Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
469.57
Total Return
369.57%
CAGR
54.68%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+33.24%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.60
Sortino 5.04
Current Holdings
1070
Transactions
10830
Avg 3054.5/yr ·
254.5/mo ·
58.7/wk
Exit Mix
4880
Stop 41.8% ·
Warning 57.6%
· Other 0.5%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
ALC
NYSE · Alcon AG
67.91
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BIXI
NASDAQ · Bitcoin Infrastructure Acquisition Corp Ltd. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.01
MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR
NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.14
MD 0.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CAG
NYSE · Conagra Brands, Inc.
14.77
MD 0.57 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
CJMB
NASDAQ · Callan JMB Inc. Common Stock
2.55
MD 0.41 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
FMST
NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
1.65
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GCL
NASDAQ · GCL Global Holdings Ltd Ordinary Shares
0.51
MD 0.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
KNDI
NASDAQ · Kandi Technologies Group Inc
0.65
MD 0.31 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA
NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11
MD 0.90 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LVLU
NASDAQ · Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings Inc
19.20
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LW
NYSE · Lamb Weston Holdings Inc
49.58
MD 1.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MAMO
NASDAQ · Massimo Group Common Stock
0.98
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
NBP
NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
1.77
MD 0.13 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OFIX
NASDAQ · Orthofix Medical Inc
11.25
MD 0.22 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTIS
NYSE · Otis Worldwide Corp
71.93
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
OTLY
NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
13.37
MD 0.05 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PLNT
NYSE · Planet Fitness Inc
53.48
MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PSN
NYSE · Parsons Corp
58.73
MD 0.56 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SRFM
NYSE · Surf Air Mobility Inc.
0.79
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TDWD
NASDAQ · Tailwind 2.0 Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
10.04
MD 0.93 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WSTN
NASDAQ · Westin Acquisition Corp
10.13
MD 1.67 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVIP
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc PR
2.78
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
AMST
NASDAQ · Amesite Operating Co
0.99
20% entry drawdown · -21.44%
ATER
NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
0.40
20% entry drawdown · -70.94%
BARK
NYSE · BARK, Inc.
8.51
20% entry drawdown · -22.14%
BZFD
NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
1.11
20% entry drawdown · -25.50%
BZH
NYSE · Beazer Homes USA Inc
33.19
Reversal Risk Warning · 60.11%
COOK
NYSE · Traeger Inc
61.26
20% entry drawdown · -22.75%
DAR
NYSE · Darling Ingredients Inc
62.50
Reversal Risk Warning · 59.93%
DFSC
NASDAQ · DEFSEC Technologies Inc.
1.51
20% entry drawdown · -35.19%
GEHC
NASDAQ · GE HealthCare Technologies Inc.
60.58
20% entry drawdown · -20.22%
GOOS
NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
8.89
20% entry drawdown · -24.47%
GTEC
NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
0.51
20% entry drawdown · -21.19%
LFCR
NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
4.33
20% entry drawdown · -21.84%
LFMD
NASDAQ · LifeMD Inc
3.71
20% entry drawdown · -20.04%
LOCL
NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
1.06
20% entry drawdown · -22.63%
NIXX
NASDAQ · Nixxy, Inc.
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -35.80%
NKTX
NASDAQ · Nkarta Inc
2.27
20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.33
20% entry drawdown · -21.28%
PPSI
NASDAQ · Pioneer Power Solutions Inc.
2.98
20% entry drawdown · -25.13%
RC
NYSE · Ready Capital Corp
1.47
20% entry drawdown · -20.97%
REAX
NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.69
20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.41
20% entry drawdown · -25.36%
SEDG
NASDAQ · SolarEdge Technologies Inc
42.60
20% entry drawdown · -31.02%
SGRP
NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc
0.38
20% entry drawdown · -46.99%
SRG
NYSE · Seritage Growth Properties
2.31
20% entry drawdown · -22.22%
TOMZ
NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
1.54
20% entry drawdown · -33.95%
UPST
NASDAQ · Upstart Holdings Inc
26.93
20% entry drawdown · -20.30%
WETO
NASDAQ · Webus International Limited Ordinary Shares
0.69
Price scale break · 37.71%
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
1.70
20% entry drawdown · -30.89%
XELB
NASDAQ · Xcel Brands Inc
1.23
20% entry drawdown · -21.15%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
FATE
NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
22 May 20262.25
2.41
7.11%
Buy
1.61
-
-
FATN
NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
27 Mar 20262.33
4.51
93.56%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FBIN
NYSE · Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.
26 Jun 202645.96
51.27
11.55%
Buy
0.28
-
-
FBIO
NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
26 Jun 20262.76
3.34
21.01%
Buy
0.22
-
-
FC
NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
3 Apr 202623.32
20.60
-11.66%
Buy
0.00
-
-
FCEL
NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
1 May 202613.31
21.26
59.73%
Buy
0.44
-
-
FDMT
NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
10 Apr 20269.81
10.07
2.65%
Buy
0.25
-
-
FDS
NYSE · FactSet Research Systems Inc
24 Apr 2026223.07
254.36
14.03%
Buy
0.10
-
-
FF
NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
13 Feb 20263.70
4.65
25.65%
Buy
0.21
-
-
FG
NYSE · F&G Annuities & Life Inc.
