Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
479.75
Total Return
379.75%
CAGR
56.00% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.22%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.65 Sortino 5.16
Current Holdings
1081
Transactions
10781 Avg 3057.2/yr · 254.8/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4850 Stop 41.5% · Warning 58.0% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
18
ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated
237.25 MD 0.17 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BL NASDAQ · Blackline Inc
30.29 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BLKB NASDAQ · Blackbaud Inc
32.40 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CDNL NASDAQ · Cardinal Infrastructure Group Inc. Class A Common Stock
71.23 MD 1.59 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
2.33 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
DFIN NYSE · Donnelley Financial Solutions Inc
49.95 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
62.88 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
41.91 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HCKT NASDAQ · The Hackett Group Inc
10.34 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ICFI NASDAQ · ICF International Inc
78.86 MD 0.80 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAW NYSE · CS Disco LLC
4.05 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NRDS NASDAQ · Nerdwallet Inc
9.26 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ONT NYSE · Onterris
20.93 MD 0.36 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
6.69 MD 0.86 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PODD NASDAQ · Insulet Corporation
164.06 MD 0.42 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
5.10 MD 0.39 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
UPWK NASDAQ · Upwork Inc
9.06 MD 0.10 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XRAY NASDAQ · Dentsply Sirona Inc
14.05 MD 0.72 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
35
ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc
2.63 20% entry drawdown · -20.78%
AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.
34.52 20% entry drawdown · -25.28%
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
11.01 20% entry drawdown · -20.68%
ALDX NASDAQ · Aldeyra The
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -25.55%
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
6.05 20% entry drawdown · -26.49%
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -26.97%
BEEM NASDAQ · Beam Global
1.03 20% entry drawdown · -24.82%
BNAI NASDAQ · Brand Engagement Network Inc
11.62 20% entry drawdown · -29.49%
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.40 20% entry drawdown · -29.65%
EIX NYSE · Edison International
77.63 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.97%
EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
1.68 20% entry drawdown · -20.94%
EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
1.96 20% entry drawdown · -27.94%
GENK NASDAQ · GEN Restaurant Group, Inc. Class A Common Stock
1.77 20% entry drawdown · -24.36%
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.05 20% entry drawdown · -28.08%
HUBG NASDAQ · Hub Group Inc
51.22 Reversal Risk Warning · 45.11%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -27.37%
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
9.35 20% entry drawdown · -20.29%
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
3.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 67.22%
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
7.22 20% entry drawdown · -27.22%
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
4.25 20% entry drawdown · -21.59%
OABI NASDAQ · OmniAb Inc.
2.12 20% entry drawdown · -20.00%
OCCI NASDAQ · OFS Credit Company Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -23.83%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 219.84%
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.17 20% entry drawdown · -20.80%
PMCB NASDAQ · PharmaCyte Biotech Inc
0.63 20% entry drawdown · -21.31%
PMEC NASDAQ · Primech Holdings Ltd. Ordinary Shares
0.52 20% entry drawdown · -28.59%
QFIN NASDAQ · 360 Finance Inc
12.73 20% entry drawdown · -20.83%
RPT NYSE · Rithm Property Trust Inc.
10.89 20% entry drawdown · -27.03%
RXRX NASDAQ · Recursion Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.95 20% entry drawdown · -22.50%
SNPS NASDAQ · Synopsys Inc
384.28 20% entry drawdown · -25.60%
SORA NASDAQ · Top Win International Limited
1.73 20% entry drawdown · -23.18%
VERU NASDAQ · Veru Inc
2.38 20% entry drawdown · -30.00%
WING NASDAQ · Wingstop Inc
142.33 20% entry drawdown · -20.03%
WW NASDAQ · WW International, Inc. Common Stock
14.57 20% entry drawdown · -21.46%
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
5.06 20% entry drawdown · -45.47%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 331-360 of 1081 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
EXPO NASDAQ · Exponent Inc
17 Jul 202662.88
62.88
New Entry week
Buy
0.09
-
-
EYPT NASDAQ · Eyepoint Pharmaceuticals Inc
30 May 20257.24
13.30
83.70%
Buy
0.74
-
-
FACT NASDAQ · FACT II Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
1 Aug 202510.29
10.63
3.30%
Buy
1.02
-
-
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
22 May 20262.25
2.78
23.56%
Buy
1.61
-
-
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
27 Mar 20262.33
4.54
94.85%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FBIN NYSE · Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.
26 Jun 202645.96
51.45
11.95%
Buy
0.28
-
-
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
26 Jun 20262.76
3.36
21.74%
Buy
0.22
-
-
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
3 Apr 202623.32
20.28
-13.04%
Buy
0.00
-
-
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
1 May 202613.31
18.50
38.96%
Buy
0.44
-
-
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
10 Apr 20269.81
10.99
12.03%
Buy
0.25
-
-
FDS NYSE · FactSet Research Systems Inc
24 Apr 2026223.07
258.09
15.70%
Buy
0.10
-
-
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
13 Feb 20263.70
4.80
29.70%
Buy
0.21
-
-
FG NYSE · F&G Annuities & Life Inc.
1 May 202627.86
32.10
15.21%
Buy
0.21
-
-
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
16 Jan 20268.02
9.98
24.40%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FGMC NASDAQ · FG Merger II Corp. Common stock
17 Oct 202510.04
8.30
-17.33%
Buy
0.28
-
-
FICO NYSE · Fair Isaac Corporation
29 May 20261250.59
1257.11
0.52%
Buy
0.03
-
-
FIG NYSE · Figma, Inc.
