Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
478.70
Total Return
378.70%
CAGR
55.90%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.12%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.64
Sortino 5.14
Current Holdings
1077
Transactions
10779
Avg 3056.6/yr ·
254.7/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4851
Stop 41.6% ·
Warning 57.9%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ADBE
NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25
MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL
NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB
NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV
NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33
MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN
NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO
NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS
NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT
NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI
NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86
MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
IQ
NASDAQ · iQIYI Inc
1.19
MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW
NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAT
NASDAQ · Mattel Inc
14.30
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS
NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT
NYSE · Onterris
20.93
MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX
NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69
MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD
NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06
MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL
NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10
MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK
NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06
MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY
NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05
MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACB
NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63
20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU
NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52
20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01
20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX
NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT
NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05
20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE
NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM
NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03
20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI
NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62
20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT
NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40
20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX
NYSE · Edison International
77.63
Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO
NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68
20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO
NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96
20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK
NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77
20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05
20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
GRDX
NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82
20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
HUBG
NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22
Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV
NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37
20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35
20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS
NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01
Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA
NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22
20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX
NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25
20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI
NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12
20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI
NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF
NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG
NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17
20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB
NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63
20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC
NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52
20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN
NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73
20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT
NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89
20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX
NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95
20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS
NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28
20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA
NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73
20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU
NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38
20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING
NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33
20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW
NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57
20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR
NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06
20% entry drawdown · -45.47%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
DFIN
NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
17 Jul 202649.95
49.95
New
Entry week
Buy
0.06
-
-
DFSC
NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
6 Mar 20262.33
1.87
-19.74%
Buy
0.09
-
-
DHR
NYSE · Danaher Corporation
26 Jun 2026196.19
203.83
3.89%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DIN
NYSE · Dine Brands Global Inc
30 May 202522.82
35.91
57.37%
Buy
0.10
-
-
DKNG
NASDAQ · DraftKings Inc
15 May 202625.00
24.94
-0.24%
Buy
0.25
-
-
DLHC
NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
23 May 20255.04
5.50
9.13%
Buy
0.06
-
-
DLO
NASDAQ · Dlocal Ltd
30 Aug 20248.38
14.48
72.88%
Buy
0.16
-
-
DLTH
NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
20 Jun 20252.02
4.27
111.39%
Buy
0.39
-
-
DLTR
NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
6 Dec 202471.87
125.94
75.23%
Buy
0.30
-
-
DMAA
NASDAQ · Drugs Made In America Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Shares
21 Nov 202510.35
10.67
3.09%
Buy
0.21
-
-
DMLP
NASDAQ · Dorchester Minerals LP
16 Jan 202622.11
27.25
23.27%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DNLI
NASDAQ · Denali Therapeutics Inc
13 Jun 202514.55
23.29
60.07%
Buy
0.20
-
-
DNMX
NASDAQ · Dynamix Corporation III Class A Ordinary Shares
3 Jul 202610.01
10.01
0.00%
Buy
1.45
-
-
DNUT
NASDAQ · Krispy Kreme Inc
11 Jul 20253.33
3.30
-0.90%
Buy
0.12
-
-
DOCU
NASDAQ · DocuSign Inc
8 May 202647.90
52.74
10.10%
Buy
0.02
-
-
DOW
NYSE · Dow Inc
16 Jan 202626.98
29.92
10.90%
Buy
1.59
-
-
DRVN
NASDAQ · Driven Brands Holdings Inc
22 May 202613.77
15.22
10.53%
Buy
0.06
-
-
DSGR
NASDAQ · Distribution Solutions Group Inc
12 Jun 202627.72
34.50
24.46%
Buy
0.15
-
-
DSGX
NASDAQ · Descartes Systems Group Inc
1 May 202673.13
74.16
1.41%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DSX
NYSE · Diana Shipping Inc.
