Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1122
Transactions
10714 Avg 3054.8/yr · 254.6/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4796 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.3%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
28
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
11
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 271-300 of 1122 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
DBRG NYSE · Digitalbridge Group Inc
23 May 202511.15
15.77
41.50%
Buy
0.48
-
-
DBX NASDAQ · Dropbox Inc
8 May 202628.90
29.19
1.00%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DCBO NASDAQ · Docebo Inc
1 May 202620.67
18.81
-9.02%
Buy
0.33
-
-
DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation
23 May 20254.28
5.13
19.86%
Buy
0.05
-
-
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
22 Aug 20252.10
3.07
46.19%
Buy
0.55
-
-
DEA NYSE · Eerly Govt Ppty Inc
27 Jun 202520.55
24.87
21.01%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DECK NYSE · Deckers Outdoor Corporation
17 Oct 202599.82
105.99
6.18%
Buy
0.27
-
-
DEFT NASDAQ · DeFi Technologies Inc.
3 Jul 20260.53
0.50
-5.77%
Buy
0.47
-
-
DEI NYSE · Douglas Emmett Inc
24 Apr 202610.70
12.01
12.24%
Buy
0.39
-
-
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
13 Jun 20254.13
6.25
51.33%
Buy
0.11
-
-
DFH NYSE · Dream Finders Homes Inc
26 Jun 202617.20
15.83
-7.97%
Buy
0.78
-
-
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
6 Mar 20262.33
2.04
-12.45%
Buy
0.09
-
-
DHR NYSE · Danaher Corporation
26 Jun 2026196.19
199.05
1.46%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DIN NYSE · Dine Brands Global Inc
30 May 202522.82
35.71
56.49%
Buy
0.10
-
-
DKNG NASDAQ · DraftKings Inc
15 May 202625.00
26.48
5.90%
Buy
0.25
-
-
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
23 May 20255.04
5.03
-0.20%
Buy
0.06
-
-
DLO NASDAQ · Dlocal Ltd
30 Aug 20248.38
15.19
81.36%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
20 Jun 20252.02
4.03
99.50%
Buy
0.39
-
-
DLTR NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
6 Dec 202471.87
124.91
73.80%
Buy
0.30
-
-
DMAA NASDAQ · Drugs Made In America Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
21 Nov 202510.35
10.66
2.99%
Buy
0.21
-
-
DMLP NASDAQ · Dorchester Minerals LP
16 Jan 202622.11
26.52
19.96%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DNLI NASDAQ · Denali Therapeutics Inc
13 Jun 202514.55
25.68
76.49%
Buy
0.20
-
-
DNMX NASDAQ · Dynamix Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares
3 Jul 202610.01
10.02
0.10%
Buy
1.47
-
-
DNUT NASDAQ · Krispy Kreme Inc
11 Jul 20253.33
3.44
3.30%
Buy
0.12
-
-
DOCU NASDAQ · DocuSign Inc
8 May 202647.90
49.18
2.67%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
16 Jan 202626.98
29.03
7.60%
Buy
1.59
-
-
DRVN NASDAQ · Driven Brands Holdings Inc
22 May 202613.77
15.50
12.56%
Buy
0.06
-
-
DSGR NASDAQ · Distribution Solutions Group Inc
12 Jun 202627.72
27.40
-1.15%
Buy
0.15
-
-
DSGX NASDAQ · Descartes Systems Group Inc
1 May 202673.13
72.07
-1.45%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DSX NYSE · Diana Shipping Inc.
13 Jun 20251.64
2.14
30.70%
Buy
0.24
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 301-330 of 10714
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RVMD NASDAQ · Revolution Medicines Inc
182.08
Reversal Risk Warning
350.47%
Entry 9 May 2025 40.42
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
24.75
Reversal Risk Warning
83.49%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 13.49
26 Jun 2026
Entry
SDGR NASDAQ · Schrodinger Inc
16.86
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.10
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SEAT NASDAQ · Vivid Seats Inc
6.36
20% entry drawdown
-20.90%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 8.04
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SEGG NASDAQ · Lottery.com Inc.
0.91
20% entry drawdown
-25.37%
Entry 1 May 2026 1.22
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SENS NASDAQ · Senseonics Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
5.72
20% entry drawdown
-20.33%
Entry 12 Jun 2026 7.18
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SIDU NASDAQ · Sidus Space Inc
2.61
20% entry drawdown
-34.91%
Entry 15 May 2026 4.01
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SJT NYSE · San Juan Basin Royalty Trust
2.97
20% entry drawdown
-21.84%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 3.80
26 Jun 2026
Entry
SLGN NYSE · Silgan Holdings Inc
46.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.38
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
3.91
20% entry drawdown
-23.63%
Entry 12 Jun 2026 5.12
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SLS NASDAQ · Sellas Life Sciences Group Inc
12.39
Reversal Risk Warning
845.80%
Entry 18 Apr 2025 1.31
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SLSN NASDAQ · Solesence, Inc. Common Stock
0.83
20% entry drawdown
-34.00%
Entry 17 Apr 2026 1.25
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SMBC NASDAQ · Southern Missouri Bancorp Inc
76.75
Reversal Risk Warning
88.58%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 40.70
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SOC NYSE · Sable Offshore Corp.
7.36
20% entry drawdown
-25.05%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 9.82
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SPB NYSE · Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc
87.49
Reversal Risk Warning
49.38%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 58.57
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SPHR NYSE · Sphere Entertainment Co.
169.85
Reversal Risk Warning
299.93%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 42.47
26 Jun 2026
Entry
SPPL NASDAQ · SIMPPLE LTD. Ordinary Shares
3.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.23
26 Jun 2026
Entry
SRAD NASDAQ · Sportradar Group AG
14.85
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.23
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SRRK NASDAQ · Scholar Rock Holding Corp
54.76
Reversal Risk Warning
106.56%
Entry 11 Oct 2024 26.51
26 Jun 2026
Entry
SVC NASDAQ · Service Properties Trust
8.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.08
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SXI NYSE · Standex International Corporation
340.50
Reversal Risk Warning
111.82%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 160.75
26 Jun 2026
Exit
THG NYSE · The Hanover Insurance Group Inc
212.61
Reversal Risk Warning
97.36%
Entry 13 Oct 2023 107.73
26 Jun 2026
Entry
TLSI NASDAQ · TriSalus Life Sciences Inc.
4.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
26 Jun 2026
Exit
TONX NASDAQ · TON Strategy Co
2.56
20% entry drawdown
-29.67%
Entry 8 May 2026 3.64
26 Jun 2026
Exit
TRV NYSE · The Travelers Companies Inc
327.37
Reversal Risk Warning
93.37%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 169.30
26 Jun 2026
Exit
TVTX NASDAQ · Travere Therapeutics Inc
58.85
Reversal Risk Warning
336.57%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 13.48
26 Jun 2026
Exit
TWIN NASDAQ · Twin Disc Incorporated
24.19
Reversal Risk Warning
197.08%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 8.14
26 Jun 2026
Exit
TWST NASDAQ · Twist Bioscience Corp
99.84
Reversal Risk Warning
270.05%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 26.98
26 Jun 2026
Exit
UAL NASDAQ · United Airlines Holdings Inc
136.11
Reversal Risk Warning
219.88%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 42.55
26 Jun 2026
Exit
UFCS NASDAQ · United Fire Group Inc
52.55
Reversal Risk Warning
145.56%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 21.40