Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
13 Jun 202519.24
29.84
55.09%
4
95.91
6.53%
46.95
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
1 May 202611.80
10.06
-14.75%
4
92.52
8.24%
54.02
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
29 May 202615.46
15.51
0.30%
4
95.14
1.94%
3.67
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
3 Jul 202673.83
72.47
-1.84%
4
83.62
9.24%
22.03
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
29 Aug 202551.83
53.35
2.93%
8
37.64
4.23%
1.60
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
19 Jun 20268.95
9.66
7.93%
5
99.40
6.63%
0.92
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
6 Mar 20269.41
9.21
-2.19%
4
44.90
0.23%
0.83
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
5 Jun 202629.46
36.78
24.85%
4
55.52
0.99%
39.31
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
30 May 20254.47
4.66
4.25%
4
79.16
4.76%
27.85
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
3 Apr 20263.56
4.86
36.52%
4
90.80
12.91%
104.42
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
29 Aug 20258.86
16.17
82.51%
5
71.93
1.22%
11.07
DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation
12 Sep 20255.87
5.13
-12.61%
4
97.24
1.62%
1.86
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
12 Jun 20263.01
3.07
1.99%
4
95.88
3.41%
20.65
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
27 Feb 20266.00
5.03
-16.17%
6
2.65
0.35%
4.03
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
29 May 20263.35
4.03
20.30%
5
44.25
1.24%
0.75
DLTR NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
9 May 202585.47
124.91
46.14%
4
70.51
2.12%
3.34
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
20 Feb 202629.87
29.03
-2.80%
4
96.94
1.89%
4.06
DPRO NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
15 Aug 20254.26
4.78
12.21%
4
96.48
4.75%
20.76
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
22 May 20267.23
8.76
21.16%
4
74.98
2.99%
14.34
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
13 Mar 20266.14
6.60
7.41%
5
45.46
1.51%
1.16
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3 Jul 20263.65
3.26
-10.68%
8
23.20
2.51%
18.52
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
12 Jun 2026404.07
416.23
3.01%
5
98.33
3.19%
9.86
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
27 Mar 202670.41
67.57
-4.04%
8
13.96
0.94%
3.98
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
3 Jul 202627.21
26.48
-2.68%
4
81.28
5.52%
19.35
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20261.33
3.10
133.08%
4
57.34
3.39%
8.35
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
22 Aug 20252.27
3.30
45.37%
5
36.10
0.13%
11.92
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
8 May 202622.15
20.97
-5.33%
4
95.03
2.36%
3.66
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
5 Jun 202617.33
21.03
21.35%
6
97.87
21.39%
81.93
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
5 Sep 20257.27
12.31
69.33%
4
93.61
5.54%
9.40
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
27 Mar 20263.93
4.64
18.04%
4
39.56
1.38%
6.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2491-2520 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
18 Oct 2024
Entry
HUT NASDAQ · Hut 8 Corp. Common Stock
14.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 8.93 · ROC 5.55% · RS 19.09
18 Oct 2024
Entry
ILMN NASDAQ · Illumina Inc
146.07
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.97 · ROC 1.03% · RS 6.30
18 Oct 2024
Entry
JD NASDAQ · JD.com Inc Adr
37.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.32 · ROC 8.68% · RS 27.78
18 Oct 2024
Entry
LOVE NASDAQ · The Lovesac Company
29.93
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 34.99 · ROC 2.79% · RS 12.13
18 Oct 2024
Entry
MNPR NASDAQ · Monopar Therapeutics Inc
5.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.80 · ROC 6.97% · RS 58.24
18 Oct 2024
Exit
NTRP NASDAQ · NextTrip Inc
2.40
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 3.00
18 Oct 2024
Exit
NVAX NASDAQ · Novavax Inc
10.18
20% entry drawdown
-27.29%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 14.00
18 Oct 2024
Entry
PTON NASDAQ · Peloton Interactive Inc
5.84
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 47.60 · ROC 2.13% · RS 14.36
18 Oct 2024
Entry
RCON NASDAQ · Recon Technology Ltd
3.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.71 · ROC 3.36% · RS 3.62
18 Oct 2024
Entry
SBAC NASDAQ · SBA Communications Corp
238.27
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 65.69 · ROC 1.63% · RS 0.16
18 Oct 2024
Entry
SFST NASDAQ · Southern First Bancshares Inc
36.47
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 52.77 · ROC 1.33% · RS 2.12
18 Oct 2024
Exit
TKLF NASDAQ · Yoshitsu Co Ltd ADR
4.39
20% entry drawdown
-26.94%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 6.00
18 Oct 2024
Exit
TRUP NASDAQ · Trupanion Inc
54.84
Reversal Risk Warning
43.19%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 38.30
18 Oct 2024
Entry
UAA NYSE · Under Armour Inc A
9.36
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 70.82 · ROC 1.77% · RS 7.07
18 Oct 2024
Entry
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
6.89
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 63.79 · ROC 3.06% · RS 14.40
18 Oct 2024
Entry
VLY NASDAQ · Valley National Bancorp
8.72
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 72.83 · ROC 2.68% · RS 0.98
18 Oct 2024
Exit
WLYB NYSE · John Wiley & Sons B
47.57
Reversal Risk Warning
29.99%
Entry 12 Apr 2024 36.59
18 Oct 2024
Entry
WRBY NYSE · Warby Parker Inc
16.55
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 27.82 · ROC 3.40% · RS 3.09
11 Oct 2024
Exit
AIRG NASDAQ · Airgain Inc
9.29
Reversal Risk Warning
70.46%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 5.45
11 Oct 2024
Exit
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
108.00
20% entry drawdown
-25.21%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 144.40
11 Oct 2024
Exit
ATEX NASDAQ · Anterix Inc
31.50
20% entry drawdown
-21.78%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 40.27
11 Oct 2024
Entry
ATYR NASDAQ · aTyr Pharma, Inc.
2.23
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 13.72 · ROC 0.54% · RS 18.20
11 Oct 2024
Entry
BNTX NASDAQ · BioNTech SE
120.52
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.76 · ROC 3.88% · RS 11.10
11 Oct 2024
Exit
CCOI NASDAQ · Cogent Communications Group Inc
74.39
Reversal Risk Warning
44.09%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 51.63
11 Oct 2024
Entry
CEVA NASDAQ · CEVA Inc
25.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 44.02 · ROC 0.72% · RS 4.14
11 Oct 2024
Entry
DTCX NASDAQ · Datacentrex, Inc.
6.27
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 54.96 · ROC 1.92% · RS 5.05
11 Oct 2024
Entry
ELBM NASDAQ · Electra Battery Materials Corp
2.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 65.90 · ROC 2.78% · RS 16.15
11 Oct 2024
Entry
ERII NASDAQ · Energy Recovery Inc
18.65
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 57.85 · ROC 2.19% · RS 2.62
11 Oct 2024
Entry
GEVO NASDAQ · Gevo Inc
2.06
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.63 · ROC 17.06% · RS 98.97
11 Oct 2024
Entry
HOUR NASDAQ · Hour Loop Inc
1.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.59 · ROC 1.86% · RS 5.42