Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
13 Jun 202519.24
29.95
55.67%
4
95.91
6.53%
46.95
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
1 May 202611.80
10.61
-10.08%
4
92.52
8.24%
54.02
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
29 May 202615.46
16.24
5.02%
4
95.14
1.94%
3.67
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
3 Jul 202673.83
73.83
New Entry week
4
83.35
9.24%
22.03
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
29 Aug 202551.83
60.08
15.92%
8
37.64
4.23%
1.60
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
19 Jun 20268.95
8.90
-0.56%
5
99.41
6.63%
0.92
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
6 Mar 20269.41
9.02
-4.16%
4
44.90
0.23%
0.83
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
5 Jun 202629.46
28.26
-4.07%
4
52.88
0.99%
39.31
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
30 May 20254.47
4.66
4.25%
4
79.16
4.76%
27.85
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
3 Apr 20263.56
4.40
23.60%
4
90.80
12.91%
104.42
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
29 Aug 20258.86
15.49
74.83%
5
71.93
1.22%
11.07
DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation
12 Sep 20255.87
5.13
-12.61%
4
97.24
1.62%
1.86
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
12 Jun 20263.01
2.80
-6.98%
4
95.88
3.41%
20.65
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
27 Feb 20266.00
5.26
-12.33%
6
2.65
0.35%
4.03
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
29 May 20263.35
4.45
32.84%
5
44.25
1.24%
0.75
DLTR NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
9 May 202585.47
124.05
45.14%
4
70.51
2.12%
3.34
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
20 Feb 202629.87
27.71
-7.22%
4
96.94
1.89%
4.06
DPRO NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
15 Aug 20254.26
5.12
20.19%
4
96.48
4.75%
20.76
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
22 May 20267.23
8.18
13.14%
4
74.98
2.99%
14.34
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
13 Mar 20266.14
8.77
42.83%
5
45.46
1.51%
1.16
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3 Jul 20263.65
3.65
New Entry week
8
23.20
2.51%
18.52
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
12 Jun 2026404.07
417.89
3.42%
5
98.35
3.19%
9.86
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
27 Mar 202670.41
68.86
-2.21%
8
13.96
0.94%
3.98
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
3 Jul 202627.21
27.21
New Entry week
4
81.29
5.52%
19.35
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20261.33
2.92
119.55%
4
57.34
3.39%
8.35
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
22 Aug 20252.27
3.04
33.92%
5
36.10
0.13%
11.92
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
8 May 202622.15
21.78
-1.67%
4
95.03
2.36%
3.66
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
5 Jun 202617.33
28.11
62.20%
6
97.97
21.39%
81.93
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
5 Sep 20257.27
13.00
78.82%
4
93.61
5.54%
9.40
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
27 Mar 20263.93
4.69
19.31%
4
39.56
1.38%
6.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1351-1380 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
29 Aug 2025
Entry
TRIP NASDAQ · TripAdvisor Inc
17.42
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 39.83 · ROC 1.17% · RS 4.07
29 Aug 2025
Entry
UP NYSE · Wheels Up Experience Inc
58.60
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 43.16 · ROC 4.76% · RS 62.26
29 Aug 2025
Entry
VAL NYSE · Valaris Ltd
49.67
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 28.90 · ROC 0.05% · RS 1.42
29 Aug 2025
Entry
VALN NASDAQ · Valneva SE ADR
8.85
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 95.88 · ROC 11.33% · RS 26.75
22 Aug 2025
Exit
AAME NASDAQ · Atlantic American Corporation
3.28
Reversal Risk Warning
79.23%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 1.83
22 Aug 2025
Entry
ACLS NASDAQ · Axcelis Technologies Inc
81.29
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 50.78 · ROC 1.42% · RS 0.20
22 Aug 2025
Entry
AEI NASDAQ · Alset Ehome International Inc
1.30
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 41.71 · ROC 3.40% · RS 6.32
22 Aug 2025
Exit
ALLE NYSE · Allegion PLC
169.85
Reversal Risk Warning
60.84%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 105.60
22 Aug 2025
Exit
AORT NYSE · Artivion Inc
44.83
Reversal Risk Warning
144.31%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 18.35
22 Aug 2025
Entry
APM NASDAQ · Aptorum Group Ltd Class A
2.64
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 67.48 · ROC 2.11% · RS 81.10
22 Aug 2025
Entry
ATRA NASDAQ · Atara Biotherapeutics Inc
12.34
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.61 · ROC 0.18% · RS 20.10
22 Aug 2025
Exit
BNC NASDAQ · CEA Industries Inc.
27.32
Reversal Risk Warning
236.26%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 8.12
22 Aug 2025
Entry
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
2.27
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 36.10 · ROC 0.13% · RS 11.92
22 Aug 2025
Exit
FINS NYSE · Angel Oak Financial Strategies Income Term Trust
12.10
Reversal Risk Warning
36.08%
Entry 27 Oct 2023 8.89
22 Aug 2025
Entry
FRMM NASDAQ · Forum Markets, Incorporated
33.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 29.39 · ROC 28.61% · RS 59.74
22 Aug 2025
Exit
FUTU NASDAQ · Futu Holdings Ltd
187.68
Reversal Risk Warning
347.54%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 41.94
22 Aug 2025
Exit
GECC NASDAQ · Great Elm Capital Corp
8.95
Reversal Risk Warning
53.36%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 5.83
22 Aug 2025
Entry
GPRO NASDAQ · GoPro Inc
1.21
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.10 · ROC 3.60% · RS 7.79
22 Aug 2025
Exit
HYFT NASDAQ · ImmunoPrecise Antibodies Ltd.
3.20
Reversal Risk Warning
356.17%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 0.70
22 Aug 2025
Entry
IPGP NASDAQ · IPG Photonics Corporation
82.16
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 69.74 · ROC 0.90% · RS 4.49
22 Aug 2025
Entry
JFU NASDAQ · 9F Inc
2.39
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 51.67 · ROC 2.98% · RS 36.39
22 Aug 2025
Entry
JKS NYSE · JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited
23.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 31.68 · ROC 0.34% · RS 2.89
22 Aug 2025
Entry
JOUT NASDAQ · Johnson Outdoors Inc
40.53
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.60 · ROC 2.90% · RS 20.41
22 Aug 2025
Entry
LEA NYSE · Lear Corporation
105.83
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 24.37 · ROC 1.15% · RS 3.12
22 Aug 2025
Entry
LIXT NASDAQ · Lixte Biotechnology Holdings Inc
3.41
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 84.75 · ROC 13.13% · RS 53.87
22 Aug 2025
Entry
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
21.40
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 32.34 · ROC 1.17% · RS 3.22
22 Aug 2025
Entry
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
16.60
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 18.52 · ROC 1.25% · RS 3.02
22 Aug 2025
Exit
NVNO NASDAQ · enVVeno Medical Corp
35.00
20% entry drawdown
-76.08%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 146.30
22 Aug 2025
Entry
PLUR NASDAQ · Pluri Inc.
5.68
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 16.09 · ROC 2.36% · RS 4.12
22 Aug 2025
Exit
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
330.77
Reversal Risk Warning
54.03%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 214.75