View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 181-210 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
NXDT NYSE · NexPoint Strategic Opportunities Fund
27 Feb 20264.31
5.62
30.39%
4
99.32
1.64%
15.27
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
19 Jun 20262.34
2.12
-9.40%
4
96.28
6.61%
5.97
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
22 May 202613.43
13.52
0.67%
4
96.66
6.19%
33.08
OLN NYSE · Olin Corporation
27 Feb 202624.98
21.99
-11.98%
4
39.93
3.06%
6.34
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
5 Dec 202540.50
45.87
13.27%
7
76.92
3.29%
1.65
ONL NYSE · Orion Office Reit Inc
22 May 20262.98
2.63
-11.73%
4
83.43
2.33%
10.69
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
22 May 20263.61
3.87
7.20%
7
36.02
0.62%
3.43
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
12 Sep 20251.26
2.44
93.65%
4
98.62
15.63%
53.67
PALI NASDAQ · Palisade Bio Inc
24 Oct 20251.74
1.97
13.22%
4
68.18
16.90%
24.71
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
26 Jun 202614.75
14.84
0.61%
4
95.50
5.97%
12.86
PII NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
5 Sep 202557.31
73.20
27.72%
5
98.81
2.82%
4.05
PIII NASDAQ · P3 Health Partners Inc
19 Jun 202610.75
10.82
0.65%
4
48.73
13.67%
48.31
PKX NYSE · POSCO Holdings Inc
14 Nov 202553.84
50.80
-5.65%
4
23.98
2.46%
0.90
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
26 Dec 20251.83
2.26
23.50%
5
70.00
1.28%
3.33
PRKS NYSE · United Parks & Resorts Inc
19 Jun 202646.64
45.11
-3.28%
4
70.35
2.06%
0.67
PTEN NASDAQ · Patterson-UTI Energy Inc
16 Jan 20267.01
10.02
42.96%
7
32.04
1.63%
0.66
PUBM NASDAQ · Pubmatic Inc
29 May 202611.68
12.73
8.99%
5
93.54
3.77%
2.76
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
22 May 202688.89
78.15
-12.08%
4
42.04
1.01%
4.36
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.73
3.36%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.34
26.90%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.37
48.34%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.63
4.63%
5
99.38
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
34.66
2.00%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
5.94
35.00%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
676.69
-10.24%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
41.80
27.59%
4
93.57
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.14
31.79%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.23
40.34%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
17.46
20.13%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
17.21
-16.25%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3751-3780 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
27 Oct 2023
Exit
VNO NYSE · Vornado Realty Trust
18.62
20% entry drawdown
-22.44%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 24.01
27 Oct 2023
Exit
VTRS NASDAQ · Viatris Inc
7.79
20% entry drawdown
-21.29%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 9.90
27 Oct 2023
Exit
WLDN NASDAQ · Willdan Group Inc
17.18
20% entry drawdown
-21.87%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 21.99
27 Oct 2023
Exit
XRX NASDAQ · Xerox Corp
10.30
20% entry drawdown
-23.16%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 13.41
20 Oct 2023
Exit
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
20.18
20% entry drawdown
-27.10%
Entry 21 Apr 2023 27.68
20 Oct 2023
Entry
AVAL NYSE · Grupo Aval
2.07
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 7.33 · ROC 1.48% · RS 1.90
20 Oct 2023
Exit
CINT NYSE · Ci&T Inc
4.57
20% entry drawdown
-29.69%
Entry 29 Sep 2023 6.50
20 Oct 2023
Exit
COF NYSE · Capital One Financial Corporation
86.40
20% entry drawdown
-21.51%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 110.08
20 Oct 2023
Exit
FROG NASDAQ · Jfrog Ltd
22.39
20% entry drawdown
-23.30%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 29.19
20 Oct 2023
Entry
GAP NYSE · The Gap, Inc.
11.04
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 23.39 · ROC 1.25% · RS 8.92
20 Oct 2023
Entry
GLBS NASDAQ · Globus Maritime Ltd
1.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 77.21 · ROC 11.96% · RS 38.76
20 Oct 2023
Entry
HCM NASDAQ · HUTCHMED DRC
16.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.51 · ROC 2.23% · RS 5.85
20 Oct 2023
Entry
HELP NASDAQ · Cybin Inc. Common Stock
18.43
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.16 · ROC 4.70% · RS 13.21
20 Oct 2023
Exit
ICHR NASDAQ · Ichor Holdings Ltd
25.76
20% entry drawdown
-21.34%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 32.75
20 Oct 2023
Entry
LITS NASDAQ · Lite Strategy, Inc.
5.46
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 25.74 · ROC 4.74% · RS 2.06
20 Oct 2023
Exit
MFA NYSE · MFA Financial Inc
6.13
20% entry drawdown
-20.61%
Entry 30 Jun 2023 7.72
20 Oct 2023
Exit
MITT NYSE · AG Mortgage Investment Trust Inc
3.73
20% entry drawdown
-22.50%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 4.81
20 Oct 2023
Entry
MLKN NASDAQ · MillerKnoll Inc
20.95
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.23 · ROC 1.82% · RS 6.67
20 Oct 2023
Exit
NCLH NYSE · Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd
13.58
20% entry drawdown
-24.35%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 17.95
20 Oct 2023
Exit
PAR NYSE · PAR Technology Corporation
33.79
20% entry drawdown
-22.78%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 43.76
20 Oct 2023
Exit
RKT NYSE · Rocket Companies Inc
6.92
20% entry drawdown
-20.80%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 8.74
20 Oct 2023
Exit
SNN NYSE · Smith & Nephew SNATS Inc
20.95
20% entry drawdown
-20.09%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 26.22
20 Oct 2023
Entry
SSSS NASDAQ · SuRo Capital Corp
3.85
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 23.11 · ROC 1.88% · RS 0.61
20 Oct 2023
Entry
SWBI NASDAQ · Smith & Wesson Brands Inc
12.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 34.33 · ROC 2.99% · RS 10.96
13 Oct 2023
Exit
ARTW NASDAQ · Arts-Way Manufacturing Co Inc
2.04
20% entry drawdown
-23.60%
Entry 28 Apr 2023 2.67
13 Oct 2023
Exit
CGNX NASDAQ · Cognex Corporation
37.45
20% entry drawdown
-22.95%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 48.60
13 Oct 2023
Exit
CLRO NASDAQ · ClearOne Inc
7.35
20% entry drawdown
-21.33%
Entry 9 Jun 2023 9.34
13 Oct 2023
Exit
DVA NYSE · DaVita HealthCare Partners Inc
73.20
20% entry drawdown
-21.90%
Entry 12 May 2023 93.72
13 Oct 2023
Exit
FCAP NASDAQ · First Capital Inc
23.89
20% entry drawdown
-21.80%
Entry 7 Jul 2023 30.55
13 Oct 2023
Exit
KN NYSE · Knowles Cor
13.77
20% entry drawdown
-21.45%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 17.53