Signal Validation

Market Dynamics Performance Index

A concept-validation index for US equities, testing whether first Market Dynamics Buy signals identify productive weekly setups. Entries and exits are research pointers for a shortlist, not a follow-along strategy.

United States
Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
484.55
Total Return
384.55%
CAGR
56.82% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+34.37%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.68 Sortino 5.21
Current Holdings
1108
Transactions
10720 Avg 3056.5/yr · 254.7/mo · 58.8/wk
Exit Mix
4806 Stop 41.2% · Warning 58.2% · Other 0.5%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted signal-validation model for US equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, Market Dynamics buy signals, and Smart Money warning data to test the Market Dynamics concept over time.

01

Universe

Active US equities only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, index benchmark records, and listings outside the US market are excluded from this index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s stored weekly close on the first Market Dynamics Buy signal while the stock is not already held. New entries are blocked if that same week has a Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • This index is designed to validate the Market Dynamics signal concept, not to serve as a mechanical follow-along strategy.
  • Only the first actionable Market Dynamics Buy signal opens a position while the stock is flat.
  • Weekly entries and exits may help identify stocks for a research shortlist, but they are not portfolio instructions.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Reversal Danger blocks new entries, but the Market Dynamics index exits only on Reversal Risk or the 20% entry drawdown rule.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
29
ABT NYSE · Abbott Laboratories
93.27 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AKTX NASDAQ · Akari Therapeutics PLC
13.88 MD 1.04 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALG NYSE · Alamo Group Inc
161.15 MD 0.25 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ALXO NASDAQ · Alx Oncology Holdings
2.13 MD 0.02 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
AOS NYSE · Smith AO Corporation
60.44 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
ATR NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
125.53 MD 0.18 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BBOT NASDAQ · BridgeBio Oncology Therapeutics, Inc.
8.32 MD 0.00 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
BFAM NYSE · Bright Horizons Family Solutions Inc
73.31 MD 0.11 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GIB NYSE · CGI Inc
67.06 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
GLXG NASDAQ · Galaxy Payroll Group Limited Ordinary Shares
1.46 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
HAVA NASDAQ · Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share
10.12 MD 1.40 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
JLHL NASDAQ · Julong Holding Limited Class A Ordinary Shares
11.73 MD 0.37 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
LZ NASDAQ · LegalZoom.com Inc
7.25 MD 0.71 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MKC-V NYSE · McCormick & Company Incorporated
50.81 MD 0.15 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MMTX NASDAQ · Miluna Acquisition Corp Class A Ordinary Share
10.15 MD 2.48 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
MNDO NASDAQ · MIND CTI Ltd
1.06 MD 0.16 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
PEW NYSE · GrabAGun Digital Holdings Inc.
2.96 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
Q NYSE · Qnity Electronics, Inc
143.80 MD 0.79 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
11.17 MD 1.19 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SAFX NASDAQ · XCF Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock
0.55 MD 0.24 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
0.91 MD 0.21 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
SKYX NASDAQ · SKYX Platforms Corp
1.27 MD 0.09 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
STIM NASDAQ · Neuronetics Inc
1.76 MD 0.50 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
TTEK NASDAQ · Tetra Tech Inc
30.99 MD 0.06 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
USPH NYSE · U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc.
72.54 MD 0.07 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
VRDN NASDAQ · Viridian Therapeutics Inc
19.74 MD 0.12 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
2.46 MD 0.26 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
WVVI NASDAQ · Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc
2.93 MD 1.08 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal
XTLB NASDAQ · XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd ADR
2.91 MD 0.77 · Market Dynamics Buy Signal

