View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 24 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60 Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830 Avg 3054.5/yr · 254.5/mo · 58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880 Stop 41.8% · Warning 57.6% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

24 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
22
ALC NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14 MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77 MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55 MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51 MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65 MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11 MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58 MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77 MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25 MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37 MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73 MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04 MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13 MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
29
AMST NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99 20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40 20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51 20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11 20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19 Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26 20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50 Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51 20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58 20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89 20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51 20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71 20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06 20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33 20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98 20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47 20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41 20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60 20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38 20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31 20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54 20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93 20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69 Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70 20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23 20% entry drawdown · -21.15%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 331-360 of 1070 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
22 May 20262.25
2.41
7.11%
Buy
1.61
-
-
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
27 Mar 20262.33
4.51
93.56%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FBIN NYSE · Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.
26 Jun 202645.96
51.27
11.55%
Buy
0.28
-
-
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
26 Jun 20262.76
3.34
21.01%
Buy
0.22
-
-
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
3 Apr 202623.32
20.60
-11.66%
Buy
0.00
-
-
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
1 May 202613.31
21.26
59.73%
Buy
0.44
-
-
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
10 Apr 20269.81
10.07
2.65%
Buy
0.25
-
-
FDS NYSE · FactSet Research Systems Inc
24 Apr 2026223.07
254.36
14.03%
Buy
0.10
-
-
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
13 Feb 20263.70
4.65
25.65%
Buy
0.21
-
-
FG NYSE · F&G Annuities & Life Inc.
1 May 202627.86
29.65
6.41%
Buy
0.21
-
-
FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
16 Jan 20268.02
9.29
15.80%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FGMC NASDAQ · FG Merger II Corp. Common stock
17 Oct 202510.04
8.30
-17.33%
Buy
0.28
-
-
FICO NYSE · Fair Isaac Corporation
29 May 20261250.59
1237.37
-1.06%
Buy
0.03
-
-
FIG NYSE · Figma, Inc.
8 May 202620.66
21.12
2.23%
Buy
1.41
-
-
FIGX NASDAQ · FIGX Capital Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
10 Apr 202610.18
10.25
0.69%
Buy
1.00
-
-
FINV NYSE · FinVolution Group
13 Feb 20265.21
4.75
-8.81%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FIP NASDAQ · FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
19 Dec 20254.64
4.23
-8.85%
Buy
0.05
-
-
FIS NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
17 Jul 202641.91
41.51
-0.95%
Buy
0.19
-
-
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
3 Jul 20265.61
5.42
-3.39%
Buy
0.63
-
-
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
1 May 202622.24
23.12
3.96%
Buy
0.12
-
-
FIZZ NASDAQ · National Beverage Corp
30 Jan 202634.08
30.70
-9.92%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
7 Feb 202512.25
13.85
13.05%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FLGT NASDAQ · Fulgent Genetics Inc
14 Mar 202517.24
19.67
14.10%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLL NASDAQ · Full House Resorts Inc
3 Apr 20262.55
2.33
-8.63%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FLO NYSE · Flowers Foods Inc
12 Jun 20267.79
7.74
-0.64%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLOC NYSE · Flowco Holdings Inc.
5 Dec 202517.88
20.15
12.73%
Buy
1.65
-
-
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
6 Jun 202510.50
15.89
51.33%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FMST NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
24 Jul 20261.65
1.65
New Entry week
Buy
0.05
-
-
FND NYSE · Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
26 Jun 202659.61
53.75
-9.83%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.79
10.08%
Buy
0.09
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4561-4590 of 10830
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
18 Jul 2025
Exit
NEXT NASDAQ · Nextdecade Corp
12.00
Reversal Risk Warning
117.00%
Entry 22 Mar 2024 5.53
18 Jul 2025
Entry
NXDR NYSE · NXDR
1.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.81
18 Jul 2025
Entry
ONDS NASDAQ · Ondas Holdings Inc.
2.23
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.23
18 Jul 2025
Entry
OPEN NASDAQ · Opendoor Technologies Inc
2.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.53
18 Jul 2025
Entry
OVID NASDAQ · Ovid Therapeutics Inc
0.55
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.34
18 Jul 2025
Entry
PACK NYSE · Ranpak Holdings Corp
3.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.12
18 Jul 2025
Exit
PASG NASDAQ · Passage Bio Inc
5.56
20% entry drawdown
-39.72%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 9.22
18 Jul 2025
Exit
PCT NASDAQ · Purecycle Technologies Holdings Corp
16.92
Reversal Risk Warning
255.46%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 4.76
18 Jul 2025
Entry
PEP NASDAQ · PepsiCo Inc
137.59
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.39
18 Jul 2025
Exit
PJT NYSE · PJT Partners Inc
181.82
Reversal Risk Warning
115.54%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 84.35
18 Jul 2025
Entry
PPSI NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
3.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.61
18 Jul 2025
Exit
RCL NYSE · Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd
344.14
Reversal Risk Warning
219.66%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 107.66
18 Jul 2025
Exit
RITM NYSE · Rithm Capital Corp.
11.13
Reversal Risk Warning
51.54%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 7.34
18 Jul 2025
Exit
SLNH NASDAQ · Soluna Holdings Inc
0.63
20% entry drawdown
-58.28%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 1.51
18 Jul 2025
Exit
SMR NYSE · Nuscale Power Corp
50.25
Reversal Risk Warning
545.89%
Entry 24 May 2024 7.78
18 Jul 2025
Entry
SNDL NASDAQ · SNDL Inc.
1.54
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.59
18 Jul 2025
Exit
SRAD NASDAQ · Sportradar Group AG
30.26
Reversal Risk Warning
90.76%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 15.86
18 Jul 2025
Exit
SY NASDAQ · So-Young International Inc
5.87
Reversal Risk Warning
147.68%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 2.37
18 Jul 2025
Entry
TMO NYSE · Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc
413.24
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
18 Jul 2025
Exit
TOST NYSE · Toast Inc
46.52
Reversal Risk Warning
162.23%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 17.74
18 Jul 2025
Exit
TRMB NASDAQ · Trimble Inc
82.04
Reversal Risk Warning
56.45%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 52.44
18 Jul 2025
Exit
UONEK NASDAQ · Urban One Inc Class D
6.24
20% entry drawdown
-24.00%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 8.21
18 Jul 2025
Entry
VRAX NASDAQ · Virax Biolabs Group Limited Ordinary Shares
24.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.15
18 Jul 2025
Entry
XRN NYSE · Chiron Real Estate Inc.
33.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29
11 Jul 2025
Entry
ALGS NASDAQ · Aligos Therapeutics Inc
8.36
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
11 Jul 2025
Entry
AMPX NYSE · Amprius Technologies Inc.
6.44
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.53
11 Jul 2025
Entry
AMTB NYSE · Amerant Bancorp Inc.
19.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.28
11 Jul 2025
Entry
ANAB NASDAQ · AnaptysBio Inc
17.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.43
11 Jul 2025
Exit
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
4.77
20% entry drawdown
-22.52%
Entry 30 May 2025 6.15
11 Jul 2025
Exit
AZ NASDAQ · A2Z Smart Technologies Corp
11.42
Reversal Risk Warning
554.63%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 1.74