Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 211-240 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
PVL NYSE · Permianville Royalty Trust
13 Jun 20251.67
1.65
-1.42%
4
51.22
1.41%
17.57
PXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Tankers Inc
13 Feb 20263.42
4.20
22.81%
6
57.16
1.67%
5.44
PYPD NASDAQ · PolyPid
18 Jul 20253.62
5.02
38.67%
4
45.45
2.13%
0.85
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
3 Jul 202610.16
10.16
New Entry week
5
99.53
9.13%
7.75
RCI NYSE · Rogers Communications Inc
15 Aug 202533.98
31.62
-6.95%
5
99.19
2.66%
3.12
RDNW NASDAQ · RideNow Group, Inc.
7 Nov 20254.40
6.40
45.45%
8
23.02
4.19%
6.01
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
21 Nov 2025753.90
654.27
-13.22%
6
88.39
2.81%
10.49
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
26 Jun 202632.76
33.48
2.20%
4
93.91
3.50%
4.61
RIG NYSE · Transocean Ltd
24 Oct 20253.90
5.06
29.74%
7
31.95
1.35%
6.69
RILY NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 20267.88
7.98
1.27%
4
93.99
14.06%
50.24
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6 Feb 202610.14
14.26
40.63%
4
79.81
21.07%
80.56
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
30 May 202514.53
18.63
28.22%
4
79.65
5.19%
6.43
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
12 Sep 202520.55
21.39
4.09%
4
61.34
0.56%
11.34
RLYB NASDAQ · Rallybio Corp
20 Mar 20268.87
15.82
78.30%
4
89.82
12.32%
91.55
RMAX NYSE · Re Max Holding
12 Jun 20269.20
11.12
20.87%
4
59.29
2.39%
2.76
RXO NYSE · RXO Inc.
15 May 202618.69
26.61
42.38%
4
94.71
3.17%
6.91
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
3 Jul 20262.09
2.09
New Entry week
7
78.18
2.51%
3.07
SAIH NASDAQ · SAIHEAT Limited
15 May 202611.74
11.52
-1.92%
4
87.09
2.75%
18.60
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
10 Apr 202641.76
52.38
25.43%
4
79.21
6.04%
28.78
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
12 Jun 20269.07
8.77
-3.31%
4
84.35
5.50%
0.56
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
10 Apr 202615.14
13.55
-10.50%
4
83.28
1.61%
10.56
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
22 Aug 20256.48
9.95
53.55%
7
35.11
0.28%
19.31
SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
24 Apr 202626.34
30.51
15.81%
4
70.31
1.35%
7.17
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
19 Jun 20264.63
4.80
3.67%
4
66.23
3.42%
1.46
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
26 Jun 202610.14
10.39
2.47%
5
47.61
1.89%
45.84
SM NYSE · SM Energy Co
17 Apr 202625.79
26.85
4.09%
4
58.09
1.97%
0.36
SMHI NYSE · SEACOR Marine Holdings Inc
26 Sep 20256.91
7.59
9.84%
5
63.72
0.75%
0.35
SOTK NASDAQ · Sono-Tek Corp
7 Nov 20254.53
5.20
14.79%
6
49.76
3.02%
0.17
SPRU NYSE · Spruce Power Holding Corp
7 Nov 20252.72
2.46
-9.56%
4
74.88
3.73%
9.56
SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
12 Jun 20267.67
6.93
-9.65%
5
52.80
1.85%
0.32

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 841-870 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
19 Dec 2025
Exit
WETH NASDAQ · Wetouch Technology Inc. Common Stock
1.54
20% entry drawdown
-24.51%
Entry 21 Nov 2025 2.04
12 Dec 2025
Exit
AAP NYSE · Advance Auto Parts Inc
45.90
20% entry drawdown
-20.58%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 57.79
12 Dec 2025
Entry
ANVS NYSE · Annovis Bio Inc
4.13
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.18 · ROC 16.27% · RS 37.50
12 Dec 2025
Exit
BBIO NASDAQ · BridgeBio Pharma Inc
75.15
Reversal Risk Warning
353.26%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 16.58
12 Dec 2025
Exit
BXMT NYSE · Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc