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
37
APWC NASDAQ · Asia Pacific Wire & Cable Corp Ltd
1.53 20% entry drawdown · -23.12%
BCDA NASDAQ · Biocardia Inc
0.91 20% entry drawdown · -23.77%
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
3.13 20% entry drawdown · -33.15%
BLLN NASDAQ · BillionToOne, Inc. Class A Common Stock
126.77 Reversal Risk Warning · 28.06%
BLZE NASDAQ · Backblaze Inc
17.60 Reversal Risk Warning · 135.29%
BMAC NYSE · Black Mountain Acquisition Corp
10.60 Ticker inactive / final available close · 0.00%
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
3.87 20% entry drawdown · -44.55%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
46.92 20% entry drawdown · -20.19%
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
0.85 20% entry drawdown · -23.79%
CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
14.00 Reversal Risk Warning · 227.10%
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.66 Ticker inactive / final available close · 47.47%
CWH NYSE · Camping World Holdings Inc
6.22 20% entry drawdown · -22.06%
DENN NASDAQ · Dennys Corp
6.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 51.33%
DWSN NASDAQ · Dawson Geophysical Company
7.57 Reversal Risk Warning · 394.77%
EWTX NASDAQ · Edgewise Therapeutics Inc
45.41 Reversal Risk Warning · 315.08%
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.31 20% entry drawdown · -31.37%
GKOS NYSE · Glaukos Corp
152.72 Reversal Risk Warning · 82.11%
GRCL NASDAQ · Gracell Biotechnologies Inc.
10.25 Ticker inactive / final available close · 107.49%
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
50.06 Reversal Risk Warning · 118.07%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 75.74%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
MBX NASDAQ · MBX Biosciences, Inc. Common Stock
61.05 Reversal Risk Warning · 408.75%
MPLT NASDAQ · MapLight Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock
39.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 36.43%
ODP NASDAQ · ODP Corp
28.00 Ticker inactive / final available close · 57.57%
OMEX NASDAQ · Odyssey Marine Exploration Inc
0.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.37%
PC NASDAQ · Premium Catering (Holdings) Limited
9.40 Ticker inactive / final available close · 41.10%
PTRN NASDAQ · Pattern Group Inc. Series A Common Stock
28.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 81.85%
RCM NASDAQ · R1 RCM Inc
14.31 Ticker inactive / final available close · 28.92%
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
20.01 Reversal Risk Warning · 566.83%
ROSS NYSE · Ross Acquisition II Corp
11.08 Ticker inactive / final available close · 3.84%
SBFG NASDAQ · SB Financial Group Inc
26.27 Reversal Risk Warning · 94.76%
SLRN NASDAQ · ACELYRIN, INC. Common Stock
2.27 Ticker inactive / final available close · -11.67%
THRD NASDAQ · Third Harmonic Bio Inc.
5.38 Ticker inactive / final available close · 4.06%
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.46 Reversal Risk Warning · 196.33%
TTRX NASDAQ · Turn Therapeutics Inc. Common Stock
9.44 Reversal Risk Warning · 84.02%
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
17.99 20% entry drawdown · -27.25%
WKC NYSE · World Kinect Corporation
35.32 Reversal Risk Warning · 71.05%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 361-390 of 1108 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signal MD ROC RS
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
1 May 202622.24
25.42
14.30%
Buy
0.12
-
-
FIZZ NASDAQ · National Beverage Corp
30 Jan 202634.08
30.62
-10.14%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
7 Feb 202512.25
15.09
23.17%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FLGT NASDAQ · Fulgent Genetics Inc
14 Mar 202517.24
20.55
19.20%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLL NASDAQ · Full House Resorts Inc
3 Apr 20262.55
2.64
3.53%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FLO NYSE · Flowers Foods Inc
12 Jun 20267.79
8.34
7.06%
Buy
0.07
-
-
FLOC NYSE · Flowco Holdings Inc.
5 Dec 202517.88
20.82
16.47%
Buy
1.65
-
-
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
6 Jun 202510.50
17.62
67.81%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FND NYSE · Floor & Decor Holdings Inc
26 Jun 202659.61
57.13
-4.16%
Buy
0.33
-
-
FNKO NASDAQ · Funko Inc
8 May 20265.26
5.58
6.08%
Buy
0.09
-
-
FNWB NASDAQ · First Northwest Bancorp
3 Oct 20257.90
11.05
39.87%
Buy
0.41
-
-
FOR NYSE · Forestar Group Inc
4 Jul 202521.73
30.51
40.40%
Buy
0.70
-
-
FOUR NYSE · Shift4 Payments Inc
3 Jul 202651.35
50.81
-1.05%
Buy
0.87
-
-
FRMI NASDAQ · Fermi Inc.
15 May 20266.51
6.59
1.23%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FRPH NASDAQ · Frp Holdings Ord
5 Jun 202623.54
23.98
1.87%
Buy
0.36
-
-
FRSH NASDAQ · Freshworks Inc
29 May 20269.71
10.36
6.69%
Buy
0.99
-
-
FSK NYSE · FS KKR Capital Corp
8 May 202610.41
10.80
3.73%
Buy
0.01
-
-
FSV NASDAQ · FirstService Corp
12 Jun 2026143.05
143.44
0.27%
Buy
0.18
-
-
FTRE NASDAQ · Fortrea Holdings Inc.
15 Aug 20258.04
17.76
120.90%
Buy
0.90
-
-
FUL NYSE · H B Fuller Company
12 Jun 202663.63
55.91
-12.13%
Buy
0.17
-
-
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
10 Apr 202619.94
19.46
-2.41%
Buy
0.73
-
-
FVN NASDAQ · Future Vision II Acquisition Corporation Ordinary shares
29 Aug 202510.48
11.00
4.97%
Buy
0.34
-
-
FWRG NASDAQ · First Watch Restaurant Group Inc
19 Jun 202611.81
12.46
5.50%
Buy
0.08
-
-
GANX NASDAQ · Gain Therapeutics Inc
13 Sep 20241.47
1.80
22.87%
Buy
0.13
-
-
GBLI NASDAQ · Global Indemnity Group, LLC Class A Common Stock
9 Jan 202627.90
26.11
-6.43%
Buy
0.01
-
-
GCTS NYSE · GCT Semiconductor Holding Inc
1 May 20261.59
2.46
54.72%
Buy
1.17
-
-
GDDY NYSE · Godaddy Inc
26 Jun 202684.55
88.92
5.17%
Buy
0.66
-
-
GDOT NYSE · Green Dot Corporation
9 May 202510.94
13.32
21.76%
Buy
0.16
-
-
GDRX NASDAQ · Goodrx Holdings Inc
1 May 20262.55
2.95
15.69%
Buy
0.65
-
-
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
15 May 20261.16
1.03
-11.21%
Buy
0.39
-
-

