View US Trend Index

Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

Market United States

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00

Index Value

483.76

Total Return

383.76%

CAGR

56.75% Annualized from first index week

Edge vs Market

+34.30%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR

Risk Adjusted

Sharpe 2.67 Sortino 5.20

Current Holdings

1117

Transactions

10719 Avg 3056.2/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk

Exit Mix

4801 Stop 41.3% · Warning 58.4% · Other 0.2%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions

This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close

AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC

13.88 MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc

161.48 MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings

2.13 MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation

60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ARAI NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.

0.42 MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc

125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc

73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

BUR NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd

4.19 MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GIB NYSE · CGI Inc

67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares

1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share

10.12 MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

11.73 MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

LAFA NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share

10.11 MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated

50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share

10.15 MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd

1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.

2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc

11.17 MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock

0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co

0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp

1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc

1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc

30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.

72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc

19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc

2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc

2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR

2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close

APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd

1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%

BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc

3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%

BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock

126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%

BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc

3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%

CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation

46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%

CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc

0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%

CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc

6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%

GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.

0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%

GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp

152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%

JEM NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares

0.54 20% entry drawdown · -64.86%

KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc

23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%

LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc

5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%

NEWT NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.

14.78 Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%

OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc

0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%

TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.

1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%

WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation

17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 331-360 of 1117 open

Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS

EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co

16 Jan 202618.41

26.48

43.83%

Buy

0.23

EPSN NASDAQ · Epsilon Energy Ltd

30 Jan 20264.88

5.22

7.03%

Buy

0.48

ERIE NASDAQ · Erie Indemnity Company

26 Jun 2026237.36

251.81

6.09%

Buy

0.37

ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES

3 Jul 20265.64

5.48

-2.84%

Buy

0.68

ESRT NYSE · Empire State Realty Trust Inc

22 May 20265.54

5.43

-2.05%

Buy

0.26

ESTC NYSE · Elastic NV

22 May 202654.81

60.24

9.91%

Buy

0.08

ETD NYSE · Ethan Allen Interiors Inc

19 Jun 202621.17

21.73

2.65%

Buy

0.25

ETSY NYSE · Etsy, Inc.

30 May 202555.35

81.05

46.43%

Buy

0.17

EVGO NASDAQ · Evgo Inc

5 Jun 20262.13

1.81

-14.82%

Buy

0.12

EVH NYSE · Evolent Health Inc

12 Jun 20264.80

5.88

22.50%

Buy

1.27

EVO NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR

3 Jul 20262.90

2.79

-3.97%

Buy

0.20

EVTC NYSE · Evertec Inc

3 Jul 202629.63

29.25

-1.28%

Buy

0.27

EXFY NASDAQ · Expensify Inc

19 Jun 20261.56

1.89

21.15%

Buy

1.20

EXLS NASDAQ · ExlService Holdings Inc

22 May 202629.51

27.30

-7.49%

Buy

0.35

EYPT NASDAQ · Eyepoint Pharmaceuticals Inc

30 May 20257.24

14.72

103.31%

Buy

0.74

FACT NASDAQ · FACT II Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares

1 Aug 202510.29

10.63

3.30%

Buy

1.02

FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc

22 May 20262.25

3.10

37.78%

Buy

1.61

FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock

27 Mar 20262.33

5.35

129.61%

Buy

0.33

FBIN NYSE · Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.

26 Jun 202645.96

51.61

12.29%

Buy

0.28

FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc

26 Jun 20262.76

3.30

19.57%

Buy

0.22

FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company

3 Apr 202623.32

20.97

-10.08%

Buy

0.00

FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc

1 May 202613.31

21.03

58.00%

Buy

0.44

FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc

10 Apr 20269.81

12.31

25.48%

Buy

0.25

FDS NYSE · FactSet Research Systems Inc

24 Apr 2026223.07

247.11

10.78%

Buy

0.10

FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp

13 Feb 20263.70

4.64

25.38%

Buy

0.21

FG NYSE · F&G Annuities & Life Inc.

1 May 202627.86

29.67

6.49%

Buy

0.21

FGBI NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.

