View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
25 Jul 20253.83
3.59
-6.27%
4
46.76
1.56%
1.01
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
19 Jun 20263.11
3.11
0.00%
4
90.68
6.39%
36.31
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
22 May 20266.94
5.66
-18.44%
4
45.47
3.16%
3.90
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
15 Aug 20251.24
2.32
87.10%
6
86.78
7.03%
12.15
LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
17 Apr 202665.60
53.36
-18.65%
8
97.33
5.97%
12.09
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
3 Jul 202638.79
38.79
New Entry week
4
92.33
3.87%
8.61
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
8.69
55.18%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
23.79
11.17%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
15.30
32.58%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.71
136.68%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.80
38.99%
4
76.62
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
18.86
40.94%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
49.01
12.73%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
31.86
1.43%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
229.87
14.77%
5
78.03
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
13.57
New Entry week
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
79.76
80.98%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.46
29.58%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
6.04
25.83%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.31
73.09%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.74
0.74%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
17.50
5.42%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
31.88
7.94%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
8 May 20264.53
4.12
-9.05%
4
90.75
4.68%
25.39
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.73
14.57%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
77.86
51.04%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
14.49
79.00%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
5.10
117.02%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
3.22
50.47%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.49
57.21%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 661-690 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
6 Feb 2026
Exit
COLB NASDAQ · Columbia Banking System Inc
31.27
Reversal Risk Warning
45.03%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 21.56
6 Feb 2026
Exit
CRNC NASDAQ · Cerence Inc
7.77
20% entry drawdown
-37.09%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 12.35
6 Feb 2026
Exit
EBC NASDAQ · Eastern Bankshares Inc
21.58
Reversal Risk Warning
52.86%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 14.12
6 Feb 2026
Exit
EBMT NASDAQ · Eagle Bancorp Montana Inc
23.14
Reversal Risk Warning
62.58%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 14.24
6 Feb 2026
Exit
FIBK NASDAQ · First Interstate BancSystem Inc
37.84
Reversal Risk Warning
48.31%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 25.52
6 Feb 2026
Entry
GFR NYSE · Greenfire Resources Ltd.
5.74
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 65.60 · ROC 2.23% · RS 5.39
6 Feb 2026
Entry
GFS NASDAQ · Globalfoundries Inc
42.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.76 · ROC 1.14% · RS 5.45
6 Feb 2026
Exit
GSK NYSE · GlaxoSmithKline PLC ADR
59.27
Reversal Risk Warning
81.89%
Entry 29 Sep 2023 32.59
6 Feb 2026
Exit
HIFS NASDAQ · Hingham Institution for Savings
332.62
Reversal Risk Warning
42.31%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 233.73
6 Feb 2026
Exit
HSY NYSE · Hershey Co
228.24
Reversal Risk Warning
24.38%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 183.49
6 Feb 2026
Exit
INDB NASDAQ · Independent Bank
85.27
Reversal Risk Warning
43.32%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 59.50
6 Feb 2026
Exit
ISTR NASDAQ · Investar Holding Corp
29.99
Reversal Risk Warning
78.34%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 16.82
6 Feb 2026
Exit
KEY NYSE · KeyCorp
22.76
Reversal Risk Warning
79.01%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 12.71
6 Feb 2026
Exit
KURA NASDAQ · Kura Oncology Inc
7.83
20% entry drawdown
-20.51%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 9.85
6 Feb 2026
Exit
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.04
20% entry drawdown
-33.55%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 6.08
6 Feb 2026
Exit
LEA NYSE · Lear Corporation
139.33
Reversal Risk Warning
31.65%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 105.83
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MCB NYSE · Metropolitan Bank Holding
96.12
Reversal Risk Warning
87.63%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 51.23
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MCRB NASDAQ · Seres Therapeutics Inc
13.96
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 17.45
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MIRA NASDAQ · MIRA Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock
1.20
20% entry drawdown
-22.08%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 1.54
6 Feb 2026
Exit
MRBK NASDAQ · Meridian Bank
20.41
Reversal Risk Warning
73.41%
Entry 20 Sep 2024 11.77
6 Feb 2026
Entry
MRKR NASDAQ · Marker Therapeutics Inc
1.65
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.24 · ROC 2.51% · RS 13.33
6 Feb 2026
Entry
NVCT NASDAQ · Nuvectis Pharma Inc
8.89
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 51.57 · ROC 1.44% · RS 3.44
6 Feb 2026
Entry
ON NASDAQ · ON Semiconductor Corporation
65.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 58.28 · ROC 1.61% · RS 19.21
6 Feb 2026
Exit
OSK NYSE · Oshkosh Corporation
170.38
Reversal Risk Warning
93.80%
Entry 6 Oct 2023 87.92
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PNC NYSE · PNC Financial Services Group Inc
240.63
Reversal Risk Warning
72.67%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 139.36
6 Feb 2026
Exit
PROK NASDAQ · ProKidney Corp.
1.87
20% entry drawdown
-20.76%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 2.36
6 Feb 2026
Entry
QXO NYSE · QXO, Inc.
23.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 34.97 · ROC 0.86% · RS 13.24
6 Feb 2026
Entry
RILY NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
7.88
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.99 · ROC 14.06% · RS 50.24
6 Feb 2026
Entry
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
10.14
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 79.81 · ROC 21.07% · RS 80.56
6 Feb 2026
Exit
SBET NASDAQ · Sharplink Gaming Ltd
7.03
20% entry drawdown
-28.63%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 9.85