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3121-3150 of 10720
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Dec 2025
Entry
PETS NASDAQ · PetMed Express Inc
3.47
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.35
26 Dec 2025
Exit
PUK NYSE · Prudential PLC ADR
31.22
Reversal Risk Warning
94.51%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 16.05
26 Dec 2025
Exit
REAL NASDAQ · TheRealReal Inc
16.21
Reversal Risk Warning
241.98%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 4.74
26 Dec 2025
Exit
SCHW NYSE · Charles Schwab Corp
101.18
Reversal Risk Warning
80.37%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 56.09
26 Dec 2025
Entry
SKK NASDAQ · SKK Holdings Limited
2.80
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 1.20
26 Dec 2025
Exit
TAOX NASDAQ · TAO Synergies Inc.
4.29
20% entry drawdown
-29.03%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 6.05
26 Dec 2025
Exit
TCBX NYSE · Third Coast Bancshares, Inc.
39.39
Reversal Risk Warning
111.21%
Entry 21 Jul 2023 18.65
26 Dec 2025
Exit
UPB NASDAQ · Upstream Bio, Inc.
29.48
Reversal Risk Warning
116.29%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 13.63
26 Dec 2025
Exit
USAU NASDAQ · US Gold Corp
22.54
Reversal Risk Warning
278.82%
Entry 17 May 2024 5.95
26 Dec 2025
Entry
WLK NYSE · Westlake Chemical Corporation
72.93
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.03
26 Dec 2025
Entry
WNC NYSE · Wabash National Corporation
8.73
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.13
26 Dec 2025
Entry
WSC NASDAQ · Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A
19.62
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.14
26 Dec 2025
Entry
WY NYSE · Weyerhaeuser Company
23.34
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.04
19 Dec 2025
Exit
AEO NYSE · American Eagle Outfitters Inc
27.52
Reversal Risk Warning
125.75%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 12.19
19 Dec 2025
Exit
AER NYSE · AerCap Holdings NV
143.99
Reversal Risk Warning
114.82%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 67.03
19 Dec 2025
Exit
AFBI NASDAQ · Affinity Bancshares Inc
22.50
Reversal Risk Warning
68.11%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 13.38
19 Dec 2025
Entry
AFJK NASDAQ · Aimei Health Technology Co., Ltd Ordinary Share
36.03
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.58
19 Dec 2025
Exit
AGNCP NASDAQ · AGNC Investment Corp.
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning
29.89%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 18.44
19 Dec 2025
Entry
ASPC NASDAQ · A SPAC III Acquisition Corp. Class A Ordinary Shares
13.81
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.61
19 Dec 2025
Entry
ASYS NASDAQ · Amtech Systems Inc
12.20
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07
19 Dec 2025
Entry
BCC NYSE · Boise Cascad Llc
74.33
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.21
19 Dec 2025
Entry
BFS NYSE · Saul Centers Inc
30.29
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.31
19 Dec 2025
Exit
BZAI NASDAQ · Blaize Holdings, Inc.
2.16
20% entry drawdown
-23.40%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 2.82
19 Dec 2025
Exit
CBFV NASDAQ · CB Financial Services Inc
36.85
Reversal Risk Warning
80.80%
Entry 28 Jul 2023 20.38
19 Dec 2025
Exit
CELZ NASDAQ · Creative Medical Technology Holdings Inc
2.11
20% entry drawdown
-20.97%
Entry 4 Jul 2025 2.67
19 Dec 2025
Entry
CENT NASDAQ · Central Garden & Pet Company
32.02
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.19
19 Dec 2025
Entry
CLYM NASDAQ · Climb Bio Inc
4.28
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.27
19 Dec 2025
Entry
CNTX NASDAQ · Context Therapeutics Inc
1.27
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.34
19 Dec 2025
Entry
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
11.76
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.05
19 Dec 2025
Entry
CZR NASDAQ · Caesars Entertainment Corporation
24.38
Market Dynamics Buy Signal
-
Market Dynamics Buy MD 0.07