View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
7.35
31.25%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
24.98
16.73%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
14.99
29.90%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.49
125.63%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.16
31.45%
4
76.53
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
20.11
50.28%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
49.64
14.18%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
31.20
-0.67%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
225.37
12.53%
5
77.74
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
13.52
-0.37%
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
61.82
40.28%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.65
30.99%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
7.24
50.83%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.64
86.35%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.51
-7.72%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
19.38
16.75%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
36.83
24.70%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.74
15.23%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
83.89
62.74%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
11.11
37.25%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
4.27
81.70%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
2.60
21.50%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.18
43.24%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87
NRC NASDAQ · National Research Corp
22 May 202618.93
21.78
15.03%
8
82.86
5.64%
0.52
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
6 Jun 20254.45
7.73
73.65%
5
38.40
0.92%
4.51
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
26 Jun 2026119.49
115.33
-3.49%
4
96.74
3.95%
4.16
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
13 Feb 20269.03
8.09
-10.41%
6
75.65
1.72%
0.35
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
29 May 202617.04
15.92
-6.57%
4
89.74
4.42%
2.66
NVST NYSE · Envista Holdings Corp
29 Aug 202521.18
26.74
26.25%
4
45.07
0.61%
0.69
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
3 Jul 20265.83
5.23
-10.29%
4
82.25
6.86%
15.74

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3781-3810 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
13 Oct 2023
Exit
OSCR NYSE · Oscar Health Inc
4.93
20% entry drawdown
-26.75%
Entry 28 Apr 2023 6.73
13 Oct 2023
Entry
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
49.33
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 2.10 · ROC 0.79% · RS 1.25
13 Oct 2023
Entry
SND NASDAQ · Smart Sand Inc
1.97
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 51.90 · ROC 2.11% · RS 4.62
13 Oct 2023
Exit
SPRB NASDAQ · Spruce Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
119.25
20% entry drawdown
-27.73%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 165.00
13 Oct 2023
Exit
STNE NASDAQ · StoneCo Ltd
8.04
20% entry drawdown
-20.80%
Entry 26 May 2023 10.16
13 Oct 2023
Entry
STX NASDAQ · Seagate Technology PLC
64.57
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 8.61 · ROC 1.11% · RS 0.49
13 Oct 2023
Entry
TNGX NASDAQ · Tango Therapeutics Inc
7.69
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 99.58 · ROC 16.63% · RS 12.24
13 Oct 2023
Entry
TOI NASDAQ · Oncology Institute Inc
1.55
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 80.80 · ROC 6.99% · RS 2.87
13 Oct 2023
Exit
TSHA NASDAQ · Taysha Gene Therapies Inc
2.26
20% entry drawdown
-31.31%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 3.29
13 Oct 2023
Exit
VICR NASDAQ · Vicor Corporation
53.44
20% entry drawdown
-20.46%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 67.19
13 Oct 2023
Exit
W NYSE · Wayfair Inc
47.31
20% entry drawdown
-31.94%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 69.51
6 Oct 2023
Exit
AUPH NASDAQ · Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc
7.30
20% entry drawdown
-23.24%
Entry 17 Mar 2023 9.51
6 Oct 2023
Exit
CDZI NASDAQ · Cadiz Inc
3.10
20% entry drawdown
-24.57%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 4.11
6 Oct 2023
Exit
CRDL NASDAQ · Cardiol Therapeutics Inc Class A
0.85
20% entry drawdown
-22.02%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 1.09
6 Oct 2023
Exit
DBI NYSE · Designer Brands Inc
10.90
Reversal Danger Warning
-0.53%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 10.96
6 Oct 2023
Exit
GDRX NASDAQ · Goodrx Holdings Inc
5.15
20% entry drawdown
-23.36%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 6.72
6 Oct 2023
Entry
HBB NYSE · Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Co Class A
11.61
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 66.92 · ROC 0.33% · RS 4.97
6 Oct 2023
Exit
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
7.06
20% entry drawdown
-22.84%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 9.15
6 Oct 2023
Exit
LFST NASDAQ · Lifestance Health Group Inc
6.62
20% entry drawdown
-22.48%
Entry 12 May 2023 8.54
6 Oct 2023
Entry
LOOP NASDAQ · Loop Industries Inc
3.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 73.49 · ROC 4.77% · RS 5.04
6 Oct 2023
Exit
MRKR NASDAQ · Marker Therapeutics Inc
3.98
20% entry drawdown
-23.02%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 5.17
6 Oct 2023
Entry
OSK NYSE · Oshkosh Corporation
87.92
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 23.07 · ROC 1.13% · RS 0.15
6 Oct 2023
Exit
RSI NYSE · Rush Street Interactive Inc
4.04
20% entry drawdown
-21.71%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 5.16
6 Oct 2023
Exit
SAM NYSE · Boston Beer Company Inc
360.65
Reversal Danger Warning
-4.67%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 378.31
6 Oct 2023
Exit
TOST NYSE · Toast Inc
17.08
20% entry drawdown
-24.32%
Entry 30 Jun 2023 22.57
6 Oct 2023
Entry
WRBY NYSE · Warby Parker Inc
14.06
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 14.93 · ROC 0.48% · RS 0.48
6 Oct 2023
Exit
WULF NASDAQ · Terawulf Inc
1.18
20% entry drawdown
-21.33%
Entry 26 May 2023 1.50
29 Sep 2023
Entry
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.72
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 45.08 · ROC 0.19% · RS 4.76
29 Sep 2023
Exit
AUID NASDAQ · authID Inc.
7.75
20% entry drawdown
-20.51%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 9.75
29 Sep 2023
Exit
AUR NASDAQ · Aurora Innovation Inc
2.35
20% entry drawdown
-20.07%
Entry 30 Jun 2023 2.94