Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68 Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720 Avg 3056.5/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806 Stop 41.2% · Warning 58.2% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
29
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25 MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80 MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
37
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60 Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00 Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57 Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41 Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05 Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31 Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08 Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27 Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44 Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1-30 of 1108 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AAP NYSE · Advance Auto Parts Inc
30 May 202547.01
57.95
23.26%
Buy
0.27
-
-
ABAT NASDAQ · American Battery Technology Company Common Stock
18 Jul 20252.40
2.63
9.58%
Buy
1.26
-
-
ABEO NASDAQ · Abeona Therapeutics Inc
16 Aug 20245.00
6.98
39.60%
Buy
0.07
-
-
ABG NYSE · Asbury Automotive Group Inc
19 Jun 2026197.05
211.97
7.57%
Buy
0.02
-
-
ABM NYSE · ABM Industries Incorporated
12 Jun 202645.63
44.60
-2.26%
Buy
0.32
-
-
ABOS NASDAQ · Acumen Pharmaceuticals Inc
18 Jul 20251.50
2.63
75.33%
Buy
1.43
-
-
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
10 Jul 202693.27
93.27
New Entry week
Buy
0.37
-
-
ABVC NASDAQ · ABVC Biopharma Inc
9 May 20251.21
1.51
24.79%
Buy
1.62
-
-
ACAD NASDAQ · ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc
12 Jul 202417.77
26.22
47.55%
Buy
0.30
-
-
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
15 May 20263.32
2.71
-18.37%
Buy
0.04
-
-
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
23 Jan 20265.05
4.92
-2.57%
Buy
0.44
-
-
ACHC NASDAQ · Acadia Healthcare Company Inc
13 Feb 202616.77
31.28
86.52%
Buy
0.08
-
-
ACIU NASDAQ · AC Immune Ltd
20 Jun 20251.88
2.39
27.13%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ACOG NASDAQ · Alpha Cognition Inc
27 Feb 20266.00
8.41
40.17%
Buy
0.23
-
-
ACRE NYSE · Ares Commercial Real Estate
30 May 20254.07
4.43
8.93%
Buy
0.36
-
-
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
31 Oct 20252.52
5.58
121.43%
Buy
1.28
-
-
ACTG NASDAQ · Acacia Research Corporation
30 May 20253.73
4.42
18.50%
Buy
0.35
-
-
ACVA NYSE · ACV Auctions Inc.
15 May 20265.92
6.67
12.67%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ADNT NYSE · Adient PLC
16 May 202515.82
19.96
26.17%
Buy
0.17
-
-
ADP NASDAQ · Automatic Data Processing Inc
22 May 2026223.63
241.92
8.18%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ADPT NASDAQ · Adaptive Biotechnologies Corp
16 Aug 20244.83
21.06
336.02%
Buy
1.70
-
-
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
20 Mar 202619.23
39.89
107.49%
Buy
0.17
-
-
ADVB NASDAQ · Advanced Biomed Inc. Common Stock
29 May 20265.01
5.16
2.99%
Buy
1.68
-
-
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
15 May 20266.81
6.34
-6.90%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AEBI NASDAQ · Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock
26 Jun 202613.08
11.71
-10.47%
Buy
0.22
-
-
AES NYSE · The AES Corporation
14 Mar 202511.51
14.78
28.45%
Buy
0.19
-
-
AESI NYSE · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
2 Jan 20269.72
14.39
48.05%
Buy
0.12
-
-
AFCG NASDAQ · AFC Gamma Inc
27 Mar 20262.61
2.87
9.81%
Buy
0.81
-
-
AFYA NASDAQ · Afya Ltd
17 Oct 202514.28
14.38
0.69%
Buy
0.12
-
-
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
8 May 202654.23
114.85
111.78%
Buy
1.10
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3331-3360 of 10720
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
28 Nov 2025
Exit
PTCT NASDAQ · PTC Therapeutics Inc
85.99
Reversal Risk Warning
211.45%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 27.61
28 Nov 2025
Exit
RFL NYSE · Rafael Holdings, Inc.