8 May 202620.66
23.95
15.92%
Buy
1.41
-
-
FIGX NASDAQ · FIGX Capital Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
10 Apr 202610.18
10.25
0.69%
Buy
1.00
-
-
FINV NYSE · FinVolution Group
13 Feb 20265.21
4.76
-8.61%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FIP NASDAQ · FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
19 Dec 20254.64
4.16
-10.36%
Buy
0.05
-
-
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
17 Jul 202641.91
41.91
New Entry week
Buy
0.19
-
-
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
3 Jul 20265.61
5.42
-3.39%
Buy
0.63
-
-
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
1 May 202622.24
25.58
15.02%
Buy
0.12
-
-
FIZZ NASDAQ · National Beverage Corp
30 Jan 202634.08
31.07
-8.83%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
7 Feb 202512.25
14.90
21.62%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FLGT NASDAQ · Fulgent Genetics Inc
14 Mar 202517.24
20.16
16.94%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLL NASDAQ · Full House Resorts Inc
3 Apr 20262.55
2.40
-5.88%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FLO NYSE · Flowers Foods Inc
12 Jun 20267.79
8.49
8.99%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLOC NYSE · Flowco Holdings Inc.
5 Dec 202517.88
20.24
13.23%
Buy
1.65
-
-
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
6 Jun 202510.50
18.13
72.67%
Buy
0.01
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3721-3750 of 10781
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
17 Oct 2025
Exit
IREN NASDAQ · IREN Ltd
60.72
Reversal Risk Warning
333.71%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 14.00
17 Oct 2025
Exit
IRON NASDAQ · Disc Medicine Inc.
89.94
Reversal Risk Warning
92.92%
Entry 5 Jul 2024 46.62
17 Oct 2025
Exit
IZEA NASDAQ · IZEA Inc
5.60
Reversal Risk Warning
97.18%
Entry 23 May 2025 2.84
17 Oct 2025
Entry
LBRT NYSE · Liberty Energy Inc.
15.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.54
17 Oct 2025
Exit
LCUT NASDAQ · Lifetime Brands Inc
3.32
20% entry drawdown
-20.05%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 4.15
17 Oct 2025
Entry
MLAB NASDAQ · Mesa Laboratories Inc
72.69
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
17 Oct 2025
Exit
MVST NASDAQ · Microvast Holdings Inc
5.83
Reversal Risk Warning
711.53%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 0.72
17 Oct 2025
Exit
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
5.77
Reversal Risk Warning
135.51%
Entry 6 Jun 2025 2.45
17 Oct 2025
Exit
NRDY NYSE · Nerdy Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown
-20.71%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 1.40
17 Oct 2025
Entry
NTZ NYSE · Natuzzi SpA
3.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.37
17 Oct 2025
Entry
OBIO NASDAQ · Orchestra BioMed Holdings Inc.
3.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.99
17 Oct 2025
Exit
OKLO NYSE · Oklo Inc.
163.39
Reversal Risk Warning
209.92%
Entry 30 May 2025 52.72
17 Oct 2025
Exit
ONMD NASDAQ · OneMedNet Corp.
2.28
20% entry drawdown
-27.39%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 3.14
17 Oct 2025
Exit
OTEX NASDAQ · Open Text Corp
37.85
Reversal Risk Warning
46.36%
Entry 9 May 2025 25.86
17 Oct 2025
Exit
PTLE NASDAQ · PTL LTD Ordinary Shares
12.70
20% entry drawdown
-21.20%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 16.11
17 Oct 2025
Exit
QBTS NYSE · D-Wave Quantum Inc.
38.33
Reversal Risk Warning
212.90%
Entry 16 May 2025 12.25
17 Oct 2025
Exit
QETA NASDAQ · Quetta Acquisition Corporation Common Stock
11.39
Reversal Risk Warning
8.68%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 10.48
17 Oct 2025
Exit
RCEL NASDAQ · Avita Medical Ltd
3.99
20% entry drawdown
-27.06%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 5.47
17 Oct 2025
Entry
RDZN NASDAQ · Roadzen Inc.
1.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
17 Oct 2025
Entry
RMTI NASDAQ · Rockwell Medical Inc
11.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.57
17 Oct 2025
Exit
RYTM NASDAQ · Rhythm Pharmaceuticals Inc
110.28
Reversal Risk Warning
351.23%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 24.44
17 Oct 2025
Entry
SEM NYSE · Select Medical Holdings
13.22
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
17 Oct 2025
Exit
SIG NYSE · Signet Jewelers Ltd
102.15
Reversal Risk Warning
75.49%
Entry 25 Apr 2025 58.21
17 Oct 2025
Entry
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
6.50
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.10
17 Oct 2025
Entry
SLNG NASDAQ · Stabilis Solutions Inc
4.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
17 Oct 2025
Exit
SPAI NASDAQ · Safe Pro Group Inc.
8.95
Reversal Risk Warning
235.21%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 2.67
17 Oct 2025
Entry
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
21.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 2.17
17 Oct 2025
Exit
STTK NASDAQ · Shattuck Labs Inc
1.81
20% entry drawdown
-20.61%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 2.28
17 Oct 2025
Entry
SYRE NASDAQ · Spyre Therapeutics Inc.
22.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.18
17 Oct 2025
Exit
TVRD NASDAQ · Tvardi Therapeutics, Inc.
41.60
Price scale break
55.63%
Entry 2 May 2025 26.73