Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1-30 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AAP NYSE · Advance Auto Parts Inc
30 May 202547.01
53.16
13.07%
Buy
0.27
-
-
ABAT NASDAQ · American Battery Technology Company Common Stock
18 Jul 20252.40
2.36
-1.67%
Buy
1.26
-
-
ABEO NASDAQ · Abeona Therapeutics Inc
16 Aug 20245.00
7.00
40.00%
Buy
0.07
-
-
ABG NYSE · Asbury Automotive Group Inc
19 Jun 2026197.05
220.36
11.83%
Buy
0.02
-
-
ABM NYSE · ABM Industries Incorporated
12 Jun 202645.63
47.58
4.27%
Buy
0.32
-
-
ABOS NASDAQ · Acumen Pharmaceuticals Inc
18 Jul 20251.50
2.25
50.00%
Buy
1.43
-
-
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
10 Jul 202693.27
100.68
7.94%
Buy
0.37
-
-
ABVC NASDAQ · ABVC Biopharma Inc
9 May 20251.21
1.25
3.31%
Buy
1.62
-
-
ACAD NASDAQ · ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc
12 Jul 202417.77
25.60
44.06%
Buy
0.30
-
-
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
23 Jan 20265.05
4.80
-4.95%
Buy
0.44
-
-
ACHC NASDAQ · Acadia Healthcare Company Inc
13 Feb 202616.77
34.50
105.72%
Buy
0.08
-
-
ACIU NASDAQ · AC Immune Ltd
20 Jun 20251.88
2.20
17.02%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ACOG NASDAQ · Alpha Cognition Inc
27 Feb 20266.00
8.50
41.67%
Buy
0.23
-
-
ACRE NYSE · Ares Commercial Real Estate
30 May 20254.07
4.62
13.60%
Buy
0.36
-
-
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
31 Oct 20252.52
5.68
125.40%
Buy
1.28
-
-
ACTG NASDAQ · Acacia Research Corporation
30 May 20253.73
4.54
21.72%
Buy
0.35
-
-
ACVA NYSE · ACV Auctions Inc.
15 May 20265.92
7.45
25.84%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
17 Jul 2026237.25
237.25
New Entry week
Buy
0.17
-
-
ADNT NYSE · Adient PLC
16 May 202515.82
19.79
25.09%
Buy
0.17
-
-
ADP NASDAQ · Automatic Data Processing Inc
22 May 2026223.63
255.27
14.15%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
20 Mar 202619.23
38.22
98.80%
Buy
0.17
-
-
ADVB NASDAQ · Advanced Biomed Inc. Common Stock
29 May 20265.01
5.03
0.40%
Buy
1.68
-
-
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
15 May 20266.81
5.70
-16.37%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AEBI NASDAQ · Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock
26 Jun 202613.08
12.76
-2.45%
Buy
0.22
-
-
AES NYSE · The AES Corporation
14 Mar 202511.51
14.77
28.37%
Buy
0.19
-
-
AESI NYSE · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
2 Jan 20269.72
14.07
44.75%
Buy
0.12
-
-
AFCG NASDAQ · AFC Gamma Inc
27 Mar 20262.61
2.81
7.51%
Buy
0.81
-
-
AFYA NASDAQ · Afya Ltd
17 Oct 202514.28
13.90
-2.67%
Buy
0.12
-
-
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
8 May 202654.23
129.84
139.42%
Buy
1.10
-
-
AGPU NASDAQ · Axe Compute Inc.
24 Apr 20266.64
6.87
3.46%
Buy
0.93
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3511-3540 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
7 Nov 2025
Exit
AIMD NASDAQ · Ainos Inc
2.67
20% entry drawdown
-32.75%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 3.97
7 Nov 2025
Entry
AKAM NASDAQ · Akamai Technologies Inc
83.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.40
7 Nov 2025
Entry
ALTO NASDAQ · Alto Ingredients Inc
1.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
7 Nov 2025
Exit
AMTD NYSE · AMTD IDEA Group
0.98
20% entry drawdown
-20.08%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 1.22
7 Nov 2025
Exit
AOSL NASDAQ · Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd
20.32
20% entry drawdown
-20.96%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 25.71
7 Nov 2025
Exit
APRE NASDAQ · Aprea Therapeutics Inc
1.23
20% entry drawdown
-24.77%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 1.64
7 Nov 2025
Exit
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
14.97
20% entry drawdown
-23.41%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 19.54
7 Nov 2025
Exit
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
3.86
20% entry drawdown
-54.59%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 8.50
7 Nov 2025
Exit
ATLX NASDAQ · Atlas Lithium Corporation Common Stock
4.50
20% entry drawdown
-28.57%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 6.30
7 Nov 2025
Exit
AXP NYSE · American Express Company
366.57
Reversal Risk Warning
118.33%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 167.89
7 Nov 2025
Exit
BHF NASDAQ · Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
66.01
Reversal Risk Warning
34.44%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 49.10
7 Nov 2025
Entry
BHFAP NASDAQ · Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
15.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
7 Nov 2025
Entry
BRKR NASDAQ · Bruker Corporation
39.83
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.75
7 Nov 2025
Entry
BW NYSE · Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc
5.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.74
7 Nov 2025
Entry
CBLL NASDAQ · CeriBell, Inc
11.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
7 Nov 2025
Entry
CHAR NASDAQ · Charlton Aria Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
10.39
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06
7 Nov 2025
Entry
CI NYSE · Cigna Corp
260.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02
7 Nov 2025
Exit
CIA NYSE · Citizens Inc
6.08
Reversal Risk Warning
114.84%
Entry 24 May 2024 2.83
7 Nov 2025
Entry
CNI NYSE · Canadian National Railway Company
93.31
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
7 Nov 2025
Exit
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
5.95
20% entry drawdown
-22.22%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 7.65
7 Nov 2025
Exit
COR NYSE · Cencora Inc.
358.67
Reversal Risk Warning
79.40%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 199.93
7 Nov 2025
Exit
COSM NASDAQ · Cosmos Health Inc.
0.69
20% entry drawdown
-26.24%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 0.94
7 Nov 2025
Exit
CRBP NASDAQ · Corbus Pharmaceuticals Holding
10.52
20% entry drawdown
-29.06%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 14.83
7 Nov 2025
Exit
DERM NASDAQ · Journey Medical Corp
9.11
Reversal Risk Warning
208.81%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 2.95
7 Nov 2025
Entry
DOCN NYSE · DigitalOcean Holdings Inc
49.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.88
7 Nov 2025
Exit
DXCM NASDAQ · DexCom Inc
55.00
20% entry drawdown
-21.82%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 70.35
7 Nov 2025
Exit
EOSE NASDAQ · Eos Energy Enterprises Inc
18.26
Reversal Risk Warning
299.56%
Entry 20 Dec 2024 4.57
7 Nov 2025
Exit
FOXF NASDAQ · Fox Factory Holding Corp
16.37
20% entry drawdown
-37.14%
Entry 16 May 2025 26.04
7 Nov 2025
Entry
FSLY NASDAQ · Fastly, Inc. Class A Common Stock
11.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.20
7 Nov 2025
Exit
GIFI NASDAQ · Gulf Island Fabrication Inc
11.78
Reversal Risk Warning
153.33%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 4.65