View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 211-240 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.65
-1.42%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.20
22.81%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.02
38.67%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.16
New Entry week
5
99.53
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
31.62
-6.95%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
6.40
45.45%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
654.27
-13.22%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
33.48
2.20%
4
93.91
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.06
29.74%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILY NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 20267.88
7.98
1.27%
4
93.99
14.06%
50.24
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.26
40.63%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
18.63
28.22%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
21.39
4.09%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34
RLYB NASDAQ · Rallybio Corp
20 Mar 20268.87
15.82
78.30%
4
89.82
12.32%
91.55
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
12 Jun 20269.20
11.12
20.87%
4
59.29
2.39%
2.76
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
15 May 202618.69
26.61
42.38%
4
94.71
3.17%
6.91
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
3 Jul 20262.09
2.09
New Entry week
7
78.18
2.51%
3.07
SAIH NASDAQ · SAIHEAT Limited
15 May 202611.74
11.52
-1.92%
4
87.09
2.75%
18.60
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
10 Apr 202641.76
52.38
25.43%
4
79.21
6.04%
28.78
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
12 Jun 20269.07
8.77
-3.31%
4
84.35
5.50%
0.56
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
10 Apr 202615.14
13.55
-10.50%
4
83.28
1.61%
10.56
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
22 Aug 20256.48
9.95
53.55%
7
35.11
0.28%
19.31
SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
24 Apr 202626.34
30.51
15.81%
4
70.31
1.35%
7.17
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
19 Jun 20264.63
4.80
3.67%
4
66.23
3.42%
1.46
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
26 Jun 202610.14
10.39
2.47%
5
47.61
1.89%
45.84
SM NYSE · SM Energy Co
17 Apr 202625.79
26.85
4.09%
4
58.09
1.97%
0.36
SMHI NYSE · SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc
26 Sep 20256.91
7.59
9.84%
5
63.72
0.75%
0.35
SOTK NASDAQ · Sono-Tek Corp
7 Nov 20254.53
5.20
14.79%
6
49.76
3.02%
0.17
SPRU NYSE · Spruce Power Holding Corp
7 Nov 20252.72
2.46
-9.56%
4
74.88
3.73%
9.56
SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
12 Jun 20267.67
6.93
-9.65%
5
52.80
1.85%
0.32

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 451-480 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
20 Mar 2026
Exit
DAIO NASDAQ · Data I/O Corporation
2.46
20% entry drawdown
-23.84%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 3.23
20 Mar 2026
Exit
EGHT NASDAQ · 8x8 Inc Common Stock
1.84
20% entry drawdown
-26.98%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 2.52
20 Mar 2026
Exit
EQNR NYSE · Equinor ASA ADR
41.19
Reversal Risk Warning
89.31%
Entry 18 Apr 2025 21.76
20 Mar 2026
Entry
FHTX NASDAQ · Foghorn Therapeutics Inc
5.00
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 14.88 · ROC 0.83% · RS 0.67
20 Mar 2026
Exit
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
3.37
20% entry drawdown
-32.60%
Entry 27 Feb 2026 5.00
20 Mar 2026
Exit
FRPT NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
64.54
20% entry drawdown
-23.58%
Entry 27 Feb 2026 84.45
20 Mar 2026
Exit
FUL NYSE · H B Fuller Company
49.09
20% entry drawdown
-24.45%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 64.98
20 Mar 2026
Exit
GERN NASDAQ · Geron Corporation
1.46
20% entry drawdown
-22.34%
Entry 20 Feb 2026 1.88
20 Mar 2026
Exit
GRRR NASDAQ · Gorilla Technology Group Inc.
10.38
20% entry drawdown
-22.36%
Entry 20 Dec 2024 13.37
20 Mar 2026
Exit
HUN NYSE · Huntsman Corporation
10.35
20% entry drawdown
-20.62%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 13.04
20 Mar 2026
Exit
INKT NASDAQ · Mink Therapeutics Inc
9.41
20% entry drawdown
-21.97%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 12.06
20 Mar 2026
Exit
KLRS NASDAQ · Kalaris Therapeutics, Inc.
6.57
20% entry drawdown
-25.93%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 8.87
20 Mar 2026
Entry
KOP NYSE · Koppers Holdings Inc
35.02
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 94.22 · ROC 3.29% · RS 15.17
20 Mar 2026
Entry
LNTH NASDAQ · Lantheus Holdings Inc
76.43
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 65.14 · ROC 3.51% · RS 3.69
20 Mar 2026
Entry
MGM NYSE · MGM Resorts International
35.37
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 14.07 · ROC 0.05% · RS 0.56
20 Mar 2026
Entry
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.14
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 50.05 · ROC 1.29% · RS 3.12
20 Mar 2026
Entry
PMN NASDAQ · ProMIS Neurosciences Inc.
17.60
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.92 · ROC 6.12% · RS 31.08
20 Mar 2026
Entry
RLYB NASDAQ · Rallybio Corp
8.87
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.82 · ROC 12.32% · RS 91.55
20 Mar 2026
Exit
SIBN NASDAQ · Si-Bone Inc
12.79
20% entry drawdown
-20.36%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 16.06
20 Mar 2026
Entry
SILC NASDAQ · Silicom
18.14
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 52.01 · ROC 2.07% · RS 9.91
20 Mar 2026
Exit
SNDX NASDAQ · Syndax Pharmaceuticals Inc
24.23
Reversal Risk Warning
50.87%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 16.06
20 Mar 2026
Entry
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
18.04
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.98 · ROC 7.58% · RS 104.56
20 Mar 2026
Exit
WDS NYSE · Woodside Energy Group Ltd
24.14
Reversal Risk Warning
49.02%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 16.20
20 Mar 2026
Entry
YI NASDAQ · 111 Inc
6.85
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 47.34 · ROC 0.51% · RS 4.52
20 Mar 2026
Exit
ZKH NYSE · ZKH Group Limited
2.92
20% entry drawdown
-20.87%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 3.69
13 Mar 2026
Exit
APEI NASDAQ · American Public Education Inc
57.66
Reversal Risk Warning
557.47%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 8.77
13 Mar 2026
Exit
BRSL NYSE · Brightstar Lottery PLC
12.41
20% entry drawdown
-21.40%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 15.80
13 Mar 2026
Entry
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
57.71
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.87 · ROC 1.01% · RS 14.70
13 Mar 2026
Exit
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
14.58
20% entry drawdown
-29.29%
Entry 16 Jan 2026 20.62
13 Mar 2026
Entry
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
6.14
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 45.46 · ROC 1.51% · RS 1.16