View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 151-180 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
25 Jul 20253.83
3.59
-6.27%
4
46.76
1.56%
1.01
LPRO NASDAQ · Open Lending Corp
19 Jun 20263.11
3.11
0.00%
4
90.68
6.39%
36.31
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
22 May 20266.94
5.66
-18.44%
4
45.47
3.16%
3.90
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
15 Aug 20251.24
2.32
87.10%
6
86.78
7.03%
12.15
LYB NYSE · LyondellBasell Industries NV
17 Apr 202665.60
53.36
-18.65%
8
97.33
5.97%
12.09
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
3 Jul 202638.79
38.79
New Entry week
4
92.33
3.87%
8.61
MASS NASDAQ · 908 Devices Inc
2 May 20255.60
8.69
55.18%
4
99.11
6.19%
39.45
MCFT NASDAQ · MCBC Holdings Inc
22 Aug 202521.40
23.79
11.17%
6
32.34
1.17%
3.22
MEI NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
29 May 202611.54
15.30
32.58%
4
93.32
7.34%
34.93
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
27 Feb 20261.99
4.71
136.68%
4
13.14
1.69%
13.01
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
5 Jun 20268.49
11.80
38.99%
4
76.62
5.56%
24.70
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
9 May 202513.38
18.86
40.94%
5
70.14
2.01%
4.38
MLR NYSE · Miller Industries Inc
13 Mar 202643.48
49.01
12.73%
4
46.41
0.87%
0.91
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
26 Jun 202631.41
31.86
1.43%
4
60.27
0.61%
1.43
MOH NYSE · Molina Healthcare Inc
12 Jun 2026200.28
229.87
14.77%
5
78.03
2.98%
3.17
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
3 Jul 202613.57
13.57
New Entry week
5
82.73
5.93%
2.64
MRNA NASDAQ · Moderna Inc
30 Jan 202644.07
79.76
80.98%
4
86.83
7.09%
33.42
MRTN NASDAQ · Marten Transport Ltd
27 Feb 202613.47
17.46
29.58%
4
95.83
1.03%
1.72
MRVI NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
29 May 20264.80
6.04
25.83%
4
90.65
5.10%
25.04
MSGM NASDAQ · Motorsport Gaming Us LLC
9 May 20252.49
4.31
73.09%
4
69.38
12.42%
52.82
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
28 Nov 20252.72
2.74
0.74%
4
91.58
20.03%
92.27
MTUS NYSE · Metallus, Inc
22 Aug 202516.60
17.50
5.42%
6
18.52
1.25%
3.02
MUR NYSE · Murphy Oil Corporation
3 Oct 202529.54
31.88
7.94%
4
67.37
1.24%
3.44
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
8 May 20264.53
4.12
-9.05%
4
90.75
4.68%
25.39
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
7 Nov 20251.51
1.73
14.57%
4
89.88
7.35%
13.67
NBR NYSE · Nabors Industries Ltd.