1 May 202627.86
29.65
6.41%
Buy
0.21
-
-
FGBI
NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
16 Jan 20268.02
9.29
15.80%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FGMC
NASDAQ · FG Merger II Corp. Common stock
17 Oct 202510.04
8.30
-17.33%
Buy
0.28
-
-
FICO
NYSE · Fair Isaac Corporation
29 May 20261250.59
1237.37
-1.06%
Buy
0.03
-
-
FIG
NYSE · Figma, Inc.
8 May 202620.66
21.12
2.23%
Buy
1.41
-
-
FIGX
NASDAQ · FIGX Capital Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
10 Apr 202610.18
10.25
0.69%
Buy
1.00
-
-
FINV
NYSE · FinVolution Group
13 Feb 20265.21
4.75
-8.81%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FIP
NASDAQ · FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
19 Dec 20254.64
4.23
-8.85%
Buy
0.05
-
-
FIS
NYSE · Fidelity National Information Services Inc
17 Jul 202641.91
41.51
-0.95%
Buy
0.19
-
-
FISK
NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
3 Jul 20265.61
5.42
-3.39%
Buy
0.63
-
-
FIVN
NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
1 May 202622.24
23.12
3.96%
Buy
0.12
-
-
FIZZ
NASDAQ · National Beverage Corp
30 Jan 202634.08
30.70
-9.92%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FLG
NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
7 Feb 202512.25
13.85
13.05%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FLGT
NASDAQ · Fulgent Genetics Inc
14 Mar 202517.24
19.67
14.10%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLL
NASDAQ · Full House Resorts Inc
3 Apr 20262.55
2.33
-8.63%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FLO
NYSE · Flowers Foods Inc
12 Jun 20267.79
7.74
-0.64%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLOC
NYSE · Flowco Holdings Inc.
5 Dec 202517.88
20.15
12.73%
Buy
1.65
-
-
FLYW
NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
6 Jun 202510.50
15.89
51.33%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FMST
NASDAQ · Foremost Lithium Resource & Technology Ltd. Common stock
24 Jul 20261.65
1.65
New
Entry week
Buy
0.05
-
-
FND
NYSE · Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
26 Jun 202659.61
53.75
-9.83%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FNKO
NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.79
10.08%
Buy
0.09
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
6 Jun 2025
Exit
MBRX
NASDAQ · Moleculin Biotech Inc
16.75
20% entry drawdown
-34.95%
Entry 2 May 2025
25.75
6 Jun 2025
Entry
MDB
NASDAQ · MongoDB
220.14
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.04
6 Jun 2025
Entry
MEI
NYSE · Methode Electronics Inc
7.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.02
6 Jun 2025
Exit
MLEC
NASDAQ · Moolec Science SA Ordinary Shares
103.50
20% entry drawdown
-24.18%
Entry 9 May 2025
136.50
6 Jun 2025
Entry
MNRO
NASDAQ · Monro Muffler Brake Inc
15.25
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.14
6 Jun 2025
Entry
MTUS
NYSE · Metallus, Inc
14.06
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.14
6 Jun 2025
Entry
MX
NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.70
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.00
6 Jun 2025
Exit
NATH
NASDAQ · Nathans Famous Inc
103.76
Reversal Risk Warning
54.93%
Entry 15 Dec 2023
66.97
6 Jun 2025
Entry
NBP
NASDAQ · NovaBridge Biosciences
2.45
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.30
6 Jun 2025
Entry
NNE
NASDAQ · Nano Nuclear Energy Inc. Common Stock
31.19
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.29
6 Jun 2025
Entry
NVT
NYSE · nVent Electric PLC
67.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.71
6 Jun 2025
Entry
NVTS
NASDAQ · Navitas Semiconductor Corp
6.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.19
6 Jun 2025
Entry
NXPI
NASDAQ · NXP Semiconductors NV
203.82
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.08
6 Jun 2025
Entry
ODP
NASDAQ · ODP Corp
17.77
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.88
6 Jun 2025
Entry
ODV
NYSE · Osisko Development Corp.
2.08
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.13
6 Jun 2025
Entry
OKUR
NASDAQ · OnKure Therapeutics, Inc.
2.88
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.20
6 Jun 2025
Entry
OMEX
NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.14
6 Jun 2025
Entry
ON
NASDAQ · ON Semiconductor Corporation
50.17
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.62
6 Jun 2025
Entry
ORIC
NASDAQ · Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc
9.32
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.20
6 Jun 2025
Entry
OTLY
NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
12.49
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.11
6 Jun 2025
Entry
OWLT
NYSE · Owlet Inc
6.16
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.94
6 Jun 2025
Entry
PASG
NASDAQ · Passage Bio Inc
8.46
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.20
6 Jun 2025
Entry
PHAT
NASDAQ · Phathom Pharmaceuticals Inc
8.92
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.56
6 Jun 2025
Entry
PHIO
NASDAQ · Phio Pharmaceuticals Corp
2.96
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.16
6 Jun 2025
Entry
PII
NYSE · Polaris Industries Inc
39.30
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.72
6 Jun 2025
Entry
POWL
NASDAQ · Powell Industries Inc
63.48
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.04
6 Jun 2025
Entry
PRG
NYSE · PROG Holdings Inc
28.57
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.25
6 Jun 2025
Exit
PVH
NYSE · PVH Corp
65.28
20% entry drawdown
-24.18%
Entry 16 May 2025
86.10
6 Jun 2025
Entry
PYPD
NASDAQ · PolyPid
3.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.96
6 Jun 2025
Entry
PZZA
NASDAQ · Papa John's International Inc
47.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.30