Universe
Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.
Signal Validation
Market Dynamics Performance Index
A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.
Index Value
483.76
Total Return
383.76%
CAGR
56.75%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.30%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.67
Sortino 5.20
Current Holdings
1117
Transactions
10719
Avg 3056.2/yr ·
254.7/mo ·
58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4801
Stop 41.3% ·
Warning 58.4%
· Other 0.2%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
- Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
- Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
AKTX
NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88
MD 1.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG
NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.48
MD 0.27 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO
NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13
MD 0.03 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS
NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44
MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ARAI
NASDAQ · Arrive AI Inc.
0.42
MD 0.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR
NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53
MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM
NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31
MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BUR
NYSE · Burford Capital Ltd
4.19
MD 0.14 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB
NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG
NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA
NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12
MD 1.35 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL
NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73
MD 0.44 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LAFA
NASDAQ · LaFayette Acquisition Corp. Ordinary Share
10.11
MD 1.51 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V
NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81
MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX
NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15
MD 2.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO
NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06
MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW
NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD
NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17
MD 1.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX
NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55
MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN
NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91
MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX
NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27
MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM
NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76
MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK
NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99
MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH
NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54
MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN
NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74
MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP
NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46
MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI
NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93
MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB
NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91
MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
APWC
NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53
20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BIRD
NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13
20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN
NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77
Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BYRN
NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87
20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92
20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG
NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85
20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CWH
NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22
20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
GAME
NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31
20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS
NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72
Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
JEM
NASDAQ · 707 Cayman Holdings Limited Ordinary Shares
0.54
20% entry drawdown · -64.86%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
NEWT
NASDAQ · NewtekOne, Inc.
14.78
Reversal Risk Warning · 52.99%
OMEX
NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71
20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
TLPH
NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46
Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
WATT
NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99
20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signal
MD
ROC
RS
EPC
NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
16 Jan 202618.41
26.48
43.83%
Buy
0.23
-
-
EPSN
NASDAQ · Epsilon Energy Ltd
30 Jan 20264.88
5.22
7.03%
Buy
0.48
-
-
ERIE
NASDAQ · Erie Indemnity Company
26 Jun 2026237.36
251.81
6.09%
Buy
0.37
-
-
ESBA
NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
3 Jul 20265.64
5.48
-2.84%
Buy
0.68
-
-
ESRT
NYSE · Empire State Realty Trust Inc
22 May 20265.54
5.43
-2.05%
Buy
0.26
-
-
ESTC
NYSE · Elastic NV
22 May 202654.81
60.24
9.91%
Buy
0.08
-
-
ETD
NYSE · Ethan Allen Interiors Inc
19 Jun 202621.17
21.73
2.65%
Buy
0.25
-
-
ETSY
NYSE · Etsy, Inc.
30 May 202555.35
81.05
46.43%
Buy
0.17
-
-
EVGO
NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
5 Jun 20262.13
1.81
-14.82%
Buy
0.12
-
-
EVH
NYSE · Evolent Health Inc
12 Jun 20264.80
5.88
22.50%
Buy
1.27
-
-
EVO
NASDAQ · Evotec SE ADR
3 Jul 20262.90
2.79
-3.97%
Buy
0.20
-
-
EVTC
NYSE · Evertec Inc
3 Jul 202629.63
29.25
-1.28%
Buy
0.27
-
-
EXFY
NASDAQ · Expensify Inc
19 Jun 20261.56
1.89
21.15%
Buy
1.20
-
-
EXLS
NASDAQ · ExlService Holdings Inc
22 May 202629.51
27.30
-7.49%
Buy
0.35
-
-
EYPT
NASDAQ · Eyepoint Pharmaceuticals Inc
30 May 20257.24
14.72
103.31%
Buy
0.74
-
-
FACT
NASDAQ · FACT II Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
1 Aug 202510.29
10.63
3.30%
Buy
1.02
-
-
FATE
NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
22 May 20262.25
3.10
37.78%
Buy
1.61
-
-
FATN
NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
27 Mar 20262.33
5.35
129.61%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FBIN
NYSE · Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.
26 Jun 202645.96
51.61
12.29%
Buy
0.28
-
-
FBIO
NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
26 Jun 20262.76
3.30
19.57%
Buy
0.22
-
-
FC
NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
3 Apr 202623.32
20.97
-10.08%
Buy
0.00
-
-
FCEL
NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
1 May 202613.31
21.03
58.00%
Buy
0.44
-
-
FDMT
NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
10 Apr 20269.81
12.31
25.48%
Buy
0.25
-
-
FDS
NYSE · FactSet Research Systems Inc
24 Apr 2026223.07
247.11
10.78%
Buy
0.10
-
-
FF
NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
13 Feb 20263.70
4.64
25.38%
Buy
0.21
-
-
FG
NYSE · F&G Annuities & Life Inc.
1 May 202627.86
29.67
6.49%
Buy
0.21
-
-
FGBI
NASDAQ · First Guaranty Bancshares, Inc.
