
22.03
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
29 Aug 202551.83
53.35
2.93%
8
37.64
4.23%
1.60
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
19 Jun 20268.95
9.66
7.93%
5
99.40
6.63%
0.92
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
6 Mar 20269.41
9.21
-2.19%
4
44.90
0.23%
0.83
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
5 Jun 202629.46
36.78
24.85%
4
55.52
0.99%
39.31
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
30 May 20254.47
4.66
4.25%
4
79.16
4.76%
27.85
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
3 Apr 20263.56
4.86
36.52%
4
90.80
12.91%
104.42
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
29 Aug 20258.86
16.17
82.51%
5
71.93
1.22%
11.07
DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation
12 Sep 20255.87
5.13
-12.61%
4
97.24
1.62%
1.86
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
12 Jun 20263.01
3.07
1.99%
4
95.88
3.41%
20.65
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
27 Feb 20266.00
5.03
-16.17%
6
2.65
0.35%
4.03
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
29 May 20263.35
4.03
20.30%
5
44.25
1.24%
0.75
DLTR NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
9 May 202585.47
124.91
46.14%
4
70.51
2.12%
3.34
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
20 Feb 202629.87
29.03
-2.80%
4
96.94
1.89%
4.06
DPRO NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
15 Aug 20254.26
4.78
12.21%
4
96.48
4.75%
20.76
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
22 May 20267.23
8.76
21.16%
4
74.98
2.99%
14.34
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
13 Mar 20266.14
6.60
7.41%
5
45.46
1.51%
1.16
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3 Jul 20263.65
3.26
-10.68%
8
23.20
2.51%
18.52
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
12 Jun 2026404.07
416.23
3.01%
5
98.33
3.19%
9.86
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
27 Mar 202670.41
67.57
-4.04%
8
13.96
0.94%
3.98
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
3 Jul 202627.21
26.48
-2.68%
4
81.28
5.52%
19.35
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20261.33
3.10
133.08%
4
57.34
3.39%
8.35
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
22 Aug 20252.27
3.30
45.37%
5
36.10
0.13%
11.92
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
8 May 202622.15
20.97
-5.33%
4
95.03
2.36%
3.66
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
5 Jun 202617.33
21.03
21.35%
6
97.87
21.39%
81.93
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
5 Sep 20257.27
12.31
69.33%
4
93.61
5.54%
9.40
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
27 Mar 20263.93
4.64
18.04%
4
39.56
1.38%
6.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1051-1080 of 4970
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
31 Oct 2025
Exit
LOGI NASDAQ · Logitech International SA
120.56
Reversal Risk Warning
101.98%
Entry 5 May 2023 59.69
31 Oct 2025
Exit
LRMR NASDAQ · Larimar Therapeutics Inc
3.89
20% entry drawdown
-20.12%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 4.87
31 Oct 2025
Exit
MIR NYSE · Mirion Technologies Inc
29.37
Reversal Risk Warning
303.43%
Entry 17 Mar 2023 7.28
31 Oct 2025
Exit
NET NYSE · Cloudflare Inc
253.30
Reversal Risk Warning
274.54%
Entry 16 Jun 2023 67.63
31 Oct 2025
Entry
NXTC NASDAQ · NextCure  Inc
12.60
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.15 · ROC 8.81% · RS 34.70
31 Oct 2025
Exit
PLTR NASDAQ · Palantir Technologies Inc.
200.47
Reversal Risk Warning
2010.21%
Entry 12 May 2023 9.50
31 Oct 2025
Exit
PRPL NASDAQ · Purple Innovation Inc
0.79
20% entry drawdown
-23.87%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 1.04
31 Oct 2025
Exit
QTEX NASDAQ · QTREX Quantum Ltd.
0.93
20% entry drawdown
-26.77%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 1.27
31 Oct 2025
Entry
QUIK NASDAQ · QuickLogic Corporation
7.90
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 51.91 · ROC 3.64% · RS 0.47
31 Oct 2025
Entry
RGR NYSE · Sturm Ruger & Company Inc
42.15
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 85.50 · ROC 2.06% · RS 0.11
31 Oct 2025
Exit
RRGB NASDAQ · Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
5.06
20% entry drawdown
-24.70%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 6.72
31 Oct 2025
Exit
SINT NASDAQ · SINTX Technologies Inc
3.19
20% entry drawdown
-29.74%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 4.54
31 Oct 2025
Exit
TAP-A NYSE · Molson Coors Beverage Company
44.47
20% entry drawdown
-21.36%
Entry 28 Mar 2025 56.54
24 Oct 2025
Exit
ALEC NASDAQ · Alector Inc
1.50
20% entry drawdown
-50.17%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 3.01
24 Oct 2025
Exit
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
11.22
20% entry drawdown
-45.16%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 20.46
24 Oct 2025
Entry
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 37.41 · ROC 2.35% · RS 3.89
24 Oct 2025
Entry
BIO-B NYSE · Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc
321.12
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 94.41 · ROC 1.50% · RS 0.39
24 Oct 2025
Entry
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
3.13
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.14 · ROC 3.34% · RS 5.97
24 Oct 2025
Entry
DMRA NASDAQ · Damora Therapeutics, Inc.
8.43
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 80.40 · ROC 16.83% · RS 62.89
24 Oct 2025
Entry
EDSA NASDAQ · Edesa Biotech Inc
2.74
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 41.90 · ROC 0.64% · RS 4.93
24 Oct 2025
Exit
ES NYSE · Eversource Energy
72.23
Reversal Risk Warning
18.02%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 61.20
24 Oct 2025
Exit
GEOS NASDAQ · Geospace Technologies Corporation
25.92
Reversal Risk Warning
346.90%
Entry 17 Mar 2023 5.80
24 Oct 2025
Exit
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
4.04
20% entry drawdown
-21.71%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 5.16
24 Oct 2025
Exit
HCI NYSE · HCI Group Inc
204.88
Reversal Risk Warning
302.07%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 50.95
24 Oct 2025
Exit
HWH NASDAQ · HWH International Inc
2.16
20% entry drawdown
-21.74%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 2.76
24 Oct 2025
Entry
INVX NYSE · Innovex International, Inc
20.48
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 59.96 · ROC 0.37% · RS 11.82
24 Oct 2025
Entry
IONR NASDAQ · ioneer Ltd American Depositary Shares
5.19
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.22 · ROC 5.10% · RS 8.64
24 Oct 2025
Entry
KRRO NASDAQ · Korro Bio, Inc.
38.09
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 88.97 · ROC 14.35% · RS 13.59
24 Oct 2025
Exit
MMM NYSE · 3M Company
166.16
Reversal Risk Warning
88.59%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 88.11
24 Oct 2025
Entry
OESX NASDAQ · Orion Energy Systems Inc
9.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 54.47 · ROC 1.80% · RS 5.58