Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 301-330 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
EDU NYSE · New Oriental Education & Technology
16 May 202547.52
49.15
3.43%
Buy
0.21
-
-
EEFT NASDAQ · Euronet Worldwide Inc
20 Feb 202672.50
81.34
12.19%
Buy
0.39
-
-
EEX NYSE · Emerald Expositions Events Inc
9 Jan 20264.73
5.04
6.54%
Buy
0.17
-
-
EGHT NASDAQ · 8x8 Inc Common Stock
27 Jun 20251.86
1.88
1.08%
Buy
0.09
-
-
EIC NYSE · Eagle Point Income Company Inc
1 May 20269.80
9.89
0.92%
Buy
0.09
-
-
EL NYSE · Estee Lauder Companies Inc
30 May 202565.96
82.13
24.51%
Buy
0.12
-
-
ELDN NASDAQ · Eledon Pharmaceuticals Inc
20 Feb 20262.19
4.07
85.84%
Buy
0.16
-
-
ELF NYSE · ELF Beauty Inc
26 Jun 202667.43
73.69
9.28%
Buy
0.13
-
-
ELS NYSE · Equity Lifestyle Properties Inc
19 Sep 202559.02
65.75
11.40%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ELUT NASDAQ · Elutia Inc.
9 Jan 20260.72
0.95
31.40%
Buy
0.29
-
-
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
3 Oct 2025345.12
373.11
8.11%
Buy
0.10
-
-
EMIS NASDAQ · Emisphere Technologies Inc
29 May 202610.13
10.18
0.49%
Buy
0.80
-
-
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
14 Nov 202558.11
68.60
18.06%
Buy
0.09
-
-
ENGS NASDAQ · Energys Group Limited Ordinary Shares
26 Jun 20262.55
2.57
0.78%
Buy
2.08
-
-
ENOV NYSE · Enovis Corp
24 Apr 202624.10
27.07
12.32%
Buy
0.36
-
-
ENR NYSE · Energizer Holdings Inc
12 Jun 202620.25
20.23
-0.10%
Buy
0.26
-
-
ENTA NASDAQ · Enanta Pharmaceuticals Inc
6 Jun 20257.47
13.74
83.94%
Buy
0.43
-
-
EOLS NASDAQ · Evolus Inc
24 Apr 20265.30
5.73
8.11%
Buy
0.10
-
-
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
16 Jan 202618.41
29.66
61.10%
Buy
0.23
-
-
EPSN NASDAQ · Epsilon Energy Ltd
30 Jan 20264.88
5.52
13.18%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ERIE NASDAQ · Erie Indemnity Company
3 Jul 2026257.78
227.31
-11.82%
Buy
0.77
-
-
ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
3 Jul 20265.64
5.45
-3.37%
Buy
0.68
-
-
ESRT NYSE · Empire State Realty Trust Inc
22 May 20265.54
5.77
4.09%
Buy
0.26
-
-
ESTC NYSE · Elastic NV
22 May 202654.81
61.59
12.37%
Buy
0.08
-
-
ETD NYSE · Ethan Allen Interiors Inc
19 Jun 202621.17
22.78
7.61%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ETSY NYSE · Etsy, Inc.
30 May 202555.35
84.10
51.94%
Buy
0.17
-
-
EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
12 Jun 20264.80
5.81
21.04%
Buy
1.29
-
-
EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc
3 Jul 202629.63
30.27
2.16%
Buy
0.27
-
-
EXFY NASDAQ · Expensify Inc
19 Jun 20261.56
1.83
17.31%
Buy
1.20
-
-
EXLS NASDAQ · ExlService Holdings Inc
22 May 202629.51
28.16
-4.57%
Buy
0.35
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3691-3720 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
24 Oct 2025
Exit
TEL NYSE · TE Connectivity Ltd
233.28
Reversal Risk Warning
82.85%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 127.58
24 Oct 2025
Exit
TLS NASDAQ · Telos Corp
7.41
Reversal Risk Warning
169.45%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 2.75
24 Oct 2025
Exit
TNYA NASDAQ · Tenaya Therapeutics Inc
1.66
20% entry drawdown
-20.95%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 2.10
24 Oct 2025
Entry
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.13
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
24 Oct 2025
Exit
VERI NASDAQ · Veritone Inc
7.18
Reversal Risk Warning
205.53%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 2.35
24 Oct 2025
Entry
VICR NASDAQ · Vicor Corporation
90.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.04
24 Oct 2025
Entry
VIR NASDAQ · Vir Biotechnology Inc
5.98
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.41
24 Oct 2025
Exit
YQ NASDAQ · 17 Education Technology Group Inc
6.20
Reversal Risk Warning
262.57%
Entry 18 Apr 2025 1.71
17 Oct 2025
Exit
ABVE NASDAQ · Above Food Ingredients Inc. Common Stock
5.28
Reversal Risk Warning
803.95%
Entry 28 Mar 2025 0.58
17 Oct 2025
Entry
AFYA NASDAQ · Afya Ltd
14.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
17 Oct 2025
Entry
AIMD NASDAQ · Ainos Inc
3.97
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.10
17 Oct 2025
Exit
AQST NASDAQ · Aquestive Therapeutics Inc
7.08
Reversal Risk Warning
196.23%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 2.39
17 Oct 2025
Entry
ASX NYSE · ASE Industrial Holding Co Ltd ADR
12.72
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.81
17 Oct 2025
Exit
ATAI NASDAQ · ATAI Life Sciences BV
6.45
Reversal Risk Warning
179.22%
Entry 30 May 2025 2.31
17 Oct 2025
Exit
AVAH NASDAQ · Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc
9.86
Reversal Risk Warning
346.15%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 2.21
17 Oct 2025
Exit
AYI NYSE · Acuity Brands Inc
356.13
Reversal Risk Warning
76.27%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 202.04
17 Oct 2025
Entry
BGS NYSE · B&G Foods Inc
4.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55
17 Oct 2025
Entry
BRLS NASDAQ · Borealis Foods Inc.
3.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.44
17 Oct 2025
Entry
CAPN NASDAQ · Cayson Acquisition Corp Ordinary shares
10.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.74
17 Oct 2025
Entry
CIIT NASDAQ · Tianci International, Inc. Common Stock
6.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
17 Oct 2025
Entry
COOT NASDAQ · Australian Oilseeds Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
2.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.93
17 Oct 2025
Exit
CRML NASDAQ · Critical Metals Corp. Ordinary Shares
20.86
Reversal Risk Warning
499.43%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 3.48
17 Oct 2025
Entry
CVRX NASDAQ · CVRx Inc
9.95
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.29
17 Oct 2025
Entry
DECK NYSE · Deckers Outdoor Corporation
99.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
17 Oct 2025
Exit
DMRA NASDAQ · Damora Therapeutics, Inc.
9.58
20% entry drawdown
-24.33%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 12.66
17 Oct 2025
Exit
DUK NYSE · Duke Energy Corporation
124.92
Reversal Risk Warning
52.32%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 82.01
17 Oct 2025
Entry
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
9.84
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.95
17 Oct 2025
Entry
FGMC NASDAQ · FG Merger II Corp. Common stock
10.04
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
17 Oct 2025
Entry
FORM NASDAQ · FormFactor Inc
42.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.02
17 Oct 2025
Exit
IDCC NASDAQ · InterDigital Inc
365.29
Reversal Risk Warning
172.79%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 133.91