16 Jan 20268.02
9.94
23.90%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FGMC
NASDAQ · FG Merger II Corp. Common stock
17 Oct 202510.04
9.81
-2.29%
Buy
0.28
-
-
FICO
NYSE · Fair Isaac Corporation
29 May 20261250.59
1250.90
0.02%
Buy
0.03
-
-
FIG
NYSE · Figma, Inc.
8 May 202620.66
21.11
2.18%
Buy
1.41
-
-
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
10 Apr 2026
Exit
CIG-C
NYSE · Energy of Minas Gerais Co DRC
3.82
Reversal Risk Warning
103.66%
Entry 12 Apr 2024
1.88
10 Apr 2026
Exit
CNXC
NASDAQ · Concentrix Corporation
25.77
20% entry drawdown
-20.49%
Entry 20 Feb 2026
32.40
10 Apr 2026
Exit
COSO
NYSE · CoastalSouth Bancshares, Inc.
25.55
Reversal Risk Warning
60.32%
Entry 25 Aug 2023
15.94
10 Apr 2026
Entry
CTSO
NASDAQ · Cytosorbents Crp
0.61
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.30
10 Apr 2026
Exit
DBD
NYSE · Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated
84.78
Reversal Risk Warning
90.35%
Entry 17 May 2024
44.54
10 Apr 2026
Entry
DEFT
NASDAQ · DeFi Technologies Inc.
0.74
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.27
10 Apr 2026
Entry
DUO
NASDAQ · Fangdd Network Group Ltd
1.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.80
10 Apr 2026
Exit
ECVT
NYSE · Ecovyst Inc
13.93
Reversal Risk Warning
90.82%
Entry 23 May 2025
7.30
10 Apr 2026
Exit
ELPC
NYSE · Companhia Paranaense de Energia - COPEL
13.14
Reversal Risk Warning
115.98%
Entry 18 Apr 2025
6.08
10 Apr 2026
Exit
ENPH
NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
31.19
20% entry drawdown
-20.97%
Entry 23 Jan 2026
39.46
10 Apr 2026
Exit
ETN
NYSE · Eaton Corporation PLC
401.90
Reversal Risk Warning
78.12%
Entry 1 Sep 2023
225.64
10 Apr 2026
Exit
EVRG
NASDAQ · Evergy, Inc.
82.89
Reversal Risk Warning
77.79%
Entry 8 Dec 2023
46.62
10 Apr 2026
Entry
EVTV
NASDAQ · Envirotech Vehicles Inc
1.91
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.46
10 Apr 2026
Exit
FCBC
NASDAQ · First Community Bancshares Inc
42.78
Reversal Risk Warning
51.00%
Entry 28 Jul 2023
28.33
10 Apr 2026
Entry
FDMT
NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
9.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.25
10 Apr 2026
Entry
FIGX
NASDAQ · FIGX Capital Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Share
10.18
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 1.00
10 Apr 2026
Exit
FTI
NYSE · TechnipFMC PLC
73.74
Reversal Risk Warning
177.39%
Entry 5 Apr 2024
26.58
10 Apr 2026
Entry
FUN
NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
19.94
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.73
10 Apr 2026
Entry
GDTC
NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
1.00
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.05
10 Apr 2026
Exit
GEF-B
NYSE · Greif Inc
89.30
Reversal Risk Warning
52.29%
Entry 15 Mar 2024
58.64
10 Apr 2026
Entry
GIFT
NASDAQ · RDE, Inc.
1.05
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.20
10 Apr 2026
Exit
GLRE
NASDAQ · Greenlight Capital Re Ltd
18.47
Reversal Risk Warning
64.03%
Entry 11 Aug 2023
11.26
10 Apr 2026
Entry
GOGO
NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
4.56
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.51
10 Apr 2026
Exit
GURE
NASDAQ · Gulf Resources, Inc. (NV) Common Stock
5.14
20% entry drawdown
-33.68%
Entry 3 Apr 2026
7.75
10 Apr 2026
Entry
HOG
NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
22.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy
MD 0.39
10 Apr 2026
Exit
IGIC
NASDAQ · International General Insurance Holdings Ltd
25.75
Reversal Risk Warning
149.69%
Entry 22 Sep 2023
10.31
10 Apr 2026
Exit
INTS
NASDAQ · Intensity Therapeutics, Inc. Common stock
5.50
20% entry drawdown
-21.43%
Entry 3 Oct 2025
7.00
10 Apr 2026
Exit
ITT
NYSE · ITT Inc
216.46
Reversal Risk Warning
114.66%
Entry 1 Sep 2023
100.84
10 Apr 2026
Exit
JOUT
NASDAQ · Johnson Outdoors Inc
51.28
Reversal Risk Warning
100.27%
Entry 23 May 2025
25.60
10 Apr 2026
Exit
KOD
NASDAQ · Kodiak Sciences Inc
43.11
Reversal Risk Warning
307.85%
Entry 15 Aug 2025
10.57