1.18
20% entry drawdown
-20.76%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 1.49
28 Nov 2025
Exit
RIGL NASDAQ · Rigel Pharmaceuticals Inc
50.49
Reversal Risk Warning
316.93%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 12.11
28 Nov 2025
Exit
ROL NYSE · Rollins Inc
61.08
Reversal Risk Warning
54.13%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 39.63
28 Nov 2025
Exit
SONO NASDAQ · Sonos Inc
18.56
Reversal Risk Warning
72.97%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 10.73
28 Nov 2025
Exit
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
3.53
20% entry drawdown
-24.73%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 4.69
28 Nov 2025
Exit
TBPH NASDAQ · Theravance Biopharma Inc
20.30
Reversal Risk Warning
105.47%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 9.88
28 Nov 2025
Entry
TE NYSE · T1 Energy Inc.
4.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.12
28 Nov 2025
Exit
TLRY NASDAQ · Tilray Inc
8.13
20% entry drawdown
-21.07%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 10.30
28 Nov 2025
Exit
UGI NYSE · UGI Corporation
38.35
Reversal Risk Warning
80.56%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 21.24
28 Nov 2025
Entry
VEEA NASDAQ · Veea Inc.
0.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46
28 Nov 2025
Exit
VFF NASDAQ · Village Farms International Inc
3.96
Reversal Risk Warning
277.14%
Entry 16 May 2025 1.05
28 Nov 2025
Exit
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
31.96
Reversal Risk Warning
101.26%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 15.88
28 Nov 2025
Exit
W NYSE · Wayfair Inc
110.80
Reversal Risk Warning
168.67%
Entry 30 May 2025 41.24
28 Nov 2025
Entry
WEAV NYSE · Weave Communications Inc
6.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
28 Nov 2025
Exit
WGS NASDAQ · GeneDx Holdings Corp.
166.95
Reversal Risk Warning
480.09%
Entry 14 Jun 2024 28.78
28 Nov 2025
Entry
XPER NYSE · Xperi Corp
5.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33
28 Nov 2025
Exit
ZYME NASDAQ · Zymeworks Inc. Common Stock
26.71
Reversal Risk Warning
148.47%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 10.75
21 Nov 2025
Exit
ACET NASDAQ · Adicet Bio Inc
9.64
20% entry drawdown
-20.47%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 12.12
21 Nov 2025
Entry
ALMS NASDAQ · Alumis Inc
7.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.59
21 Nov 2025
Entry
ANVS NYSE · Annovis Bio Inc
3.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
21 Nov 2025
Exit
AQB NASDAQ · AquaBounty Technologies Inc
0.91
20% entry drawdown
-23.14%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 1.18
21 Nov 2025
Exit
ARQT NASDAQ · Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc
29.49
Reversal Risk Warning
456.42%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 5.30
21 Nov 2025
Exit
BRLS NASDAQ · Borealis Foods Inc.
1.80
20% entry drawdown
-45.12%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 3.28
21 Nov 2025
Entry
CNF NYSE · CNFinance Holdings Ltd
5.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
21 Nov 2025
Exit
CYCU NASDAQ · Cycurion, Inc.
4.37
20% entry drawdown
-29.59%
Entry 14 Nov 2025 6.21
21 Nov 2025
Entry
DMAA NASDAQ · Drugs Made In America Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
10.35
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
21 Nov 2025
Entry
EVC NYSE · Entravision Communications
2.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.22
21 Nov 2025
Exit
FNWD NASDAQ · Finward Bancorp
36.51
Reversal Risk Warning
71.05%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 21.34
21 Nov 2025
Exit
HIG NYSE · Hartford Financial Services Group
134.64
Reversal Risk Warning
81.03%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 74.37