View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
7.35
31.25%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
24.98
16.73%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
14.99
29.90%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.49
125.63%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.16
31.45%
4
76.53
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
20.11
50.28%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
49.64
14.18%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
31.20
-0.67%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
225.37
12.53%
5
77.74
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
13.52
-0.37%
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
61.82
40.28%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.65
30.99%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
7.24
50.83%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.64
86.35%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.51
-7.72%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
19.38
16.75%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
36.83
24.70%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.74
15.23%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
83.89
62.74%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
11.11
37.25%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
4.27
81.70%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
2.60
21.50%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.18
43.24%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87
NRC NASDAQ · National Research Corp
22 May 202618.93
21.78
15.03%
8
82.86
5.64%
0.52
NRT NYSE · North European Oil Royalty Trust
6 Jun 20254.45
7.73
73.65%
5
38.40
0.92%
4.51
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
26 Jun 2026119.49
115.33
-3.49%
4
96.74
3.95%
4.16
NTIC NASDAQ · Northern Technologies
13 Feb 20269.03
8.09
-10.41%
6
75.65
1.72%
0.35
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
29 May 202617.04
15.92
-6.57%
4
89.74
4.42%
2.66
NVST NYSE · Envista Holdings Corp
29 Aug 202521.18
26.74
26.25%
4
45.07
0.61%
0.69
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
3 Jul 20265.83
5.23
-10.29%
4
82.25
6.86%
15.74

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4561-4590 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
17 Mar 2023
Exit
SIEB NASDAQ · Siebert Financial Corp
1.51
20% entry drawdown
-24.50%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 2.00
17 Mar 2023
Exit
TEO NYSE · Telecom Argentina SA ADR
4.01
20% entry drawdown
-23.58%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 5.25
17 Mar 2023
Exit
TPC NYSE · Tutor Perini Corporation
6.11
20% entry drawdown
-31.66%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 8.95
17 Mar 2023
Entry
VNT NYSE · Vontier Corp
25.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.65 · ROC 1.00% · RS 13.29
10 Mar 2023
Entry
AGNCP NASDAQ · AGNC Investment Corp.
15.99
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 55.60 · ROC 0.12% · RS 3.00
10 Mar 2023
Entry
ALGN NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
312.79
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.37 · ROC 1.99% · RS 20.40
10 Mar 2023
Entry
ANSS NASDAQ · ANSYS Inc
296.03
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.67 · ROC 0.80% · RS 17.96
10 Mar 2023
Exit
ANVS NYSE · Annovis Bio Inc
14.51
20% entry drawdown
-20.58%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 18.27
10 Mar 2023
Exit
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
14.74
20% entry drawdown
-25.86%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 19.88
10 Mar 2023
Exit
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
31.40
20% entry drawdown
-30.22%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 45.00
10 Mar 2023
Entry
BOOM NASDAQ · Dmc Global Inc
23.25
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 85.77 · ROC 2.30% · RS 8.50
10 Mar 2023
Exit
BYSI NASDAQ · BeyondSpring Inc
1.43
20% entry drawdown
-35.87%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 2.23
10 Mar 2023
Entry
CALY NYSE · Callaway Golf Company
22.54
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 24.68 · ROC 0.21% · RS 7.19
10 Mar 2023
Entry
CCOI NASDAQ · Cogent Communications Group Inc
51.63
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 37.34 · ROC 1.13% · RS 8.28
10 Mar 2023
Exit
CDRO NASDAQ · Codere Online US Corp
2.64
20% entry drawdown
-22.02%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 3.39
10 Mar 2023
Entry
CDZI NASDAQ · Cadiz Inc
4.11
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 59.87 · ROC 1.67% · RS 51.60
10 Mar 2023
Entry
CLBT NASDAQ · Cellebrite DI
5.87
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.61 · ROC 1.34% · RS 19.52
10 Mar 2023
Exit
CLGN NASDAQ · Collplant Biotechnologies Ltd
8.95
20% entry drawdown
-20.16%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 11.21
10 Mar 2023
Exit
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
34.55
20% entry drawdown
-24.51%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 45.77
10 Mar 2023
Entry
EHTH NASDAQ · eHealth Inc
8.12
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.24 · ROC 2.16% · RS 14.91
10 Mar 2023
Entry
ESCA NASDAQ · Escalade Incorporated
11.19
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 48.25 · ROC 0.86% · RS 12.61
10 Mar 2023
Entry
ESNT NYSE · Essent Group Ltd
37.21
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 48.58 · ROC 0.32% · RS 3.50
10 Mar 2023
Entry
FAF NYSE · First American Corporation
47.29
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 23.79 · ROC 0.05% · RS 0.26
10 Mar 2023
Entry
FND NYSE · Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
86.75
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 47.51 · ROC 0.79% · RS 12.64
10 Mar 2023
Entry
FOX NASDAQ · Fox Corp Class B
29.29
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 47.59 · ROC 0.36% · RS 1.20
10 Mar 2023
Entry
FSLY NASDAQ · Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock
13.38
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.13 · ROC 4.14% · RS 20.15
10 Mar 2023
Entry
FTDR NASDAQ · Frontdoor Inc
25.74
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 73.97 · ROC 0.73% · RS 6.12
10 Mar 2023
Entry
GNL NYSE · Global Net Lease, Inc.
8.63
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 46.97 · ROC 0.11% · RS 3.43
10 Mar 2023
Exit
HCM NASDAQ · HUTCHMED DRC
14.20
20% entry drawdown
-25.93%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 19.17
10 Mar 2023
Entry
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
369.70
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 80.73 · ROC 2.17% · RS 13.65