19.48
Reversal Risk Warning
16.69%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 16.69
12 Dec 2025
Exit
BZUN NASDAQ · Baozun Inc
2.76
20% entry drawdown
-20.69%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 3.48
12 Dec 2025
Exit
CVNA NYSE · Carvana Co
91.14
Reversal Risk Warning
2289.51%
Entry 9 Jun 2023 3.81
12 Dec 2025
Entry
DVN NYSE · Devon Energy Corporation
36.81
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 38.11 · ROC 2.10% · RS 0.25
12 Dec 2025
Exit
FBK NYSE · FB Financial Corp
58.58
Reversal Risk Warning
71.99%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 34.06
12 Dec 2025
Exit
FOX NASDAQ · Fox Corp Class B
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning
114.24%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 29.29
12 Dec 2025
Entry
GLBS NASDAQ · Globus Maritime Ltd
1.46
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 54.23 · ROC 3.89% · RS 6.96
12 Dec 2025
Exit
GM NYSE · General Motors Company
80.52
Reversal Risk Warning
100.85%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 40.09
12 Dec 2025
Exit
IQ NASDAQ · iQIYI Inc
1.95
20% entry drawdown
-21.05%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 2.47
12 Dec 2025
Exit
JFU NASDAQ · 9F Inc
7.37
Reversal Risk Warning
208.37%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 2.39
12 Dec 2025
Entry
KLRS NASDAQ · Kalaris Therapeutics, Inc.
8.87
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 70.05 · ROC 7.40% · RS 27.30
12 Dec 2025
Exit
KRKR NASDAQ · 36Kr Holdings Inc
4.25
20% entry drawdown
-26.72%
Entry 23 May 2025 5.80
12 Dec 2025
Exit
LC NYSE · LendingClub Corp
19.90
Reversal Risk Warning
87.03%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 10.64
12 Dec 2025
Exit
LNC NYSE · Lincoln National Corporation
44.00
Reversal Risk Warning
75.07%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 25.13
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NUTX NASDAQ · Nutex Health Inc
184.89
Reversal Risk Warning
745.40%
Entry 4 Oct 2024 21.87
12 Dec 2025
Exit
OESX NASDAQ · Orion Energy Systems Inc
17.68
Reversal Risk Warning
86.46%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 9.48
12 Dec 2025
Exit
OLMA NASDAQ · Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc
33.05
Reversal Risk Warning
325.35%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 7.77
12 Dec 2025
Entry
PROF NASDAQ · Profound Medical Corp
7.33
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 74.50 · ROC 4.48% · RS 8.96
12 Dec 2025
Exit
QNRX NASDAQ · Quoin Pharmaceuticals Ltd DRC
10.30
20% entry drawdown
-31.47%
Entry 14 Nov 2025 15.03
12 Dec 2025
Entry
SGML NASDAQ · Sigma Lithium Resources Corp
10.93
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.53 · ROC 4.23% · RS 18.12
12 Dec 2025
Entry
SSP NASDAQ · E. W. Scripps Co Class A
4.39
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.70 · ROC 9.70% · RS 46.76
12 Dec 2025
Entry
TXMD NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc
1.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.59 · ROC 3.91% · RS 28.71
12 Dec 2025
Exit
TXO NYSE · MorningStar Partners, L.P.
11.21
20% entry drawdown
-23.70%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 14.69
5 Dec 2025
Exit
ANGO NASDAQ · AngioDynamics Inc
13.47
Reversal Risk Warning
77.00%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 7.61
5 Dec 2025
Exit
ANIX NASDAQ · Anixa Biosciences Inc
4.79
Reversal Risk Warning
39.24%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 3.44
5 Dec 2025
Entry
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
20.94
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.66 · ROC 3.87% · RS 11.20