7 Nov 202551.55
77.86
51.04%
7
87.99
4.38%
7.62
NDLS NASDAQ · Noodles & Company
10 Apr 20268.10
14.49
79.00%
4
89.67
5.88%
22.21
NERV NASDAQ · Minerva Neurosciences Inc
10 Oct 20252.35
5.10
117.02%
8
10.24
3.56%
4.66
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
20 Mar 20262.14
3.22
50.47%
4
50.05
1.29%
3.12
NNBR NASDAQ · NN Inc
15 May 20262.22
3.49
57.21%
4
94.94
4.89%
0.87

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 871-900 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
5 Dec 2025
Exit
BLNK NASDAQ · Blink Charging Co
1.20
20% entry drawdown
-21.05%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 1.52
5 Dec 2025
Entry
CLB NYSE · Core Laboratories NV
16.81
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 69.60 · ROC 3.78% · RS 7.55
5 Dec 2025
Entry
GPRK NYSE · GeoPark Ltd
8.20
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 90.73 · ROC 3.28% · RS 0.04
5 Dec 2025
Entry
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
40.50
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 76.92 · ROC 3.29% · RS 1.65
5 Dec 2025
Entry
RES NYSE · RPC Inc
5.77
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 58.46 · ROC 1.68% · RS 1.54
5 Dec 2025
Exit
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
3.33
20% entry drawdown
-21.28%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 4.23
5 Dec 2025
Exit
SSTK NYSE · Shutterstock
18.13
20% entry drawdown
-24.58%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 24.04
28 Nov 2025
Exit
ATEC NASDAQ · Alphatec Holdings Inc
22.55
Reversal Risk Warning
98.50%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 11.36
28 Nov 2025
Exit
BMEZ NYSE · BlackRock Health Sciences Trust II
14.79
Reversal Risk Warning
35.07%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 10.95
28 Nov 2025
Exit
BMRC NASDAQ · Bank of Marin Bancorp
26.55
Reversal Risk Warning
33.31%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 19.92
28 Nov 2025
Entry
CERS NASDAQ · Cerus Corporation
1.76
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 70.19 · ROC 3.22% · RS 2.04
28 Nov 2025
Exit
CYPH NASDAQ · Cypherpunk Technologies Inc.
1.53
20% entry drawdown
-32.89%
Entry 21 Nov 2025 2.28
28 Nov 2025
Exit
GDEV NASDAQ · GDEV Inc.
17.21
20% entry drawdown
-22.70%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 22.27
28 Nov 2025
Exit
KSS NYSE · Kohl's Corporation
24.02
Reversal Risk Warning
60.72%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 14.95
28 Nov 2025
Exit
MD NYSE · Mednax Inc
24.09
Reversal Risk Warning
113.94%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 11.26
28 Nov 2025
Entry
MTC NASDAQ · MMTEC Inc
2.72
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.58 · ROC 20.03% · RS 92.27
28 Nov 2025
Exit
NU NYSE · Nu Holdings Ltd
17.39
Reversal Risk Warning
218.50%
Entry 5 May 2023 5.46
28 Nov 2025
Exit
RIGL NASDAQ · Rigel Pharmaceuticals Inc
50.49
Reversal Risk Warning
256.57%
Entry 25 Oct 2024 14.16
28 Nov 2025
Exit
SGHT NASDAQ · Sight Sciences Inc
8.36
Reversal Risk Warning
43.64%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 5.82
28 Nov 2025
Entry
TDC NYSE · Teradata Corp
28.64
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.54 · ROC 4.06% · RS 5.35
28 Nov 2025
Exit
VFF NASDAQ · Village Farms International Inc
3.96
Reversal Risk Warning
277.14%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 1.05
28 Nov 2025
Exit
WGS NASDAQ · GeneDx Holdings Corp.
166.95
Reversal Risk Warning
1839.02%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 8.61
28 Nov 2025
Entry
XPEL NASDAQ · Xpel Inc
46.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 54.51 · ROC 5.76% · RS 11.23
21 Nov 2025
Exit
ABOS NASDAQ · Acumen Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.57
20% entry drawdown
-26.64%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 2.14
21 Nov 2025
Exit
ARQT NASDAQ · Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc
29.49
Reversal Risk Warning
137.82%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 12.40
21 Nov 2025
Exit
BRLT NASDAQ · Brilliant Earth Group Inc
1.67
20% entry drawdown
-33.47%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 2.51
21 Nov 2025
Exit
BTBD NASDAQ · Bt Brands Inc
1.43
20% entry drawdown
-22.28%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 1.84
21 Nov 2025
Exit
CABA NASDAQ · Cabaletta Bio Inc
2.08
20% entry drawdown
-27.02%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 2.85
21 Nov 2025
Exit
CATO NYSE · Cato Corporation
3.25
20% entry drawdown
-25.80%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 4.38
21 Nov 2025
Exit
CCSI NASDAQ · Consensus Cloud Solutions Inc
20.96
20% entry drawdown
-24.63%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 27.81