13 Jun 20251.64
2.05
25.20%
Buy
0.24
-
-
DT
NYSE · Dynatrace Holdings LLC
1 May 202637.61
44.41
18.08%
Buy
0.07
-
-
DTIL
NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
20 Mar 20266.52
7.87
20.71%
Buy
0.48
-
-
DUOL
NASDAQ · Duolingo Inc
19 Jun 2026125.56
133.85
6.60%
Buy
1.06
-
-
DV
NYSE · DoubleVerify Holdings Inc
1 May 202611.31
11.42
0.97%
Buy
0.91
-
-
DXCM
NASDAQ · DexCom Inc
26 Dec 202567.57
76.65
13.44%
Buy
0.03
-
-
DXLG
NASDAQ · Destination XL Group Inc
1 May 20260.62
0.64
2.53%
Buy
0.22
-
-
DYAI
NASDAQ · Dyadic International Inc
3 Jul 20260.94
1.26
33.97%
Buy
0.23
-
-
DYN
NASDAQ · Dyne Therapeutics Inc
25 Jul 20259.95
23.74
138.59%
Buy
0.54
-
-
ECOR
NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
20 Feb 20266.25
5.88
-5.92%
Buy
0.89
-
-
EDIT
NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
20 Mar 20262.34
2.98
27.35%
Buy
0.27
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
20 Jun 2025
Entry
WEX
NYSE · Wex Inc
140.67
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
20 Jun 2025
Entry
WHD
NYSE · Cactus Inc
44.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.26
20 Jun 2025
Entry
XAIR
NASDAQ · Beyond Air Inc
92.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.32
20 Jun 2025
Entry
XLO
NASDAQ · Xilio Development Inc
9.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
20 Jun 2025
Entry
XPRO
NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
9.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.09
20 Jun 2025
Entry
ZETA
NYSE · Zeta Global Holdings Corp
14.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.11
13 Jun 2025
Entry
A
NYSE · Agilent Technologies Inc
116.15
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.04
13 Jun 2025
Entry
ADM
NYSE · Archer-Daniels-Midland Company
50.40
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.15
13 Jun 2025
Exit
AGEN
NASDAQ · Agenus Inc
4.70
20% entry drawdown
-21.01%
Entry 6 Jun 2025
5.95
13 Jun 2025
Entry
AMPY
NYSE · Amplify Energy Corp
3.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.03
13 Jun 2025
Exit
ANSC
NASDAQ · Agriculture & Natural Solutions Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Shares
10.80
Reversal Risk Warning
1.65%
Entry 14 Mar 2025
10.62
13 Jun 2025
Entry
APA
NASDAQ · APA Corporation
20.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.08
13 Jun 2025
Entry
APYX
NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc
1.75
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.86
13 Jun 2025
Entry
AREC
NASDAQ · American Resources Corp Class A
0.87
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.28
13 Jun 2025
Entry
AUB
NYSE · Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp
29.51
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
13 Jun 2025
Entry
AURA
NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
6.42
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.05
13 Jun 2025
Exit
BGDE
NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
8.83
20% entry drawdown
-26.32%
Entry 9 May 2025
11.98
13 Jun 2025
Entry
BKSY
NYSE · Blacksky Technology Inc
10.89
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.12
13 Jun 2025
Entry
BLDP
NASDAQ · Ballard Power Systems Inc
1.64
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.21
13 Jun 2025
Exit
BTCS
NASDAQ · BTCS Inc
2.15
20% entry drawdown
-24.13%
Entry 23 May 2025
2.83
13 Jun 2025
Entry
CAT
NYSE · Caterpillar Inc
353.21
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.55
13 Jun 2025
Entry
CATO
NYSE · Cato Corporation
3.01
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.32
13 Jun 2025
Exit
CHT
NYSE · Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd
44.02
Reversal Risk Warning
26.31%
Entry 24 Nov 2023
34.85
13 Jun 2025
Entry
CLNN
NASDAQ · Clene Inc.
4.10
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.17
13 Jun 2025
Entry
COOK
NYSE · Traeger Inc
90.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.04
13 Jun 2025
Entry
CRL
NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
149.45
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.10
13 Jun 2025
Exit
CRMD
NASDAQ · CorMedix Inc
14.56
Reversal Risk Warning
308.99%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
3.56
13 Jun 2025
Entry
CVE
NYSE · Cenovus Energy Inc
14.41
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.96
13 Jun 2025
Exit
DBI
NYSE · Designer Brands Inc
2.15
20% entry drawdown
-41.88%
Entry 6 Jun 2025
3.70
13 Jun 2025
Entry
DENN
NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
4.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.11