16 Jan 20268.02

9.94

23.90%

Buy

0.01

FGMC NASDAQ · FG Merger II Corp. Common stock

17 Oct 202510.04

9.81

-2.29%

Buy

0.28

FICO NYSE · Fair Isaac Corporation

29 May 20261250.59

1250.90

0.02%

Buy

0.03

FIG NYSE · Figma, Inc.

8 May 202620.66

21.11

2.18%

Buy

1.41

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1141-1170 of 10719

Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers

22 May 2026

Entry

SGRP NASDAQ · SPAR Group Inc

0.72

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.46

22 May 2026

Entry

SIMAU NASDAQ · SIM Acquisition Corp. I Unit

13.01

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.94

22 May 2026

Exit

SKYT NASDAQ · Skywater Technology Inc

37.21

Reversal Risk Warning

313.44%

Entry 23 May 2025 9.00

22 May 2026

Entry

STUB NYSE · StubHub Holdings, Inc.

9.98

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.18

22 May 2026

Exit

SYNA NASDAQ · Synaptics Incorporated

143.69

Reversal Risk Warning

129.68%

Entry 6 Jun 2025 62.56

22 May 2026

Entry

TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock

5.13

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.76

22 May 2026

Exit

TX NYSE · Ternium SA ADR

46.99

Reversal Risk Warning

68.11%

Entry 7 Mar 2025 27.95

22 May 2026

Exit

TXN NASDAQ · Texas Instruments Incorporated

309.21

Reversal Risk Warning

97.00%

Entry 15 Dec 2023 156.96

22 May 2026

Entry

USNA NYSE · USANA Health Sciences Inc

18.74

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04

22 May 2026

Exit

VACH NASDAQ · Voyager Acquisition Corp

9.60

20% entry drawdown

-25.58%

Entry 27 Mar 2026 12.90

22 May 2026

Exit

VISN NASDAQ · CommScope Holding Company, Inc.

12.30

Reversal Risk Warning

359.46%

Entry 27 Jun 2025 2.68

22 May 2026

Entry

WALD NASDAQ · Waldencast Acquisition Corp

1.30

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04

22 May 2026

Entry

WDAY NASDAQ · Workday Inc

128.14

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14

22 May 2026

Entry

WFCF NASDAQ · Where Food Comes From Inc

12.89

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.43

22 May 2026

Exit

WOLF NYSE · Wolfspeed, Inc.

69.89

Reversal Risk Warning

90.13%

Entry 1 May 2026 36.76

22 May 2026

Entry

YELP NYSE · Yelp Inc

22.39

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.55

22 May 2026

Entry

YIBO NASDAQ · Planet Image International Limited Class A Ordinary Shares

0.97

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.65

15 May 2026

Exit

AAPL NASDAQ · Apple Inc

300.23

Reversal Risk Warning

58.76%

Entry 1 Dec 2023 189.11

15 May 2026

Entry

ACB NASDAQ · Aurora Cannabis Inc

3.32

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04

15 May 2026

Entry

ACTU NASDAQ · Actuate Therapeutics, Inc. Common stock

2.62

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.20

15 May 2026

Entry

ACVA NYSE · ACV Auctions Inc.

5.92

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.29

15 May 2026

Entry

ADBE NASDAQ · Adobe Systems Incorporated

247.60

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.06

15 May 2026

Entry

ADXN NASDAQ · Addex Therapeutics Ltd

6.81

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03

15 May 2026

Entry

AIFU NASDAQ · Fanhua Inc.

46.20

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.33

15 May 2026

Exit

AIZ NYSE · Assurant, Inc.

253.42

Reversal Risk Warning

87.53%

Entry 4 Aug 2023 135.14

15 May 2026

Exit

AMPH NASDAQ · Amphastar P

16.87

20% entry drawdown

-24.59%

Entry 25 Jul 2025 22.37

15 May 2026

Entry

APPF NASDAQ · Appfolio Inc

151.70

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.02

15 May 2026

Exit

ARVN NASDAQ · Arvinas Inc

9.08

20% entry drawdown

-27.85%

Entry 28 Nov 2025 12.59

15 May 2026

Entry

ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc

23.32

Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.70

15 May 2026

Exit

ATLX NASDAQ · Atlas Lithium Corporation Common Stock

4.29

20% entry drawdown

-33.59%

Entry 8 May 2026 6.46