Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1-30 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
AAP NYSE · Advance Auto Parts Inc
30 May 202547.01
55.80
18.69%
Buy
0.27
-
-
ABAT NASDAQ · American Battery Technology Company Common Stock
18 Jul 20252.40
2.21
-7.92%
Buy
1.26
-
-
ABEO NASDAQ · Abeona Therapeutics Inc
16 Aug 20245.00
6.05
21.00%
Buy
0.07
-
-
ABG NYSE · Asbury Automotive Group Inc
19 Jun 2026197.05
225.24
14.31%
Buy
0.02
-
-
ABM NYSE · ABM Industries Incorporated
12 Jun 202645.63
47.72
4.58%
Buy
0.32
-
-
ABOS NASDAQ · Acumen Pharmaceuticals Inc
18 Jul 20251.50
2.13
42.00%
Buy
1.43
-
-
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
10 Jul 202693.27
103.06
10.49%
Buy
0.37
-
-
ABVC NASDAQ · ABVC Biopharma Inc
9 May 20251.21
1.15
-4.96%
Buy
1.62
-
-
ACAD NASDAQ · ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc
12 Jul 202417.77
24.84
39.79%
Buy
0.30
-
-
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
23 Jan 20265.05
4.26
-15.64%
Buy
0.44
-
-
ACHC NASDAQ · Acadia Healthcare Company Inc
13 Feb 202616.77
34.51
105.78%
Buy
0.08
-
-
ACIU NASDAQ · AC Immune Ltd
20 Jun 20251.88
2.23
18.62%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ACOG NASDAQ · Alpha Cognition Inc
27 Feb 20266.00
7.90
31.67%
Buy
0.23
-
-
ACRE NYSE · Ares Commercial Real Estate
30 May 20254.07
4.55
11.88%
Buy
0.36
-
-
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
31 Oct 20252.52
5.23
107.54%
Buy
1.28
-
-
ACTG NASDAQ · Acacia Research Corporation
30 May 20253.73
4.66
24.93%
Buy
0.35
-
-
ACVA NYSE · ACV Auctions Inc.
15 May 20265.92
7.73
30.57%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
17 Jul 2026237.25
225.11
-5.12%
Buy
0.17
-
-
ADNT NYSE · Adient PLC
16 May 202515.82
20.40
28.95%
Buy
0.17
-
-
ADP NASDAQ · Automatic Data Processing Inc
22 May 2026223.63
250.09
11.83%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
20 Mar 202619.23
36.44
89.54%
Buy
0.17
-
-
ADVB NASDAQ · Advanced Biomed Inc. Common Stock
29 May 20265.01
18.98
278.84%
Buy
1.68
-
-
ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd
15 May 20266.81
5.89
-13.58%
Buy
0.03
-
-
AEBI NASDAQ · Aebi Schmidt Holding AG - Common Stock
26 Jun 202613.08
13.09
0.08%
Buy
0.22
-
-
AES NYSE · The AES Corporation
14 Mar 202511.51
14.84
28.97%
Buy
0.19
-
-
AESI NYSE · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
2 Jan 20269.72
11.96
23.05%
Buy
0.12
-
-
AFCG NASDAQ · AFC Gamma Inc
27 Mar 20262.61
2.57
-1.67%
Buy
0.81
-
-
AFYA NASDAQ · Afya Ltd
17 Oct 202514.28
13.90
-2.67%
Buy
0.12
-
-
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
8 May 202654.23
98.00
80.71%
Buy
1.10
-
-
AGPU NASDAQ · Axe Compute Inc.
24 Apr 20266.64
6.85
3.16%
Buy
0.93
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 5101-5130 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
6 Jun 2025
Entry
ENTA NASDAQ · Enanta Pharmaceuticals Inc
7.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43
6 Jun 2025
Entry
ERO NYSE · Ero Copper Corp
15.79
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.30
6 Jun 2025
Entry
FIGS NYSE · Figs Inc
5.09
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
6 Jun 2025
Entry
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
10.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.01
6 Jun 2025
Exit
FTHY NYSE · First Trust High Yield Opportunities 2027 Term Fund
12.97
Reversal Risk Warning
27.56%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 10.16
6 Jun 2025
Entry
GEF NYSE · Greif Bros Corporation
63.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
6 Jun 2025
Entry
GERN NASDAQ · Geron Corporation
1.60
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
6 Jun 2025
Entry
GFS NASDAQ · Globalfoundries Inc
37.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
6 Jun 2025
Exit
GPCR NASDAQ · Structure Therapeutics Inc. American Depositary Shares
21.13
20% entry drawdown
-22.00%
Entry 2 May 2025 27.09
6 Jun 2025
Entry
GPMT NYSE · Granite Point Mortgage Trust Inc
2.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
6 Jun 2025
Entry
GROW NASDAQ · US Global Investors Inc
2.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
6 Jun 2025
Entry
GRWG NASDAQ · GrowGeneration Corp
1.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
6 Jun 2025
Exit
GWRE NYSE · Guidewire Software Inc
255.77
Reversal Risk Warning
151.77%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 101.59
6 Jun 2025
Entry
HGV NYSE · Hilton Grand Vacations Inc
40.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.09
6 Jun 2025
Entry
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
19.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
6 Jun 2025
Entry
IBRX NASDAQ · Immunitybio Inc
3.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.41
6 Jun 2025
Exit
IDT NYSE · IDT Corporation
68.21
Reversal Risk Warning
141.44%
Entry 13 Oct 2023 28.25
6 Jun 2025
Entry
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
2.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.42
6 Jun 2025
Entry
INVZ NASDAQ · Innoviz Technologies
0.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
6 Jun 2025
Exit
JFIN NASDAQ · Jiayin Group Inc
17.38
Reversal Risk Warning
272.33%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 4.67
6 Jun 2025
Entry
KRNT NASDAQ · Kornit Digital Ltd
22.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18
6 Jun 2025
Entry
KSS NYSE · Kohl's Corporation
8.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.48
6 Jun 2025
Entry
KZIA NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
5.65
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.49
6 Jun 2025
Entry
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.45
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.24
6 Jun 2025
Entry
LFUS NASDAQ · Littelfuse Inc
215.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.25
6 Jun 2025
Entry
LOB NYSE · Live Oak Bancshares, Inc.
28.12
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
6 Jun 2025
Exit
LPCN NASDAQ · Lipocine Inc
3.17
20% entry drawdown
-20.55%
Entry 16 May 2025 3.99
6 Jun 2025
Entry
LSPD NYSE · Lightspeed Commerce Inc
11.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.16
6 Jun 2025
Exit
MATH NASDAQ · Metalpha Technology Holding Limited
3.74
Reversal Risk Warning
125.30%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 1.66
6 Jun 2025
Entry
MATV NYSE · Mativ Holdings Inc.
5.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.67